Big East Tournament Scenarios

[navery12]

2 games to go for everyone in the Big East (1 for St John's / Villanova), and the goal is to get to 2/3 seed for the BET.

Looking through scenarios and the path to a 3 seed is pretty straightforward, beat Marquette on Wednesday and we'd need a win vs Seton Hall or a Marquette loss vs St John's to lock in the 3 seed.

The path to a 2 seed is not easy, but is where things get fun. This is a longshot, but this path means avoiding a matchup with Villanova or Xavier in the quarterfinals:

The most likely path is getting into a 3 way tie with Marquette and Creighton, where UConn wins the round robin tie breaker between the 3 teams. This requires UConn beating Marquette on Wednesday, Marquette beating St John's on Saturday, and Creighton losing to 1 of Seton Hall/Buter.

The other option is UConn beats Marquette on Wednesday and Creighton goes 0-2 this week against Seton Hall and Butler, which is not happening.

The actual chances of any of this happening are here:

 

[BFieldHusky]

This is where that Seton Hall loss really comes back to bite us.

 

[Umami Zen]

My two cents. I don't see us losing either game at Gampel to finish the year. See us as the #3 seed. Additionally- Don't see Marq beating StJ either. Seton Hall playing with house money as the disruptor vs Creighton.

@navery12 .Thx for providing scenarios. Was looking for them.

 

[InKembaITrust]

Lock down that 3 seed...

 

[Pmac923]

Just win the games.

 

[80shusky]

Getting to the 3 would be nice. Won't have to play St John's until the title game.

 

[Hurleyman216]

This is where that Seton Hall loss really comes back to bite us.

Yes, and the win we handed to Nova when AK missed those 2 free throws. We should be squarely in as the 2 seed, but haven’t had many breaks go our way and obviously the McNeeley injury cost us as well. Shoulda, woulda, coulda…didn’t

 

[Hans Sprungfeld]

Just win the games.

...one at a time.

 

[alexd]

Does being a 2 vs being a 3 really matter?? Either way you avoid SJU until the finals.

 

[6Nattys4Us]

Does being a 2 vs being a 3 really matter?? Either way you avoid SJU until the finals.

2 plays the 7/10 winner
3 plays the 6/11 winner

6-11 is likely going to be:

6. Villanova
7. Georgetown
8. Butler
9. Providence
10. Depaul
11. Seton Hall

So playing Georgetown (likely) or DePaul (doubtful) is preferable to playing Nova (likely) or Seton Hall (doubtful)

But yes, playing St. John's in the final is the same (unless Marquette somehow beats them as the 4).

 

[FfldCntyFan]

Does being a 2 vs being a 3 really matter??

Not really. It will determine uniform colors in the semifinals but not much else.

Either way you avoid SJU until the finals.

I'm getting a little tired of seeing this. We need to be willing to face whoever's in front of us and not try to run from competition. If they beat us, they beat us. I'm not sure they are anything that great where we would have to hope for some divine intervention.

 

[Pmac923]

Not really. It will determine uniform colors in the semifinals but not much else.


I'm getting a little tired of seeing this. We need to be willing to face whoever's in front of us and not try to run from competition. If they beat us, they beat us. I'm not sure they are anything that great where we would have to hope for some divine intervention.

Agreed. We need to beat these teams if we want to feel good about ourselves moving forward in the postseason. And just so everyone knows the teams we will be playing in R1 NCAA will be better than Xavier, Georgetown and Villanova.

 

[CTBasketball]

Not really. It will determine uniform colors in the semifinals but not much else.


I'm getting a little tired of seeing this. We need to be willing to face whoever's in front of us and not try to run from competition. If they beat us, they beat us. I'm not sure they are anything that great where we would have to hope for some divine intervention.

Normally I’d agree but I do not want anything to do with St Johns. It is a horrible matchup for us.