Dangers of Villanova

[tchalla1]

If Azzi had enough attempts, she would have the 8th highest 3 point FG% (44.1%) That’s ok. Opponents can ignore Azzi at their own risk.

FWIW, Maddy Siegrist isn’t in the Top 50. I am NOT throwing shade at Maddy - she’s a heck of a competitor, a gamer, and shouldn’t be underestimated. But statistically, three point shooting isnt’ her greatest strength.

BTW, Creghton’s Lauren Jensen is 7th in the national ranking for 3 point FG% with 44.44%.

Yes, by all means, please ignore Azzi...

 

[eebmg]

A cautionary note, it was Lior Garzon’s 3’s that sunk the Huskies last game, not Maddy Siegrist, and she’s the one that got late baskets to beat Seton Hall yesterday.

VILLANOVA 72​

Villanova 72

##	Player	GS	MIN	FG	3PT	FT	ORB-DRB	REB	PF	A	TO	BLK	STL	PTS
12	Garzon,Lior	*	35	7-14	5-10	0-0	0-4	4	3	2	0	0	0	19
20	Siegrist,Maddy	*	40	8-15	1-3	0-0	5-7	12	3	2	2	1	0	17
14	Herlihy,Brianna	*	37	6-10	2-3	1-6	1-9	10	1	5	8	1	2	15
03	Olsen,Lucy	*	35	4-8	0-1	3-6	1-2	3	0	7	1	0	1	11
15	Mullin,Brooke	*	34	3-6	2-3	0-0	1-0	1	3	2	1	0	1	8
32	Runyan,Bella		16	1-3	0-2	0-0	1-0	1	1	0	1	1	0	2
02	Orihel,Kaitlyn		2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
05	Cauley,Anahi-Lee		1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
TM	TEAM		0	0-0	0-0	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	1	0	0	0
	TOTALS	-	200	29-56	10-22	4-12	12-25	37	13	18	14	3	4	72

I had forgotten Villanova almost gave away the game on the FT line.

 

[Urshurak]

A cautionary note, it was Lior Garzon’s 3’s that sunk the Huskies last game, not Maddy Siegrist, and she’s the one that got late baskets to beat Seton Hall yesterday.

VILLANOVA 72​

Villanova 72

##	Player	GS	MIN	FG	3PT	FT	ORB-DRB	REB	PF	A	TO	BLK	STL	PTS
12	Garzon,Lior	*	35	7-14	5-10	0-0	0-4	4	3	2	0	0	0	19
20	Siegrist,Maddy	*	40	8-15	1-3	0-0	5-7	12	3	2	2	1	0	17
14	Herlihy,Brianna	*	37	6-10	2-3	1-6	1-9	10	1	5	8	1	2	15
03	Olsen,Lucy	*	35	4-8	0-1	3-6	1-2	3	0	7	1	0	1	11
15	Mullin,Brooke	*	34	3-6	2-3	0-0	1-0	1	3	2	1	0	1	8
32	Runyan,Bella		16	1-3	0-2	0-0	1-0	1	1	0	1	1	0	2
02	Orihel,Kaitlyn		2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
05	Cauley,Anahi-Lee		1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1-0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
TM	TEAM		0	0-0	0-0	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	1	0	0	0
	TOTALS	-	200	29-56	10-22	4-12	12-25	37	13	18	14	3	4	72

I didn't realize that. Thanks Nan. Now we have to stop them both!

 

[JoePgh]

Here is an interesting factoid, which will be credible only if and to the extent that you believe Charlie Creme.

In his latest bracketology, completed in the early hours of March 7 after all of Sunday's games, he had Villanova (for the first time) as the "first team out" of the 68-team field. Previously they had been the second or third in line among those who were out of the tournament.

If that turns out to reflect the Selection Committee's view, then surely a Villanova win tonight would propel them into the tournament. Even a competitive, single-digit loss might do that, but that is more questionable. So I'm sure that the Wildcat coach will point that out to her team, giving them extra motivation for the game (if that really helps or is needed).

On the other hand, a non-competitive 20 to 30 point loss (which most of us hope for and expect) would probably seal their exclusion from the NCAA tournament.

By the way, Creme still has UConn as the 2 seed in Greensboro with the prospect of facing South Carolina in the Elite Eight. Would a 30-point, convincing win tonight change that? I would like to think so.

 

[jabstep]

I think the key besides geting in MS face on the outside is to stop Garzon. I think Geno will have a defensive plan for Villanova like pressing for 30 minutes. We have more troops then them at this point.

 

[The deacon]

I didn't realize that. Thanks Nan. Now we have to stop them both!

Agreed, Urshurak, the Huskies need to stop Garzon's three-pointers. In addition, it should be remembered that a number of Garzon's treys followed offensive rebounds tracked down by Maddy. Her 12 rebounds, including five on offense, were a goodly share of the huge edge Villanova held on the boards. I'm hopeful the Huskies won't permit so many second chances for the Wildcats tonight.

 

[jaydee602]

Vegas just posted the line for tonight's game. UCONN is favored by 19 1/2 points. The over /under of total points is 125.

 

[jonack]

Blow out!

