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These players know that recruiting is on the line for OSU.
Yea, hopefully the Beavers can get a recruiting bump out of this. I imagine a FF appearance will do wonders for them.

Can you tell me if any UCONN opponents have kept it close going into the 4th quarter this year?
Maryland was only down 9 going into the 4th. Same for USF. But I think that's about it.
 
I don't think Ruth will cover Stewie, probably Morgan, so who do you think will guard Stewie? If Ruth is on Stewie Morgan will have a field day inside. Thank you for your post and this is just my opinion which isn't worth much. Good luck to both teams.

Ruth is a perimeter defensive liability vs UCONN. Not as worried about her defense around the basket. She is an excellent shot blocker, and even better at changing the offensive players shot. Traditionally, she has done it without fouling. I believe OSU coach will pull Hamblin if she becomes a defensive liability, and is not contributing enough on the boards & offense. OSU has subs who have size and can guard the perimeter (Katie McWilliams, 6' 2" freshman who started 11 games for Syndey Wiese after Weise broke her hand). OSU coach is going to have be prepared to pull Ruth early, if UCONN lights up OSU early.
 
Fortunately you do have UCONN's team. OSU fans love this OSU Team, and you are correct, OSU players will play their hearts out, and won't quit. These players know that recruiting is on the line for OSU. They love their program, and, they especially love their coach. I expect UCONN to be nothing less than UCONN has been this entire year. Can you tell me if any UCONN opponents have kept it close going into the 4th quarter this year?
UConn has had a few relatively lose games. Maryland did best, and was within single digits until late in the game and lost by 12 points. UConn's first half against Maryland was quite bad -- they had an amazing number of turnovers. Notre Dame was down by one point at halftime on UConn's home court due to uncharacteristic defensive lapses, but in the third quarter UConn increased the lead to 20 points before ND narrowed it to within 8 in the 4th quarter (with amazing 3-point shooting) before losing by 10. DePaul kept their game with UConn very close in the first half, also with amazing 3-point shooting (something like 13-17 in the first half). As mentioned above, South Florida (UConn's only serious in-conference foe) played UConn three times and led at halftime in one game before losing by about 20. They had great athletes on the perimeter but no post presence.

South Carolina (at home) lost to UConn by "only" 12 points, but the game wasn't really that close -- the margin was 17 points with 1:03 left, and it was 22 points at the end of three quarters.

And never forget the Dayton game in last year's Elite 8, in which UConn trailed by 1 at halftime (Dayton scored 43 points in the first half as I recall) before UConn won by around 20 eventually.

UConn is not superhuman, but so far only Stanford (in an early game last year) has proven that they are "beatable".

Do you think that the outcome of the game (including the MOV) will have an impact on Ionescu's decision?
 
My (possibly fuzzy) recollection of OSU"s loss to Tennessee is that OSU got down
a bunch early when Tennessee pressed and trapped a lot and OSU turned it over.

OSU has shown itself to be a team that turns it over quite a bit. If UConn can score
off those turnovers it will make the job a lot easier.
 
Lo Trader - welcome on board! Nice post and I think a lot of Uconn fans definitely respect what OSU has done, and while we may feel confident, we aren't comfortable about Sunday!
 
Isn't this the first time OSU has been to a final four? Teams that reach the final four for the first time usually do not do well. UCONN is a very experienced final four team that has been there numerous times. They ring with confidence. The only players on this team that may be nervous are Katie Lou, Collier, and Butler. On the other hand I expect all the OSU players to be extremely nervous. This has to be worth a few points.
 
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My (possibly fuzzy) recollection of OSU"s loss to Tennessee is that OSU got down
a bunch early when Tennessee pressed and trapped a lot and OSU turned it over.

OSU has shown itself to be a team that turns it over quite a bit. If UConn can score
off those turnovers it will make the job a lot easier.

