Goodman doesn't know what he is talking about.
You are forgetting something: math. Even if UConn goes 18-2 in league play, it is likely at least four other teams have a conference record of 11-9 and likely #1-4 are all 13-7 or better in league play.
The league will likely get four teams in because the bottom half have stepped up. The worst ranked team at Torvik is DePaul at #93 so there aren't a lot of landmines in the league this year. At KenPom, they are #111.
There won't be many Quad 4 games in conference. Every conference road game will be Quad 3 or better and there is a shot every road game with be Quad 1 or 2. About half the league will be Quad 3 at home. If the average BE team is playing 8 Quad 1, 6 Quad 2, and 6 Quad 3 games, we will get four bids by math alone, especially considering that every league outside of the power conferences is way down.