Hold on to your hats - Charlie speaks | Page 3 | The Boneyard

Hold on to your hats - Charlie speaks

hoopsnloops32 said:
UConn was never going to be a three seed unless they lost to Georgetown. We are most likely a 1 seed now based on how the committee has seeded teams in their last two reveals.
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I don’t believe that we will get a one seed. A higher two seed is more likely. It just looks like too many teams to jump over for a one. Either seed you would still need to play a quality team to make the final four. So I don’t really think it’s all that important. I think Geno doesn’t believe it’s that big a deal either.
 
BRS24 said:
UConn & LSU switch seeds, and a few regional changes. IMHO, not sure ND and Duke should be #3, however the only team left playing in the top 16 right now is Texas, who could do some damage to the brackets if they win the B12. OK, CO, TN, and L'ville are the 5 seeds, however not sure any of them can be moved to a 4 except for OK, with the B12T still to come.
View attachment 84802
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Unfortunately, the only "damage" Texas can do to the bracket this week is to itself. None of the teams seeded higher than Texas in the last reveal or in Creme's bracket had bad losses in their conference tourneys (unless you consider Notre Dame's blowout loss to Louisville bad). So, I just don't see anyone among the 9-12 seeds moving down since the last reveal.

On Thursday, Texas will play either Texas Tech (NET 75) or Kansas State (NET 66). Losing that quarterfinal game probably knocks Texas down to the #5 line; winning that game doesn't move the needle in the committee's eyes. If Texas advances to the semi-final round, the opponent would be either Oklahoma State (NET 47) or West Virginia (NET 6). Advancing to the Big 12 championship game on Sunday just might be necessary to remain on the 4-seed line. The result of the championship game might not even matter as the bracket gets release a couple of hours later; bracket most likely set as of Saturday night.
 
Fossil said:
I don’t believe that we will get a one seed. A higher two seed is more likely. It just looks like too many teams to jump over for a one. Either seed you would still need to play a quality team to make the final four. So I don’t really think it’s all that important. I think Geno doesn’t believe it’s that big a deal either.
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We don't have many teams to jump over though- that is just nonsense from the media. Here are the top 9 teams resumes for a seed. We have far and a way a top three resume, not even considering the return of Azzi and CD. I really don't think there is a chance we aren't a one seed.


Virginia Tech: 4 Loses, #9 Net, #31 SOS, 10 Top 25 Net Wins (Last 10: 10-0)
Indiana: 3 loses, #5 Net, #9 SOS, 6 Top Net Wins (Last 10: 8-2)
Iowa: 6 loses, #6 Net, #13 SOS, 6 Top 25 Net wins (Last 10 8-2)
Uconn: 5 loses, #2 Net, #2 SOS , 11 Top 25 Net wins (Last 10: 8-2)
South Carolina: 0 loses, #1 Net, #6 SOS, 9 Top 25 Net Wins, (Last 10: 10-0)
LSU: 2 Loses, # 3 Net, #82 SOS, 2 Top 25 Net wins (Last 10: 8-2)
Stanford: 5 loses, #4 Net, #3 SOS, 9 Top 25 Net Wins (Last 10: 7-3)
Utah: 4 Loses, #7 Net, #37 SOS, 6 Top 25 Net wins (Last 10: 8-2)
Maryland: 6 Loses, #13 Net, #7 SOS, 5 Top 25 Net Wins (Last 10: 8-2)
 
#12in21 said:
We have a couple guys on our team that can be very disruptive to their guard play, Nika andd Aubrey. Raven was the only guard who had a good offensive game last time, Zia was okay. With Azzi and Caroline in the mix this time our offense will be spread much better with much better flow. Johnson won't be able to focus on restricting what Nika can do (which Dawn said was an emphasis in the last game) they'll be forced to allow her freer rein, couple that with a secondary ball handler (Azzi) and we will be able to find more open shots, which we should be able to successfully convert at a healthy rate.