You are correct about turnovers--19 vs Baylor. I don't know why Sydney Weise, after breaking down the defense on her drives, tried to pass off in the lane against Baylor? Sydney Weise is OSU's best scorer driving to the rim, including getting to the free throw line. I'm sure that will be corrected in Sunday's game. In Tennessee game, OSU was very far behind, 20+, in 2nd half, and limited Tennessee to a single shot, or, turned over Tennessee, and almost won the game in 2nd half. As I said in another post, OSU is a much better team than the team that lost to Tennessee earlier in season. Also, Jamie Weisner also has a bad habbit of driving in the lane, & picking up her dribble, then either turning it over, or, getting tied up. I'm sure UCONN is fully aware of Jamie Weisner's tendencies. What will be interesting to see in the game is how well UCONN converts these turnovers. Doug Bruno sees UCONN winning by 20 vs OSU. His team lost to OSU in the Sweet Sixteen, and, has given proper respect to both programs.
 
UConn has had a few relatively lose games. Maryland did best, and was within single digits until late in the game and lost by 12 points. UConn's first half against Maryland was quite bad -- they had an amazing number of turnovers. Notre Dame was down by one point at halftime on UConn's home court due to uncharacteristic defensive lapses, but in the third quarter UConn increased the lead to 20 points before ND narrowed it to within 8 in the 4th quarter (with amazing 3-point shooting) before losing by 10. DePaul kept their game with UConn very close in the first half, also with amazing 3-point shooting (something like 13-17 in the first half). As mentioned above, South Florida (UConn's only serious in-conference foe) played UConn three times and led at halftime in one game before losing by about 20. They had great athletes on the perimeter but no post presence.

South Carolina (at home) lost to UConn by "only" 12 points, but the game wasn't really that close -- the margin was 17 points with 1:03 left, and it was 22 points at the end of three quarters.

And never forget the Dayton game in last year's Elite 8, in which UConn trailed by 1 at halftime (Dayton scored 43 points in the first half as I recall) before UConn won by around 20 eventually.

UConn is not superhuman, but so far only Stanford (in an early game last year) has proven that they are "beatable".

Do you think that the outcome of the game (including the MOV) will have an impact on Ionescu's decision?

I don't know what impact the outcome of UCONN vs OSU game will have on Ionescu's decision. What I do know is that she visited OSU this past weekend. Her brother is going to University of Oregon to attempt to walk-on to basketball team. OSU is only 45 minutes by car from University of Oregon. She is also considering University of Oregon. However, given OSU's recent success, and, if they play lights out vs UCONN, I believe OSU will receive serious consideration. She would play for OSU as a freshman.
 
Isn't this the first time OSU has been to a final four? Teams that reach the final four for the first time usually do not do well. UCONN is a very experienced final four team that has been there numerous times. They ring with confidence. The only players on this team that may be nervous are Katie Lou, Collier, and Butler. On the other hand I expect all the OSU players to be extremely nervous. This has to be worth a few points.

Correct, this is OSU's first time to Sweet Sixteen, Elite 8, and Final Four. I'm sure there will be nerves. It will be key for OSU players to get over the nerves early in Quarter 1. Fortunately, we don't have a crazy coach like Baylor. Our coach is calm, and exudes confidence, when the game starts getting out of hand. OSU has been resilient in these situations. They haven't quit, or, lost their minds when things were not going their way (at least in the past 10 games). Stanford was OSU's last loss, at Stanford, and, frankly, OSU got waxed. Fortunately, this FF game will be on a neutral court. As I have previously stated, for OSU's sake, a competitive game into the 4th quarter will do so much for OSU, and OSU recruiting. Is that too much to ask :)
 
Just a few interesting facts....OSU is an outstanding defensive team. Against Top 25 teams, they allowed a 38.5 FG% compared to UCONN's 39.0%. That says to me that they know how to play defense well and given that they will be up for this game look for a high intensity encounter.
However, OSU only shoots 35.8 against Top 25 teams while UCONN shoots 52.8%. When you add in the steals and turnover data the math doesn't look very good for OSU.
Am not taking this game for granted as that would be disrespectful to the student-athletes but if UCONN can just be themselves then we will be one step closer to # 11.
 