 

[Bills Fan]

I think the key besides geting in MS face on the outside is to stop Garzon. I think Geno will have a defensive plan for Villanova like pressing for 30 minutes. We have more troops then them at this point.

Agree. Their starters have played a lot of minutes the past two days.

 

[Big Fan]

Nova scored 23 in the first quarter yesterday but only 7 in the second. They score less than 10 in a quarter against UConn and you can stick a fork in them.

 

[LwrcasefaN]

Right now, it looks like Nova's chances of an invite to the dance ae dependent on beating UCONN. So be ready to battle and if it needs to be brutal...then do what you need to do. Time for getting the end of the bench minutes has passed.

 

[msf22b]

Right now, it looks like Nova's chances of an invite to the dance ae dependent on beating UCONN. So be ready to battle and if it needs to be brutal...then do what you need to do. Time for getting the end of the bench minutes has passed.

If they beat UConn, they are automatically in, yes?
____________
Posted by JAydee602

Vegas just posted the line for tonight's game. UCONN is favored by 19 1/2 points. The over /under of total points is 125.
____
Doesn't 19.5 seem a little high?

 

[LwrcasefaN]

If they beat UConn, they are automatically in, yes?

I would think so since currently they are the last team out per Charlie Creme. He doesn't get the final word, but if you beat the #6 team...AGAIN...how can you leave them out. right?

 

[HuskyNan]

I would think so since currently they are the last team out per Charlie Creme. He doesn't get the final word, but if you beat the #6 team...AGAIN...how can you leave them out. right?

If ‘Nova wins, it’s in. If you win your conference tournament, you’re the conference’s automatic qualifier for the NCAA tourney. UConn would get an at-large invitation

The automatic qualifier thing is why you sometimes see a team with a 13-15 record in the NCAA’s. They got on a hot streak and won their conference tourney. Got to love the post-season!

 

[jaydee602]

If they beat UConn, they are automatically in, yes?
____________
Posted by JAydee602

Vegas just posted the line for tonight's game. UCONN is favored by 19 1/2 points. The over /under of total points is 125.
____
Doesn't 19.5 seem a little high?

Vegas gets a lot of action from UCONN bettors. They tend to inflate the spread a few points to encourage wagering on the opponent.
But I'm sure they have calculated the Villanova fatigue factor & the recent overwhelming UCONN success.

 

[LwrcasefaN]

If they beat UConn, they are automatically in, yes?
____________
Posted by JAydee602

Vegas just posted the line for tonight's game. UCONN is favored by 19 1/2 points. The over /under of total points is 125.
____
Doesn't 19.5 seem a little high?

I would be impressed if they won by that much since I expect Villanova to fight like heck. I don't think beating them down and getting into a really physical battle will improve UCONN seeding. So...a comfy win would be my goal. No need to take on injuries at this point. BE teams need to work on their OOC scheduling.

 

[CL82]

Maddy is going to score. Even if we blindfold her, tie one hand behind her back and make her shoot one handed backwards, she will score 20

Could not agree more! Instead of doing any of those things we should just put Christyn as her primary defender.

Whew! I feel better already.

 

[huskeynut]

Siegrist is going to get some points. She has to be harassed the entire game. Her shots have to be contested. She cannot be allowed to get offensive rebounds. She will also have to deal with Olivia, Dorka and Aaliyah.

Garzon must be contained. Herlihy must also be contained. Siegrist and Garzon are both 6' 1". Herlihy is 6' 0". We have the height to counter.

As a Poughkeepsie native, it's good to see a local girl on the national stage.

 

[jaydee602]

Siegrist is going to get some points. She has to be harassed the entire game. Her shots have to be contested. She cannot be allowed to get offensive rebounds. She will also have to deal with Olivia, Dorka and Aaliyah.

Garzon must be contained. Herlihy must also be contained. Siegrist and Garzon are both 6' 1". Herlihy is 6' 0". We have the height to counter.

As a Poughkeepsie native, it's good to see a local girl on the national stage.

Geno usually has the opponents' best scorer work hard on defense. If Maddy has to run around trying to stop UCONN's fast breaks & up tempo offense, she will be exhausted. Especially after three games in three days!

 

[fomalhaut]

Maddy is going to score. Even if we blindfold her, tie one hand behind her back and make her shoot one handed backwards, she will score 20.

I'll predict right now she doesn't get 20 tonight.

 

[RegisteredUconn]

... I’ll be the first to admit that this is the closest it has looked, and I feel really good about it.”

When Geno feels really good, I feel really, really, really good.

 

[eebmg]

Geno pregame thoughts with Meg Culmo

 

[mattlow710]

I dont see any reason we will lose
Our players all in good shape

 

[jaydee602]

Vegas just posted the line for tonight's game. UCONN is favored by 19 1/2 points. The over /under of total points is 125.

The line just jumped 3 points to UCONN (-22.5). A lot of late money being wagered on the Huskies.

 

[hard2please]

the same way uconn used to pound it inside for the first couple of baskets, i think they should key on setting double and triple screens for azzi so one of her first couple of shots goes in. and then shes off to the races instead of having her feel pressured to score the three pointer like the last game where many of her shots seemed almost off balance and forced.