Another Way-Too-Early ranking

[Bone Dog]

I get the temptation to put LSU at the top. But Charlie gives in to it too easily. Kim's got a formula -- lots of 'personalities' (as she describes them) and a creampuff schedule. With a little luck it worked for them last season. She could well repeat this season.

The thing is, I find it hard to believe LSU will beat SC this season, and they could conceivably lose to them 3 times. I also wonder if they'll manage to beat Tennessee. Charlie's speculations will look pretty bad if they take 4 or more losses in conference. In any event, I'd definitely put them behind Utah, SC, and Va Tech any of whom seems likely to beat them handily.

Who does this leave in the 1 & 2 spots? Well, someone's gotta follow the Huskies. Might as well be the Bruins.

LSU, UConn, UCLA headline women's basketball Way-Too-Early Top 25

With plenty of player movement and top stars back, the women's college basketball race is wide open. But everyone starts out looking up at LSU.

www.espn.com

 

[Geew1992]

I get the temptation to put LSU at the top. But Charlie gives in to it too easily. Kim's got a formula -- lots of 'personalities' (as she describes them) and a creampuff schedule. With a little luck it worked for them last season. She could well repeat this season.

The thing is, I find it hard to believe LSU will beat SC this season, and they could conceivably lose to them 3 times. I also wonder if they'll manage to beat Tennessee. Charlie's speculations will look pretty bad if they take 4 or more losses in conference. In any event, I'd definitely put them behind Utah, SC, and Va Tech any of whom seems likely to beat them handily.

Who does this leave in the 1 & 2 spots? Well, someone's gotta follow the Huskies. Might as well be the Bruins.

LSU, UConn, UCLA headline women's basketball Way-Too-Early Top 25

With plenty of player movement and top stars back, the women's college basketball race is wide open. But everyone starts out looking up at LSU.

www.espn.com

LSU won the championship and until someone beats them, they should be number 1. And Crème isn’t the only one to put LSU at 1. Every one is ranking them #1

 

[sun]

Charlie also made his 1st bracketology with the #1 seeds being LSU, UConn. UCLA & Ohio State.
He cites Morrow's choice of LSU as the reason to give them the edge over UConn.

Morrow's decision to leave DePaul for Baton Rouge pushed LSU past UConn for the top overall seed.

Women's Bracketology: Which teams join South Carolina on the top line?

Will the ACC, Big Ten or SEC put double-digit teams in the 2025 NCAA tourney? The projection begins with 1-seeds South Carolina, UConn, USC and UCLA.

www.espn.com

 

[Skeets]

LSU won the championship and until someone beats them, they should be number 1. And Crème isn’t the only one to put LSU at 1. Every one is ranking them #1

I agree. The champion should remain the champion until someone proves they are not the champion. The #1 ranking to start the season should be automatic every year. If the champion doesn't deserve the #1 ranking it will shake out soon enough. It's not who is #1 to start the year, but of course who ends the season at #1.

 

[Next 12]

Uconn will be NO,1 at the end of the season. I don't have statistics, but I believe Uconn has been at NO.1 longer than all other schools combined. NO.1 belongs to us. GO HUSKIES!!!!

 

[HuskyNan]

Charlie also made his 1st bracketology with the #1 seeds being LSU, UConn. UCLA & Ohio State.
He cites Morrow's choice of LSU as the reason to give them the edge over UConn.

Morrow's decision to leave DePaul for Baton Rouge pushed LSU past UConn for the top overall seed.

Women's Bracketology: Which teams join South Carolina on the top line?

