I could see Hurley leaving for the NBA for the "right situation", but those don't come along very often. Most job openings are on full-rebuild wastelands, and the coach that takes that job typically isn't still coach by the time the rebuild starts to pay off. There is a Bucks or Suns situation about once every 3 years, where an aging championship caliber team needs to win immediately, but those teams are not hiring college coaches. They will hire anyone with championship experience, even if they suck (see Rivers, Budenholzer, Vogel). The "next coach after the rebuild" situations are OK, but those goldilocks jobs are also few and far between.
You want to be in a big market, but the pressure in New York, LA and Boston is brutal, so not too big. But the small market teams, especially those in the upper midwest like Minnesota, Indiana, Cleveland and Milwaukee, have historically had trouble attracting top free agents. New Orleans, Oklahoma City and Memphis just don't have the cash to compete. Some big markets, like Washington and Atlanta, seem to just suck year after year for no reason at all. You definitely don't want to replace a legend like Kerr, Popovich or Spoelstra. Basically, if Houston, Philadelphia, Chicago, Orlando or Dallas are hiring with some players on the roster, Hurley should take a run at them. Otherwise, stay in college.
