You can't predict the future. Geno has recruited well, but circumstances have thwarted his plans. Certainly due in part to perceived opportunity, he lost Saylor Poffenbarger and Mir McLean. At 6'2", Saylor is averaging a double-double for Arkansas. Mir at Virginia is a hair way from averaging a double-double, at 9.6 rebounds per game. Both would be strong additions to the current roster and logging good minutes.
You also recruit on potential, and you can't predict how everyone will grow and mature. Piath Gabriel's brother was a top 15 recruit and played in the NBA. She's now at her 3rd school and playing only a few minutes per game.