Will the ACC, Big Ten or SEC put double-digit teams in the 2025 NCAA tourney? The projection begins with 1-seeds South Carolina, UConn, USC and UCLA.

www.espn.com

Hmmm, we’ll see. I love Aneesah’s play - she’s incredibly talented - but she’s a bit of a black hole when she gets the ball, taking 35.5% of DePaul’s shots last year. It’s not that DePaul lacked talent, either, it’s that Aneesah tends to force the ball up even though opponents were expecting it. She wasn’t catching teams unaware in her sophomore season. Hopefully her game has matured

 

[Bone Dog]

LSU won the championship and until someone beats them, they should be number 1. And Crème isn’t the only one to put LSU at 1. Every one is ranking them #1

I disagree. The teams change too much season to season to justify such a privilege. And a privilege it most certainly is, and one that Kim knows how to use to obscure her weak scheduling and to lure prospects to Baton Rouge who wouldn’t otherwise have considered such an obscure outpost.

The NET is eventually more or less accurate, say by early March. But for the first few months it rewards weak schedules for the lopsided wins they tend to produce. Without folks like Charlie to call out the likelier results — namely that LSU will not do particularly well in conference and likely can’t win against Va Tech or even Utah in any tournament meetings — the committee could well overrule what the NET says in March and give a 24-5 team a regional #1 seed “because of their high average margin of victory.” I’m pretty sure Kim is counting on this.

Journalists are not cheerleaders. They’re supposed to prognosticate about reality. If Iowa enters this year’s tournament with only 2 losses and doesn’t host a regional, what then? Or Indiana. Or Utah. Or Tennessee. Or ND. Or Va Tech.

Who seems likelier to genuinely dominate and deserve to host? UConn of course. And SC of course. But also any 2 teams from that list above plus UCLA. They’ll have earned it. On the other hand, if LSU goes undefeated in conference, or at least manages to beat SC, then I’ll change my view.

 

[Alydar]

I disagree. The teams change too much season to season to justify such a privilege. And a privilege it most certainly is, and one that Kim knows how to use to obscure her weak scheduling and to lure prospects to Baton Rouge who wouldn’t otherwise have considered such an obscure outpost.

The NET is eventually more or less accurate, say by early March. But for the first few months it rewards weak schedules for the lopsided wins they tend to produce. Without folks like Charlie to call out the likelier results — namely that LSU will not do particularly well in conference and likely can’t win against Va Tech or even Utah in any tournament meetings — the committee could well overrule what the NET says in March and give a 24-5 team a regional #1 seed “because of their high average margin of victory.” I’m pretty sure Kim is counting on this.

Journalists are not cheerleaders. They’re supposed to prognosticate about reality. If Iowa enters this year’s tournament with only 2 losses and doesn’t host a regional, what then? Or Indiana. Or Utah. Or Tennessee. Or ND. Or Va Tech.

Who seems likelier to genuinely dominate and deserve to host? UConn of course. And SC of course. But also any 2 teams from that list above plus UCLA. They’ll have earned it. On the other hand, if LSU goes undefeated in conference, or at least manages to beat SC, then I’ll change my view.

I'm hoping that Iowa gets sent to Albany in the opposite bracket to UConn. Two games with Clark and two with Fudd/Bueckers would be a weekend for the ages.

 

[Cuango]

I’ve got my doubts as to UCLA & Ohio State being #1 seeds. SC is more likely than either of them imo and Utah, ND, Texas and V Tech are all as likely as those two. (Or at least close)

 

[Rowdy831]

Who is number one? At this point it is more of a popularity contest coupled with a lot of guess work. In my opinion UCONN will have one of the most dominant seasons in their history and with that will rise to the top spot early and keep it until the rankings next season.

I look at last season and still can't believe how close they were to competing for the title. All that while missing their leader the whole season and their second best player for a good half of the season. This season they look healthy, and they are a much deeper team than they were last year. Should be exciting times ahead.

 

[Tonyc]

There are two reasons why UCONN is the best team in the country............Paige and Azzi. There wont be a better show in WCBB then the Paige and Azzi Show.

 

[Next 12]

I have to add 3 more names . Caroline, who will show Uconn fans how good she really is this year; Aaliyah, who will be even better this year and an AA and Nika ,who will be the DPOY for the third time. GO TEAM!!! GO HUSKIES!!!!

