Not every game counts towards the cup. These are the records concerning the cup:
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Liberty has the most difficult path because they have to beat Atlanta on Tuesday and hope Indiana loses to Connecticut. Indiana has the tie breaker against New York from their win this past weekend.
Atlanta still holds their own fate since they own the tie breaker against Indiana so in theory they have the easiest path, but beating New York is no easy feat, especially considering that would mean that New York will have lost two games in a row.
I think the most likely scenario is that New York beats Atlanta, eliminating Atlanta from contention, and Indiana beats Connecticut. This means New York and Indiana will be 4-1 in the cup standings with Indiana having the tie breaker over New York from winning the head-to-head
TLDR, these are the four scenarios for next Tuesday:
(1)
Atlanta beats New York
Indiana beats Connecticut
Atlanta advances to the cup finals
(2)
Atlanta beats New York
Connecticut beats Indiana
Atlanta advances to the cup finals
(3)
New York beats Atlanta
Indiana beats Connecticut
Indiana advances to the cup finals
(4)
New York beats Atlanta
Connecticut beats Indiana
New York advances to the cup finals