i would be very surprised if either Texas or LSU makes final 4 this year. Both teams lost a lot of starters and Texas also lost top scorer off of bench. Both have some very good players coming in but they have never played with each other. Team chemistry is a big question as well as how well freshmen will play.
That's a valid point, and applies to a lot of teams. But, in Vic's first two seasons at Texas, he's been able to mold incoming transfers, true freshmen, and returnees into Elite 8 squads. So, while the "never played with each other" statement is true, Schaefer has still been successful (although one game short of the Final Four).
Vic's first season at Texas, he had to implement his new offense and defense. His newcomers included transfer PG Kyra Lambert from Duke, and PF/C Lauren Ebo and G Karisma Ortiz from Penn State, as well as 4 true freshmen. Veteran talent in Charli Collier, Audrey Warren and Joanne Allen-Taylor provided leadership, and youngster Celeste Taylor rounded out the squad.
In year two, Charli Collier and Celeste Taylor were the biggest losses for Vic after season one. Vic brought in transfer Aliyah Matharu, 2 JUCO transfers, and 4 freshmen newcomers Rori Harmon, Latasha Lattimore, Kyndall Hunter, and Aaliyah Moore. DeYona Gaston was hurt the previous season and had season-ending surgery earlier in the year, so she was somewhat of a newcomer. Two second year players left during the Fall.
This year, Vic brings in transfers Taylor Jones, Sonya Morris, and Khadija Faye; maybe Shaylee Gonzales and one more. Gone are veterans Ebo, Allen-Taylor, Warren, and Matharu. Also gone after one season are Lattimore and JUCO Kobe King. What Vic will have for the first time at Texas is a returning point guard; that's huge.