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I agree with your thoughts regarding the non-existent possibility of North Carolina beating UConn this year but I do want to say that I definitely don't hold Sylvia Hatch in the same regard that you do. I think this is a down year for their talent but I think she's had a number of teams loaded with talent that have under-acheived. She's not anywhere near the upper tier of women's college basketball coaches, at least not in terms of game coaching. I do feel that she is an outstanding recruiter but a lot might have to do with the aura of North Carolina and their wonderful campus and countryside.+1
This year's Carolina team is expected by all to be miserable. When was the last time they were expected to be 6th or 7th in the ACC. They simply do not have the goods this year. Sylvia will likely have them out perform expectations because she is a good coach but third or fourth in the ACC will be over performing. It may be just as unlikely they don't make the last dance.
VAU, respectfully, you simply are way off on your assessment of both UNC and UConn this year.