- Aug 26, 2011
- Reaction Score
Maybe this should be addressed in another thread(or I can just repeat it), but I have UConn losing to Baylor, Stanford, Texas A & M, Notre Dame(Twice), Duke, and Georgetown; with very tough, losable games to North Carolina, Oklahoma, Rutgers, St. John's, and Syracuse.
Wow. 7 losses for sure. 5 other possible losses.
I could go into details about each team (Stanford lost more player contributions than UConn, RU just lost Lee, A&M lost more as well), but suficit to say, I couldn't disagree more. Syracuse?
What has always set UConn apart is the presence of at least one player of transcendent dominance.
This is very true. But there is a big difference in going from dominating to losing 7-12 games.
Stefanie Dolson is excellent in the post, but she will need help inside, especially on the defensive end. I do not see that help on the current roster.
You don't think that she will get help from the other players? What kind of help will she need? Guarding the post? You have ZERO faith in Stokes, Buck and Johnson. We disagree here.
If, as other posters have predicted, UConn's more diverse offense is able to put points on the board, then they will have a very good season. Will they put more points on the board? Again, I do not see it.
Can you list the scoring averages this team will have by player? I don't think even you can slant it negatively enough to have them score less than last years team.
Maya Moore will, obvioulsy, be difficult to replace; She had transcendent abilities on both ends. More importantly, IMO, are that the points she put up were consistent, given the records set in double figure scoring, and, that she did so shooting better than 50%.
No doubt about it.
The diverse offense, to which most posters have alluded, appear to be coming from the perimeter in the persons of KML, Tiffany, Caroline, Bria, and Kelly. Does anyone here see anyone individually, or, see this group collectively shooting anywhere close to 50%?
The returning players shot 48% last year. Even minus Moores 52% and Walkers 57% in limited games. The team shot 49%.
The lower shooting percentage will translate to more rebounds, more rebounds will lead to more opponent possesions, which means that UConn will have to defend better than they have had to in a while.
Even if they drop as a team from 49% to 47% shooting, base on last years number of shots, it means only 1.4 more rebounding opportunities per game. And UConn dominated on the boards. Even if you make it a 50/50 chance that UConn gets the board, it's only at worst one more possession a game for the opposition.
Will UConn be better defensively without Maya?
I think they will be. Moore,while spectacular at times defensively, was not the best defender fundamentally. With more players available comes more defensive pressure. And the added quickness for Dolson makes her more of a force in the middle.
Will UConn be better on the boards without Maya?
Not sure here. The addition of Stokes is a wild card. She is really college ready rebounding wise. And KML is a solid rebounder as well. I'd bet that between the increase in boards from Buck, and the addition of Stokes and KML, they will come close to matching Moore's numbers.
We are already aware of how important it will be for Stefanie to stay out of foul trouble? Opponents will know that as well.
And they didn't know this last year? This year she will have some backups with Buck and Stokes. Yes, I'm optomistic about that.
This year's UConn team will definitely be a different team that is likely to try the patience of its fans.
Growing pains will occur. But would you like to wager on 7-12 losses?