I would bump Notre Dame and put Indiana in the mix. The Hoosiers have loaded up and on paper, look very dangerous and capable of a Final Four run. I would not be surprised if Indiana shocked the world and made it to the Final Four.
Regarding IU:
- You noted they "have loaded up and on paper, look very dangerous..." But the key to me for IU wasn't their stat sheets, but the way the played together. This was a classic case of the whole often playing better than the sum of their parts. And that, in turn, made some of those players excel: Nicole Cardano-Hilary and Aleksa Gulbe come directly to mind. And Ali Patberg was like having a coach on the floor...oh yeah, she's now joined the IU staff!
- Of course, the two leading parts: the indefatigable Grace Berger and Maine's favorite center, McKenzie Holmes, are back. How will they mesh with guard Sara Scalia, wing Sydney Parrish and big Alyssa Geary? Those are the transfers in. I'm paying almost as much attention to returner Chloe Moore-McNeil, who gave good minutes last year and is athletic, something last year's Hoosiers really were not.
- If that team can mesh, Parrish and Scalia can add a three-point element that was largely missing. Key miss for me is Gulbe, who reminded me greatly of Kat Westbeld, the starting forward and captain of the Irish 2018 NC team. Glue players are integral.
As for ND:
- I'd be interested in why you would drop the Irish from potential Final Four consideration, considering how close (ouch!) they were to beating NC State last year. Is it the loss of Maya Dodson? If so, I can see that but Coach Ivey is hoping to replace her with three players:
Lauren Ebo, Kylee Watson and oft-injured Nat Marshall. The latter showed good athletic ability, quickness to jump and run and a decent jump shot in limited action last year. And, oh yes, she's 6'5".
- Outside of that, the entire starting line-up is back, from pesky bomber Dara Mabrey and stalwart forward Maddy Westbeld to the super sophs Olivia Miles and Sonia Citron. Expect the latter three to improve and hope frosh KK Bransford helps out. Stanford transfer Jenna Brown is a question mark. If she can give positive contributions, great.
- The big Irish concern: depth, or lack thereof. Nine scholarship players only.
Stay tuned.