I'm starting to seriously doubt that the league is going to get 7 teams in. This was a huge loss and terrible week for Creighton. They played a bottom-tier Butler side and had a 17-point lead at home against Xavier. That is devastating. Their next two games are at us and Seton Hall. Very possibly two more losses. I honestly don't think Creighton is a tournament team anymore. It also doesn't help that they lost at home to a bad Arizona State team.
Seton Hall (12-7) is also in trouble in my opinion. They still have to play at us, Nova, Xavier, and Creighton and Xavier and Creighton at home. They are only going to play 29 games in the regular season. If they go 3-3 or better in that stretch and win their other 4 remaining games, I think they will be fine. However, I would not surprised if they go 1-5 against the top of the league.
I do think Providence, us, Nova, and Xavier are pretty much locks at this point. Marquette looks good BUT they have a big three-game stretch that could leave them with NINE losses with a lot of games still to play.
At this point, I think the most likely total is 6. That's disappointing right now but at the beginning of the season would have been heralded as a major success.