Delany, Scott, Slive and Swoffard are in a bar having a drink talking about whats best for each of their conferences. In that case the B12 is doomed. I could see a scenario where only Iowa St and Baylor get left out. If all you have to pay off is the contract of 2 schools the movement becomes simple. You give Baylor and ISU each $200M over 10 years and send them to CUSA. Thats all they were going to get anyway. It allows the other teams to move on. This scenario is based on the fact the GOR is not breakable, but paying the TV contracts to two schools is a cheap way to make everything happen.
Teams in play in this drunken bar scenario are
TCU, OSU, KSU, KU, Mizzu, UT, OU, TT, WVU & UConn
PAC and B1G "claim" to have academic standards.
WVU, UConn and TCU would not be logical for the PAC.
B1G would never take WVU, TCU, TT, KSU or OSU
SEC would allow Mizzu to be taken by the B1G if it allowed them 1st pick in the draft. SEC also knows that OU and Texas could have come but already said no.
ACC is the least powerful and gets 4th choice in the draft.
Swofford is told to sit in the corner while Delany and Slive figure out who goes first. Slive knows that UT is a slam dunk, but feels ATM is almost as good and doesn't want the fight or headaches that come with UT. He knows Delany's ego wants a home run and UT is as good or better than ND. Slive allows Delany the first pick. Delany thinks about it. He knows that OU will want to be with UT so he chooses...
You fill in the rest.