I hesitate to remind everyone that is concerned about OSU and their potential of presenting a real and serious threat to the huskies. We (fans) recognize OSU's recent history and success.
We also note that those achievements were not reached against UConn, lest I remind you is the #1 defensive team in the country.

I'm not trying to be cocky or disrespectful of OSU. I'm going to keep it classy. But ALL of you know that NO ONE plays defense like UConn does. A week ago, we were all concerned about Mississippi State, and the problems they presented. Their leading scorer Victoria Vivians who had run rough shod over all of their previous opponents to that point., was only able to muster 6 points. UConn's defense shut her down.
I'm in no way suggesting that we should not be concerned, but OSU did lose 4 games this year. In those losses they scored 50, 61, 51 and 54 points respectively. I think this illustration speaks for itself.

All of their loses were to ranked teams, but only one team, (#3 Notre Dame) was to a top 10 team. I would submit to you that UConn is just slightly more competitive than any of those teams.
Are they on a roll? yes. OSU is currently on an 8 game winning streak.; but so is UConn. The Beaver's last loss was on Feb 26, 2016 to Stanford in Palo Alto. Coincidentally, UConn's last loss was also to Stanford in Palo Alto 2 years ago. The Huskies have been on their our roll just a little bit longer.

Look back over the season and take note of how many super stars were held way below their regular season scoring average. Kelsey Mitchell (8 points), A'ja Wilson (I realize she did not play the entire game due to injury - 13 points), Alaina Coates (2 points), Tiffany Mitchell (12 points), Victoria Vivians (6 points), etc.

UConn does not give teams "open looks" on a consistent basis that other teams do. You just can't do the things against UConn, that you can do against other teams. UConn is the #1 team in scoring defense in the country, and they live up to that ranking every game. Its all going to come down to scoring. You've got to figure that UConn is going to score at least 70 points (I'm being conservative). Here's the $64,000 question: What is OSU going to do that Mississippi State (28-8) was not able to do?

UConn held to 38 points. MSU scored in double figures only in 4th quarter, after the game had been decided, and Geno emptied his bench. MSU was not chopped liver, and they lost by 60.
Even if OSU is 30 points better than MSU, they still lose by 30. So, the question is can OSU score 70 against UConn? Its possible, but I don't think so. I think UConn can keep OSU under 65.

I'm going to borrow the phrase that Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers uttered in response to some of the Packers faithful that had begun to voice their concerns, because the Packers had just lost their second game in a row. Rodgers told them: "R-E-L-A-X". :cool:
 
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This has "trap game" written all over it. My karma sensor is in a state of flummox.

Agree with you 100%.

OSU will do well to focus on UConn and not look ahead to playing the 'Cuse/Washington victor! :)
 
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I hesitate to remind everyone that is concerned about OSU and their potential of presenting a real and serious threat to the huskies. We (fans) recognize OSU's recent history and success.
We also note that those achievements were not reached against UConn, lest I remind you is the #1 defensive team in the country.

I'm not trying to be cocky or disrespectful of OSU. I'm going to keep it classy. But ALL of you know that NO ONE plays defense like UConn does. A week ago, we were all concerned about Mississippi State, and the problems they presented. Their leading scorer Victoria Vivians who had run rough shod over all of their previous opponents to that point., was only able to muster 6 points. UConn's defense shut her down.
I'm in no way suggesting that we should not be concerned, but OSU did lose 4 games this year. In those losses they scored 50, 61, 51 and 54 points respectively. I think this illustration speaks for itself.