Aaliyah and Dorks will have to hold their own inside with some help from Ayanna, Amari and a swinging Aubrey. I think we have the advantage in what our guards can do both offensively and defensively. I like our chances a lot if we get that rematch in the tournament. At full strength and healthy I believe we can beat anybody this post season.
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I believe that Connecticut can beat anyone with the only exception being South Carolina due to their depth and length. The only way Connecticut beats them is by spreading the court and having a great day shooting from three which is possible but we haven’t seen a great 3 point shooting game. Fingers crossed our shooters have a day.
 
Jmsdawg said:
No team is unbeatable but IMO South Carolina will beat any team if both play their A game. Certainly if South Carolina has a bad day and Team X has a great day South Carolina could lose. iMO South Carolina will win the NC but if they falter, as of today, I would pick Iowa for the NC winner.
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And if freedom of movement is actually called.
 
Fossil said:
I believe that Connecticut can beat anyone with the only exception being South Carolina due to their depth and length. The only way Connecticut beats them is by spreading the court and having a great day shooting from three which is possible but we haven’t seen a great 3 point shooting game. Fingers crossed our shooters have a day.
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Spreading the court because of UCONN's shooters allows UCONN bigs to play one on one, and put the slower SC defenders in foul trouble, that is if the refs call the fouls!
Last yrs final the refs didn't, they actually gave SC 22 more foul shots to win by 15!
SC plays mostly their top 7 who are 6 seniors and 1 jr, a very experienced team, but their weakness as stated above can be exposed by UCONN!
 
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As it relates strictly to UConn and seeding, overall record, especially losses, is sort of meaningless, as there's two distinct versions of this team, healthy and not.

This team healthy, especially with Azzi Fudd, is clearly a #1 seed. They have 3 legitimate 3-pt threats, 2 legitimate posts, and a point guard who was 2nd in the nation in assists.

Without them, they're not.

Placing this team as a 1 seed, off the results of others, off it's current roster including a team-healthy 7 point win over the current #2 in the country, and a 4-pt loss that was a one-posession game with 10 seconds left, to the undefeated #1 overall without Azzi Fudd and Caroline Ducharme, is blatantly obvious. Simply put this team has not lost with their top 7 rotation players healthy and fully available, as they are going into the tournament.
 
Yup - as of today, he's 3/13, Philippou is 6/13, and Voepel is 7/12 (picked Houston in AAC, still ongoing)
 
Cornell Lt said:
SC's achilleas heal is whether they can sustain their outside game. If they have a game where they get little production from their wings/guards then they can be beat by a good team.
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That hasn’t been true yet, even though they’ve had a number of games with poor guard play and outside shooting. Their rebounding allows them to shoot very poorly and win, as does their defense. That being said, I don’t think they are unbeatable, but as others have said, lots of pieces need to fall in place for them to lose,
 
Bills Fan said:
I think the "fix" will be in for seeding and Region. The NCAA wanta to make sure 1. that UCONN is in a Greenville Region so it is more likely to get a larger number of Husky fans to attend (way more will go to Greenville than Seattle) and 2. UCONN will NOT be placed in the same Regional as SC, They want that marque matchup and fan bases to be in Dallas for the FF.
I know the above will only work if SC and us avoid any upsets.
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The NCAA does not need UConn to fill seats in Greenville because the SC fans will do that as they lead the nation in attendance and this is basically a home game for them. If there is a “seeding fix” it won’t be based on attendance in Greenville.
 
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faithfulfan said:
Spreading the court because of UCONN's shooters allows UCONN bigs to play one on one, and put the slower SC defenders in foul trouble, that is if the refs call the fouls!
Last yrs final the refs didn't, they actually gave SC 22 more foul shots to win by 15!
SC plays mostly their top 7 who are 6 seniors and 1 jr, a very experienced team, but their weakness as stated above can be exposed by UCONN!
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Not sure SC defenders are slower, in fact, they are at least equal to us athletically and probably more athletic overall. 22-15 foul shots last year is not a huge discrepancy and also keep in mind that UConn had to foul later in the game.
 