 

[Urshurak]

These discussions crack me up. @next12, your ra ra ra is a classic! Love it.

We shall find out the chops of this team when they face UCLA next month. Recommend re-grouping then.

Hoping UConn destroys them!

 

[Cuango]

I have to add 3 more names . Caroline, who will show Uconn fans how good she really is this year; Aaliyah, who will be even better this year and an AA and Nika ,who will be the DPOY for the third time. GO TEAM!!! GO HUSKIES!!!!

If Caroline were to be fully healthy, she would make four, count em, four players on this team that I’m pretty sure would start on any team in the country! That’s pretty strong!

 

[asuwish]

I get the temptation to put LSU at the top. But Charlie gives in to it too easily. Kim's got a formula -- lots of 'personalities' (as she describes them) and a creampuff schedule. With a little luck it worked for them last season. She could well repeat this season.

The thing is, I find it hard to believe LSU will beat SC this season, and they could conceivably lose to them 3 times. I also wonder if they'll manage to beat Tennessee. Charlie's speculations will look pretty bad if they take 4 or more losses in conference. In any event, I'd definitely put them behind Utah, SC, and Va Tech any of whom seems likely to beat them handily.

Who does this leave in the 1 & 2 spots? Well, someone's gotta follow the Huskies. Might as well be the Bruins.

LSU, UConn, UCLA headline women's basketball Way-Too-Early Top 25

With plenty of player movement and top stars back, the women's college basketball race is wide open. But everyone starts out looking up at LSU.

www.espn.com

They have more talent on paper than anyone. Returning players, freshman and transfers they are a superteam. That doesn't guarantee a title but they should be better that SC and I think TN is overrated after losing there one true ball handler, and there best three point shooter

 

[visitingcock]

They have more talent on paper than anyone. Returning players, freshman and transfers they are a superteam. That doesn't guarantee a title but they should be better that SC and I think TN is overrated after losing there one true ball handler, and there best three point shooter

Do they really have “more talent on paper?”

South Carolina has probably more(unproven) paper talent at least at the high school talent /prospect level. Every player on the roster was a top 25 ranked prospect except one freshman (Jah) who was around 40 ( with Quadence Samuel) and led her team to a hs national championship.

Of course, paper is just paper - not hardwood. the two teams will play 3/4 of their season before they face off.

 

[asuwish]

Do they really have “more talent on paper?”

South Carolina has probably more(unproven) paper talent at least at the high school talent /prospect level. Every player on the roster was a top 25 ranked prospect except one freshman (Jah) who was around 40 ( with Quadence Samuel) and led her team to a hs national championship.

Of course, paper is just paper - not hardwood. the two teams will play 3/4 of their season before they face off.

This may sound strange to some but SC may be harder to beat this year. Who says Raven Johnson even starts by the end of the year. The past few years SC was so big and strong they just physically overwhelmed team, and I mean within the rules, but outside shooting was the one weakness so teams packed it in. With the transfer from OR, and the freshman of they can both flat out shoot it. I think there are five or six super deep teams that can win it and SC is one of them.

 

[Skeets]

In that scenario I would let them start as #1. To do otherwise would be to say the remaining players and recruits are dog poop. I say let them prove they are dog poop. Or said another way, let other teams prove they are dog poop.

It's the whole "on paper" argument. What you are saying is that "on paper" they are not #1. The game isn't and should never be played "on paper".

 

[Bone Dog]

In that scenario I would let them start as #1. To do otherwise would be to say the remaining players and recruits are dog poop. I say let them prove they are dog poop. Or said another way, let other teams prove they are dog poop.

It's the whole "on paper" argument. What you are saying is that "on paper" they are not #1. The game isn't and should never be played "on paper".