All of their loses were to ranked teams, but only one team, (#3 Notre Dame) was to a top 10 team. I would submit to you that UConn is just slightly more competitive than any of those teams.
Are they on a roll? yes. OSU is currently on an 8 game winning streak.; but so is UConn. The Beaver's last loss was on Feb 26, 2016 to Stanford in Palo Alto. Coincidentally, UConn's last loss was also to Stanford in Palo Alto 2 years ago. The Huskies have been on their our roll just a little bit longer.

Look back over the season and take note of how many super stars were held way below their regular season scoring average. Kelsey Mitchell (8 points), A'ja Wilson (I realize she did not play the entire game due to injury - 13 points), Alaina Coates (2 points), Tiffany Mitchell (12 points), Victoria Vivians (6 points), etc.

UConn does not give teams "open looks" on a consistent basis that other teams do. You just can't do the things against UConn, that you can do against other teams. UConn is the #1 team in scoring defense in the country, and they live up to that ranking every game. Its all going to come down to scoring. You've got to figure that UConn is going to score at least 70 points (I'm being conservative). Here's the $64,000 question: What is OSU going to do that Mississippi State (28-8) was not able to do?

UConn held to 38 points. MSU scored in double figures only in 4th quarter, after the game had been decided, and Geno emptied his bench. MSU was not chopped liver, and they lost by 60.
Even if OSU is 30 points better than MSU, they still lose by 30. So, the question is can OSU score 70 against UConn? Its possible, but I don't think so. I think UConn can keep OSU under 65.

I'm going to borrow the phrase that Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers uttered in response to some of the Packers faithful that had begun to voice their concerns, because the Packers had just lost their second game in a row. Rodgers told them: "R-E-L-A-X". :cool:

Couldn't agree more with you. OSU's only chance is if they can completely disrupt UCONN's offense and keep UCONN's score under 60. Only a beyond believable defensive result by OSU will get them past UCONN. And, that of course is going to be a miracle. As my other OSU best friend pointed out "Miracle on Ice" Deux!
 
Question for Lo Trader - Do you expect a good turnout of OSU fans at the game?

Thanks for your posts.
 
Have to disagree with this comparison. Stanford caught UCONN early in the season at a time when UCONN was playing it's second game of the season with 2 new starters who were replacing 2 departing AA players.
This UCONN team the same four starters with 70+ games together.

I agree with you Coco. I attended that game. UConn had it in cruise control most of the game. They had just come off of drubbing UC Davis 3 days prior by 59 points (102-43), and were feeling pretty good about themselves. For whatever reason, they were just not ready to play.

They didn't hunker down and get serious until there was 3 minutes left in the game. Remember, they had a 10 point lead at the 6 minute mark, but Stanford had really begun to chip away at the score. That night, almost everything Stanford put up, went in.

Stanford's bench and the crowd were very animated throughout the game. Stanford never took their foot off the gas. The biggest shot of the night was Amber Orrange's 3 pointer from the right corner. That was the dagger. That shot hit an artery.If I remember correctly, that shot (as the clock was winding down) sent the game into overtime. If she misses that shot, we win.

One more basket, or one more made free throw in regulation, and we're not having this conversation. There was a large contingent of UConn fans in attendance that night. We all left the building after the game in shock. :eek:

Personnel changes were made, team resolve was heightened, and as they say, the rest is history. I thought at the time (and posted it) that that particular lost during the first week of the season, was the best thing that could have happened to UConn.

As a team, they never forgot that loss, and what it felt like the rest of the season. A record of 38-1 is not bad, as long as that "1" is not the last game of the year.
 
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Question for Lo Trader - Do you expect a good turnout of OSU fans at the game?

Thanks for your posts.

Hard to know. OSU had quite a crowd at the Dallas Regional, and I suspect OSU Fans will travel to Indy--I mean, there is no guarantee OSU will be back to Final Four in the near term!
 
