I went back to examine 7774's assertion that kids ranked 10-100 are about equally likely to succeed. I used rivals.com, which goes back to 2003. "Successful" is subjective, especially in the context of today's game, where players who underwhelm in college go on to have NBA careers. Anyway, here are the note-worthy names from the 2003 and 2004 classes, divided by whether they were ranked 10-55 or 55-100:
2003
10-55: Brandon Bass (#11), Travis Outlaw (#13), Chris Paul (#14), Kris Humphries (#15), Linas Kleiza (#17), Trevor Ariza (#18), Von Wafer (#21), Ronnie Brewer (#29), Aaron Brooks (#34), Josh Boone (#54)
55-100: Marcus Williams (#61), Renaldo Balkman (#92)
2004
10-55: Marvin Williams (#11), Dorell Wright (#12), Glen Davis (#13), D.J. White (#15), LaMarcus Aldridge (#16), Jordan Farmar (#22), Rajon Rondo (#25), Arron Afflalo (#26), Kyle Lowry (#28), Daniel Gibson (#29), Corey Brewer (#31), A.J. Price (#32), Al Horford (#36), Greg Stiesma (#45), Darnell Jackson (#54)
55-100: Toney Douglas (#66), Joakim Noah (#75)
It's tough to say there is no correlation.