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I'm going to be brutally honest here: I don't think any player rated higher than the bottom of the 3 star range would have any interest in redshirting. This isn't football. Neither of these two would have redshirted. It's not about missing a year when they transfer, it's about their ego. These kids can barely stand to be told they are coming off the bench.
Here is my prediction for where D1 college ball is going. UK, Duke, UNC, Kansas and maybe one or two others will be able to land top 5* kids each year and have 4* kids who sit until they are ready. The rest of the kids will increasingly go where they will start sooner and play more. The next level programs, like UConn and many others, will have less talent than they have traditionally. The next level down from that, Seton Hall, Alabama, Cal, etc. will get better. It will be very variable. It looks to me like 4* kids don't want to have to compete with other 4* kids and they are willing to go to St. Joes, or Lasalle, or Rutgers if that's what it takes. We see it with transfers now, but I think it will creep into recruiting from the outset.
I think you are right about this.