I get the “prove it” idea. But “paper” is more complicated than you let on given its influence on the seedings, as I explained above. If a coach figures out how to game the committee and the journalists, he or she can turn a portal-patchwork team into a top seed and avoid face many (maybe almost all) real teams on the way to an NC. We would all consider this anti-competitive. And this is without considering the impact on recruiting.

When fans indulge such things it is only natural. After all, many BYers have complained that Geno didn’t find another big in the portal almost every year. But he has learned over many years that you can’t build a team that way, and we sometimes forget it. Yes, he takes a few transfers, but only if he thinks they can fit into a team concept. And he prefers it when they’ve satisfied their commitment to their first team. Evina was an exception, but there were special circumstances in that case, as we’ve all heard.

Journalists shouldn’t write and think as fans do. They have a responsibility to the integrity of the game they cover. It’s not enough to report what fans already hope or fear. Or to treat the game like it’s a popularity contest. They have much better access than we do. Their job is precisely to prognosticate, to say what’s likely at any given moment. Assuming last year’s champion should be ranked #1 is not doing that job. Worse, it plays into the hands of coaches who don’t care about teams or the integrity of the game. We all remember the reckless speculations journalists used to indulge in to the effect that UConn was bad for the game for no other reason than that Geno was a great coach. What Creme and others like him are doing now is as bad (and as bad for the game) as those reckless remarks were.

 

[sun]

I'm looking forward to seeing ND's Hannah Hidalgo become a superstar.
Whether ND wins or loses many games or not she should be exciting to watch.

 

[Bone Dog]

I like Carl Adamec's compromise position. He has LSU as #1 "until they lose". Of course, given their schedule, it may not happen until VPI... unless, of course, Colorado stands tall on opening day.

Where does UConn women's basketball land on our preseason AP Top 25 ballot?

Our AP Top 25 ballot features LSU at the top. Where does UConn women's basketball team land in the preseason poll?

www.ctinsider.com

 

[hoopsnloops32]

I like Carl Adamec's compromise position. He has LSU as #1 "until they lose". Of course, given their schedule, it may not happen until VPI... unless, of course, Colorado stands tall on opening day.

Where does UConn women's basketball land on our preseason AP Top 25 ballot?

Our AP Top 25 ballot features LSU at the top. Where does UConn women's basketball team land in the preseason poll?

www.ctinsider.com

I believe Colorado is returning everyone from a team that made the Sweet Sixteen, no? I wouldn't be surprised at all if LSU stumbled out the gates with them.

 

[visitingcock]

fwiw , Massey has the following ranking which seems to be settled as it's preseason ranking. (it was in fluctuation last week). As we all know and they will admit, it's pretty much garbage until ten or more games have been played. I do find the strength of schedule forward to be interesting:.