Full disclosure: OSU alum/OSU Fan here. Love your UCONN Blog, and the UCONN Bloggers. Can't say I disagree with much on UCONN Bloggers view of the OSU vs UCONN game Sunday. I will say that having watched OSU Women's game for the past 4 years is that these OSU ladies are not afraid. They may still get steamrolled by UCONN, but they are not afraid. They are truly excited to have this opportunity to play the best team in the country (for however may seasons now). I think your coach also recognizes this. I think there are some mis-perceptions about OSU players too. Gabby Hanson doesn't get coverage from the press, but if OSU is to have a good game against UCONN Sunday, Gabby Hanson's defense on Jefferson will be one of the main reasons. Like Jefferson, she is a wonderful on ball defender. I have no idea how OSU will cover Breanna. OSU plays straight up man defense, and Ruth has no chance of checking Breanna, much less any mobile post player. Thanks for letting me blog here. I wish for an excellent game, that goes the entire 4 quarters.

It will be interesting if Hanson checks Jefferson: then Weise takes Nurse or Samuelson? If Weisner takes Samuelson, then you have a 5'' height difference (and you can bet Samuelson won't be guarding Weisner on UConn defensive end). It would probably make more sense to have Weise take Samuelson? On the UConn end, if Jefferson checks Weisner, then there will be lots of offensive/defensive man-marking switching.

The trouble with playing man against UConn, in my eyes, won't be Stewart going off (she will do that anyway, against man or zone), it will be Tuck. She could go for 25+ against man-marking by Hunter/Hamblin/Gulich.
 
It will be interesting if Hanson checks Jefferson: then Weise takes Nurse or Samuelson? If Weisner takes Samuelson, then you have a 5'' height difference (and you can bet Samuelson won't be guarding Weisner on UConn defensive end). It would probably make more sense to have Weise take Samuelson? On the UConn end, if Jefferson checks Weisner, then there will be lots of offensive/defensive man-marking switching.

The trouble with playing man against UConn, in my eyes, won't be Stewart going off (she will do that anyway, against man or zone), it will be Tuck. She could go for 25+ against man-marking by Hunter/Hamblin/Gulich.
I think that's an excellent point. Against a team playing man, Tuck typically has a field day drawing the other team's big out to the perimeter and then driving past her to the rim. South Carolina probably sees that happen over and over again in their sleep. She really is a matchup nightmare, not quite as much as Stewie is, but close.
 
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I agree with you Coco. I attended that game. UConn had it in cruise control most of the game. They had just come off of drubbing UC Davis 3 days prior by 59 points (102-43), and were feeling pretty good about themselves. For whatever reason, they were just not ready to play.

They didn't hunker down and get serious until there was 3 minutes left in the game. Remember, they had a 10 point lead at the 6 minute mark, but Stanford had really begun to chip away at the score. That night, almost everything Stanford put up, went in.

Stanford's bench and the crowd were very animated throughout the game. Stanford never took their foot off the gas. The biggest shot of the night was Amber Orrange's 3 pointer from the right corner. That was the dagger. That shot hit an artery.If I remember correctly, that shot (as the clock was winding down) sent the game into overtime. If she misses that shot, we win.

One more basket, or one more made free throw in regulation, and we're not having this conversation. There was a large contingent of UConn fans in attendance that night. We all left the building after the game in shock. :eek:

Personnel changes were made, team resolve was heightened, and as they say, the rest is history. I thought at the time (and posted it) that that particular lost during the first week of the season, was the best thing that could have happened to UConn.

As a team, they never forgot that loss, and what it felt like the rest of the season. A record of 38-1 is not bad, as long as that "1" is not the last game of the year.
I can't say I particularly like to relive that game in my mind, but I agree with everything you say here. I'll throw in one more thing that is almost always overlooked about that game. That was the first season in quite a while that Stanford did not have an Ogwumike sister on the roster, and Tara, to her credit, adjusted to the change in personnel by completely overhauling her offense in the offseason. Since that was only Stanford's second game of the season as well, I think it's reasonable to believe that Geno and his staff may not yet have known quite what to expect from Stanford offensively or been able to scout them as effectively as usual. Not that I'm making excuses; Stanford was just a little bit better on that night and deserved to win. But I think the newfangledness of the Cardinal offense was a contributing factor.
 
