No chance.
In 2017 and 2018, a grand total of zero top-100 recruits entered the American. The numbers are just grim.
We had five in 2016, zero in 2017, zero in 2018 and eight in 2019. Of those 13 top-100 recruits, seven of them committed to UConn, five to Memphis and one to Cincinnati.
The Big East had 31 top-100 recruits, including ten in the class of 2019. Every Big East team pulled in a top-100 recruit during that period.
Next year, Andy Katz has seven Big East teams in his top 36 preview. The American has two.
American fans largely do not give a crap about basketball and barely support it - while the Big East, the Big 12 and the ACC are basically in a flat-footed tie for average attendance, the American is easily outdrawn by the freaking Mountain West. The Big East doubles it up.
Tulane draws 1,600 fans a night. Marquette eclipsed Tulane's entire home attendance in two games and had change left over. Less than 3,500 a night for Houston. Our bell cow, Cincy, drew about 8,000 which was 1,500 less than Providence. If you took South Florida, added Central Florida, Tulsa, ECU and Houston together, you could almost fill a Creighton home game.
Fans don't want to watch this conference, kids don't want to play in this conference - it's a good football conference and it will have peaks here and there, but it's going nowhere in basketball. And now it's losing UConn.
They toast.