Team	Record	Δ	Rat	Pwr	Off	Def	HFA	SoS	SSF	EW	EL
South Carolina NCAA	0-0 0.000		1 9.46	1 74.09	4 101.54	1 37.38	2.64	2 0.00	1 56.29	25.75	3.25
Stanford NCAA	0-0 0.000		2 9.09	2 69.22	9 100.21	3 33.85	2.60	2 0.00	20 52.95	25.98	4.02
Connecticut NCAA	0-0 0.000		3 9.04	3 68.56	8 100.26	4 33.14	2.67	2 0.00	10 54.83	25.24	5.76
Iowa NCAA	0-0 0.000		4 8.83	4 65.88	1 106.43	78 24.29	2.56	2 0.00	3 55.46	21.26	6.74
Indiana NCAA	0-0 0.000		5 8.83	5 65.83	7 100.46	21 30.21	2.64	2 0.00	14 54.47	21.66	6.34
Maryland NCAA	0-0 0.000		6 8.80	6 65.39	3 102.80	40 27.42	2.70	2 0.00	2 55.58	21.58	7.42
LSU NCAA	0-0 0.000		7 8.76	8 64.70	13 99.06	19 30.47	2.55	2 0.00	53 50.64	26.10	5.90
NC State NCAA	0-0 0.000		8 8.75	7 64.75	14 98.63	13 30.96	2.69	2 0.00	6 55.04	22.40	7.60
Virginia Tech NCAA	0-0 0.000		9 8.72	10 64.18	18 97.50	8 31.51	2.64	2 0.00	11 54.78	21.15	7.85
Tennessee NCAA	0-0 0.000		10 8.72	9 64.20	10 99.75	26 29.28	2.71	2 0.00	4 55.33	19.94	8.06
Texas NCAA	0-0 0.000		11 8.71	11 64.02	26 96.33	5 32.53	2.66	2 0.00	48 50.92	24.87	6.13
Louisville NCAA	0-0 0.000		12 8.71	12 63.99	15 98.40	20 30.42	2.62	2 0.00	12 54.58	22.84	8.16
Notre Dame NCAA	0-0 0.000		13 8.66	13 63.39	20 97.34	15 30.88	2.69	2 0.00	9 54.86	22.10	8.90
Iowa St NCAA	0-0 0.000		14 8.61	14 62.82	12 99.06	31 28.59	2.70	2 0.00	38 51.68	22.17	6.83
Ohio St NCAA	0-0 0.000		15 8.60	15 62.64	5 101.15	51 26.32	2.67	2 0.00	7 55.02	20.19	8.81
North Carolina NCAA	0-0 0.000		16 8.58	17 62.24	28 95.78	10 31.29	2.73	2 0.00	8 54.98	18.98	9.02
Baylor NCAA	0-0 0.000		17 8.56	16 62.24	19 97.46	24 29.62	2.67	2 0.00	25 52.62	21.44	7.56
UCLA NCAA	0-0 0.000		18 8.55	20 61.86	29 95.78	14 30.91	2.62	2 0.00	5 55.30	18.70	9.30
Oregon NCAA	0-0 0.000		19 8.55	19 61.99	16 97.85	29 28.98	2.77	2 0.00	51 50.69	13.43	4.57
Utah NCAA	0-0 0.000		20 8.54	18 62.00	6 100.58	55 26.25	2.70	2 0.00	49 50.77	10.95	4.05
Arizona NCAA	0-0 0.000		21 8.52	21 61.61	22 96.73	23 29.72	2.63	2 0.00	40 51.50	13.28	4.72
Duke NCAA	0-0 0.000		22 8.51	22 61.36	69 91.80	2 34.39	2.62	2 0.00	13 54.48	19.81	10.19
Colorado NCAA	0-0 0.000		23 8.48	23 60.98	35 94.84	12 30.98	2.68	2 0.00	39 51.60	11.59	4.41
Michigan NCAA	0-0 0.000		24 8.46	24 60.74	23 96.55	28 29.02	2.63	2 0.00	34 51.93	20.18	7.82
Mississippi NCAA	0-0 0.000		25 8.44	25 60.37	44 93.66	6 31.55	2.61	2 0.00	37 51.69	19.17	7.83

 

[hoopsnloops32]

This may sound strange to some but SC may be harder to beat this year. Who says Raven Johnson even starts by the end of the year. The past few years SC was so big and strong they just physically overwhelmed team, and I mean within the rules, but outside shooting was the one weakness so teams packed it in. With the transfer from OR, and the freshman of they can both flat out shoot it. I think there are five or six super deep teams that can win it and SC is one of them.

I think South Carolina being harder to beat this year depends on if Dawn Staley is able to create a formidable half court offensive system imo. South Carolina was defensively elite the last few years in large part because of Boston's ability to defend down low and even around the perimeter and offensively elite because of their dominance on the boards. They lost a lot what was driving their dominance on both sides of the ball and don't have the personnel to replicate it, which means the efficiency will have to come through in other ways.

They may have more raw talent that last year but I'd be curious on how they utilize it, as they'd have to look quite different on both sides of the ball to put it all together. At least in my opinion.