You also had 2 starters, one who was offensively limited, the other defensively limited. Once Geno made the switch, you had 5 players, who could play both offensively, and defensively. Morgan, and Kia also brought toughness to the starting lineup.
 
Las Vegas says 95% chance for UConn win against OSU. And 93% chance that UConn wins the NC. I cannot recall ever seeing a sports event of any kind with this kind of confidence (arrogance?) level.

The Huskies should be favored, but by so much? Amazing.
 
Just read an interview with a few of the OSU players, and, unless deception is being deployed, Deven Hunter is going to start out checking Breanna Stewart. Not sure about the rest of the matchups, but again I feel confident that Gabby Hanson will check Moriah.
 
The only chance for Oregon State is if we play our worst game of the year and they shoot lights out on 3's. 15 made 3's might do it but I doubt they would do that well. In games when we give up a lot of 3's early, we tend to clamp down in the second half, like with Dayton last year.
 
I'm going to borrow the phrase that Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers uttered in response to some of the Packers faithful that had begun to voice their concerns, because the Packers had just lost their second game in a row. Rodgers told them: "R-E-L-A-X". :cool:
Funny, I don't remember the Pack winning the Superbowl that year. :-)
 
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It will be interesting if Hanson checks Jefferson: then Weise takes Nurse or Samuelson? If Weisner takes Samuelson, then you have a 5'' height difference (and you can bet Samuelson won't be guarding Weisner on UConn defensive end). It would probably make more sense to have Weise take Samuelson? On the UConn end, if Jefferson checks Weisner, then there will be lots of offensive/defensive man-marking switching.

The trouble with playing man against UConn, in my eyes, won't be Stewart going off (she will do that anyway, against man or zone), it will be Tuck. She could go for 25+ against man-marking by Hunter/Hamblin/Gulich.

I agree that the match ups in this game are very intriguing. It will definitely be a chess match between coaches.
 
The only chance for Oregon State is if we play our worst game of the year and they shoot lights out on 3's. 15 made 3's might do it but I doubt they would do that well. In games when we give up a lot of 3's early, we tend to clamp down in the second half, like with Dayton last year.

I think that UConn is the better team but I don't think that people realize how good of a team that OSU is. There 2 guards Weisner(.450 3 pt %) and Wiese(.376 3 pt%) could give UConn fits. OSU is a very good defensive team as well that is very long at every position.
 
Excited for this game to be played. I sense that most UCONN fans are comfortable for obvious reasons. I also think most OSU fans are comfortable, but for different reasons (we are just excited for this opportunity to play the best, and measure ourselves against the standard in NCAA Women's basketball). Thank you again for allowing me to blog with you all. So impressed with this site, and, the great respect you show for your opponents and your opponent fans!
 
Just read an interview with a few of the OSU players, and, unless deception is being deployed, Deven Hunter is going to start out checking Breanna Stewart. Not sure about the rest of the matchups, but again I feel confident that Gabby Hanson will check Moriah.

I am thinking:
OSU guarding UConn Uconn guarding OSU
Hanson/Jefferson Jefferson/Weisner
Hamblin/Tuck Tuck/Hunter
Hunter/Stewart Stewart/Hamblin
Wiese/Samuelson Samuelson/Hanson
Weisner/Nurse Nurse/Wiese
 
Funny, I don't remember the Pack winning the Superbowl that year. :)

They didn't. I said the fans were concerned because the Pack lost 2 games in a row. The Packers had not been playing well at the time, and dropped 2 consecutive games, which is a rare occurrence for them.
The natives were getting restless. Rodgers told them to Relax. I made no mention of a Superbowl.
 
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