SEbluebood said:
The NCAA does not need UConn to fill seats in Greenville because the SC fans will do that as they lead the nation in attendance and this is basically a home game for them. If there is a “seeding fix” it won’t be based on attendance in Greenville.
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The NCAA does need to fill seats out west as that is ALWAYS the lowest attended regional especially in California. This years is in Seattle and all the Oregon teams stink and while WSU is a nice story they only average 902 fans per game which frankly is PUTRID. I might need @nwhoopfan to offer an opinion as to why but my point is the committee erred by awarding the Emersld City as host.
 
SEbluebood said:
Not sure SC defenders are slower, in fact, they are at least equal to us athletically and probably more athletic overall. 22-15 foul shots last year is not a huge discrepancy and also keep in mind that UConn had to foul later in the game.
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I think the Aaliyah-Cardosa match up in February proved that SC front court is definitely slower than ours.
 
While as a UConn fan I have always been heavily invested in the Huskies seeding, through the years I could understand most decisions. Having Virginia Tech in the top 8, much less the top 4, makes no sense. All the metrics that are supposed to count, strength of schedule, Top 10 wins, etc. are not in their favor.
 
Geew1992 said:
I don't understand how Stanford can remain a 1 seed. I think they have the same body of work as Uconn.
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Yeah. When I heard that Stanford could be a #1 seed, I was left confused. I think that Stanford is a great team and usually they are worthy of that #1 spot. This year, they have been hot/cold. I just can't see them being a #1 seed.
 
UConnCat said:
He has Princeton having to "play their way back in." That's only because he has picked Columbia to win the Ivy League Tournament this weekend. He does that despite 1) Princeton and Columbia sharing the Ivy League regular season championship, 2) Princeton playing better than Columbia at the end of the season and 3) the Ivy tournament on Princeton's home court.

Just more reason to root for Princeton.

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And Princeton is listed as the #1 seed, which means they won the tiebreaker.
 
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No change to top 16. Here are the comments from CC:

"Wednesday was much calmer in Bracketology. No bids were stolen as UNLV completed its perfect Mountain West season with a conference tournament title. The No. 11 and 12 seeds are crowded with teams that could be on either seed line. Given how similar the profiles are, and for geographical balance and more beneficial travel, the Lady Rebels remain a No. 12 seed. Sacramento State (No. 13) claimed the Big Sky crown, and the Hornets warranted a better seed than Northern Arizona would have been (No. 15), so that shuffled the seeding of some other teams. The top 16 remained unchanged."

www.espn.com

Women's Bracketology: Big wins for BYU, Arizona State push them right to the bubble

Two teams making the most of Champ Week? BYU and Arizona State, which now both sit just beyond the 68.
www.espn.com
 
hoopsnloops32 said:
I think the Aaliyah-Cardosa match up in February proved that SC front court is definitely slower than ours.
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Nah Uconn is considerably less athletic in the front court. Boston, Saxon, Amihere and Watkins. Only Cardoso would be less athletic.
 
HopJim said:
Agree that some of the brackets that have UConn as a #3 seed look pretty favorable. In any case, since Charlie is just a writer and does not pick the teams or seeds, what he says has about as much influence and you and I have.
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With all due respect, it’s difficult to see how a nationally known writer whose entire career is built around his “bracketology” schtick can be said to have no influence on tournament selections. It is basically inconceivable that many of the selectors do not look at Crème’s brackets and accompanying articles. As for him having the same influence as “you and I” , I’m afraid that dog just won’t hunt. I wish it did though, as I find him to be extremely biased and full of himself.
 
I'd be curious if anyone has ever seen Charlie delineate his strategy? Is it: 1) I'm all-knowing and all-powerful, and this is what the brackets need to look like, or 2) I'm doing my best to predict what the committee will do?
 
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