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Amen
BE Bubble Update (3/15/24)
- Thread starter auror
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It's going to be UConn-Marquette-Creighton as 1, 3, 3. And then St. John's in Dayton.
nelsonmuntz
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It will be really interesting to see how the Committee treats the NET and the Big 12 and MWC gaming of it. If the NET has any more than a marginal weighting, than the NCAA Selection Committee is saying that lighting up low majors is the most important factor in getting a bid.
Pathetic and lowly acc gets 4
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They know how to game it.
nelsonmuntz
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BE Bubble Update (3/8/24)
Here's how we're looking today before this weekend's last BE games and before the BET. 31. Villanova 17-13...
The Big 12 is marginally better than the Big East in records among the majors, yet the Big 12 is going to get 9 bids to the Big East's 3 bids. That is ridiculous, and makes a joke out of the entire selection process if it happens that way. And if you are going to give the Big 12 9 bids, then you have to give the MWC 6 bids.
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Why is everyone assuming St John's is out? Lunardi and his ilk are frequently wrong. Is there nobody else besides St John's that can lose their bid? Not that I really care, screw Pitino and the guy in the red coat, let them enjoy the NIT.
Pitino with a NYC team = Tuesday night ratings. Hard to imagine they would get bumped.
Pitino with a NYC team = Tuesday night ratings. Hard to imagine they would get bumped.
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PC and Seton Hall are out. Feel bad for Holloway. He's done a great job. I agree it will be UConn, Marquette and Creighton, and St. John's will be in the play-in.
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I think a couple of those Big 12 bids are in jeopardy. TCU, Oklahoma, Texas, at least one of them has to be bumped. Prob Oklahoma, and SJU still might get in. The debate between SJU vs Oklahoma will be interesting.
BE Bubble Update (3/8/24)
Here's how we're looking today before this weekend's last BE games and before the BET. 31. Villanova 17-13...
The Big 12 is marginally better than the Big East in records among the majors, yet the Big 12 is going to get 9 bids to the Big East's 3 bids. That is ridiculous, and makes a joke out of the entire selection process if it happens that way. And if you are going to give the Big 12 9 bids, then you have to give the MWC 6 bids.
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and Michigan State, they don't deserve a bid.
storrsroars
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Two of SJU, Oklahoma and Colorado seem most likely to be bounced. Less likely MSU is bounced, but I suppose it's possible.
I would definitely dump Oklahoma. After that it gets really interesting on how to choose the other.
nelsonmuntz
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The ONLY reason to put Oklahoma in the field is its inflated NET. It would not even be Next Four Out without it.
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Brown wins tomorrow and Creighton is out.
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Whenever I see Michigan State at #25 it makes me question why the NET has validity.This is the best resource for the bubble because it contains all the metrics that are included on the teamsheet and their averages. Plus BracketMatrix projections and the quads. Colorado is percevied as autobid so they're not included here, but they're the missing 11 if you're looking for it (alongside Princeton and Drake also autos). Note again for people mentioning it, a team's own NET rating is meaningless. And at the cut line a team's resume metrics are more important. Check the supporting evidence if you don't believe me.
I've sorted it by resume blend, which has been proven to be the most predictive of bubble selection/inclusion in years past. Quality aka predictive or power ratings do matter, but just not quite as much. Unfortunately KPI is an influential metric for the bubble, and it's relatively down on the Big East this season.
There's a really good chance they're decent, but also a good chance they're not very good.
kobe
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BE Bubble Update (3/8/24)
Here's how we're looking today before this weekend's last BE games and before the BET. 31. Villanova 17-13...
The Big 12 is marginally better than the Big East in records among the majors, yet the Big 12 is going to get 9 bids to the Big East's 3 bids. That is ridiculous, and makes a joke out of the entire selection process if it happens that way. And if you are going to give the Big 12 9 bids, then you have to give the MWC 6 bids.
Still drinking eh?
Is that you wondering if Cincy will ever make the dance again????
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That's what I been thinking. How is Michigan State a tournament resume and not St. John's, Seton Hall, or even Providence?
Michigan Stated does not deserve their name to be called tomorrow. Makes no sense
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Pretty much everyone on bracketmatrix has Marquette as a 2.
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Seton Hall smoked UConn by 15, had a few other good wins, no clue why they wouldn't get an invite.
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