Hockey East Standingsology: Using the KRACH to project the final HEA standings... | The Boneyard

Hockey East Standingsology: Using the KRACH to project the final HEA standings...

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What happens to the 5th seed? Does the last place team make the conference tournament?
 
Hockey East Standingsology: Using KRACH to project the final standings (2/12)

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Current first-round playoff matchups are projected as:

6. UMass Lowell vs. 11. Merrimack
7. Connecticut vs. 10. Massachusetts
8. Vermont vs. 9. New Hampshire
 
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As odd as it sounds, if I were in the bottom 6-11, I'd want to finish in the 8/9 slot since the winner of that series very likely will play #1 seed BC who (if they remain there) might be the worst regular season champion in the history of the sport. BC has not won an out of conference game since November 13, 2016! They are very beatable, whereas drawing @ NU or PC in the QFs is almost a definite loss.
 
brasssbonanzaa said:
As odd as it sounds, if I were in the bottom 6-11, I'd want to finish in the 8/9 slot since the winner of that series very likely will play #1 seed BC who (if they remain there) might be the worst regular season champion in the history of the sport. BC has not won an out of conference game since November 13, 2016! They are very beatable, whereas drawing @ NU or PC in the QFs is almost a definite loss.
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NU has a nice finish to tune up for HE tourney with 2 vs UNH and 2 vs UVM
 
FDNY99 said:
NU has a nice finish to tune up for HE tourney with 2 vs UNH and 2 vs UVM
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And BC has 3 with Maine and one with UMass, so it's possible they make it up. But three points is tough to make up in four games without one team sliding completely into the tank.
 
brasssbonanzaa said:
And BC has 3 with Maine and one with UMass, so it's possible they make it up. But three points is tough to make up in four games without one team sliding completely into the tank.
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I think UMass is going to cause some issues for teams the last few weeks.....there is even a outside chance that they can catch UConn
 
@brasssbonanzaa what are your thoughts going forward about programs and their futures? UMass looks to be finally headed in the right direction and age drown seems to have Maine competitive again while UNH with Souza in place to recruit as HC in waiting looks to be in a free fall and Merrimack can’t seem to get out of their own way.
 
FDNY99 said:
@brasssbonanzaa what are your thoughts going forward about programs and their futures? UMass looks to be finally headed in the right direction and age drown seems to have Maine competitive again while UNH with Souza in place to recruit as HC in waiting looks to be in a free fall and Merrimack can’t seem to get out of their own way.
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Carvel is a good hire and will get UMass out of its doormat status. I don't know if Maine has legitimate staying power where they are, Gendron is unproven and they have recruiting hindrances. Similar argument for UNH, though their facilities are better. Unknown how Souza will do up there, but I don't foresee them returning to regular top-1o team any time soon. Merrimack is Merrimack, they'll never consistently be good, they rack up some extra wins because their home rink is so absurdly dumb and hard to play in due to its size. Dennehy is good enough and recruits well enough that they won't return to their ultra-doormat status of the 2000s. The big differentiator in the league over the last ~5-6 seasons has been PC and UML replacing UNH and Maine as league heavyweights. As long as Norm and Nate are there, both will continue to be strong year in and year out. BU and BC will be fine. UVM, as long as they have Sneddon will make comically bad decisions but, like UMass and MC, win enough games to not be in the bottom 10 of the country. Madigan is starting to find his groove at NU, though it remains to be seen whether they'll have staying power or if he just was able to get in a bunch of exceptional forwards. UConn - unclear. A lot depends on where the facility arrangement goes, as XL undoubtedly is a recruiting obstacle. Cav is good coach, though hasn't proven himself to be able to consistently punch above his weight class just yet.

The big change I foresee is the league moving toward an 8-team conference tournament with the bottom 3 eliminated beforehand. That would put much more pressure on the likes of UVM, MC, UMass, UConn, UNH, and Maine to build their programs up to avoid falling into that pit.
 
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brasssbonanzaa said:
Carvel is a good hire and will get UMass out of its doormat status. I don't know if Maine has legitimate staying power where they are, Gendron is unproven and they have recruiting hindrances. Similar argument for UNH, though their facilities are better. Unknown how Souza will do up there, but I don't foresee them returning to regular top-1o team any time soon. Merrimack is Merrimack, they'll never consistently be good, they rack up some extra wins because their home rink is so absurdly dumb and hard to play in due to its size. Dennehy is good enough and recruits well enough that they won't return to their ultra-doormat status of the 2000s. The big differentiator in the league over the last ~5-6 seasons has been PC and UML replacing UNH and Maine as league heavyweights. As long as Norm and Nate are there, both will continue to be strong year in and year out. BU and BC will be fine. UVM, as long as they have Sneddon will make comically bad decisions but, like UMass and MC, win enough games to not be in the bottom 10 of the country. Madigan is starting to find his groove at NU, though it remains to be seen whether they'll have staying power or if he just was able to get in a bunch of exceptional forwards. UConn - unclear. A lot depends on where the facility arrangement goes, as XL undoubtedly is a recruiting obstacle. Cav is good coach, though hasn't proven himself to be able to consistently punch above his weight class just yet.

The big change I foresee is the league moving toward an 8-team conference tournament with the bottom 3 eliminated beforehand. That would put much more pressure on the likes of UVM, MC, UMass, UConn, UNH, and Maine to build their programs up to avoid falling into that pit.
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I think the fact that PC and UML have replaced Maine and UNH has heavyweights is a net negative for the conference.
 
ct06111 said:
After 1. UNH up 2-1
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Maine wins 4-3 in OT..they now have 23 pts and are tied for 4th with B U...Maine has 3 games left vs BC (1 at home, 2 in Boston)
 
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FDNY99 said:
Maine wins 4-3 in OT..they now have 23 pts and are tied for 4th with B U...Maine has 3 games left vs BC (1 at home, 2 in Boston)
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Tied for fourth, but virtually everyone else has a game in hand on them, except UConn and PC.
 
I get not having home ice would suck, but I’d take 5th place all day. As it is still a bye into a round they’ve never qualified for.
 
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4in16 said:
I get not having home ice would suck, but I’d take 5th place all day. As it is still a bye into a round they’ve never qualified for.
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Not buying finishing 5th, and road games in the 2nd round, I want another celebration like Friday night for taking a 1st round series
 

The numbers are the amount of points needed to clinch a place in the standings.
 
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