Wins needed for a NCAA at large bid

[ucjoet]

Tough loss yesterday. Need to win today's game. Will updates charts after game.

 

[SAMCRO]

thank for doing this. love this recap/tracking thread

 

[ucjoet]

thank for doing this. love this recap/tracking thread

Thanks. Glad you enjoy it. Keeps me interested in the baseball season. Just saw we are up 7-0 today. Will update spreadsheet once game is complete.

 

[ucjoet]

Have not been able to follow last 2 games. We got a split so far in USF series, with 7 - 0 victory today. Tomorrow's game would be a big win for us. We would get a series win over a good USF team. It would also place us at or above all projected goals below ( no red)




current record.. season goal

3 - 2 / .600 % .... 16 - 8 / .667 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
4- 0 / 1.000% ... 10 - 2 / .846 - New England games
12 -8 / .600 % .... 12 - 8 / .600 - Other games

19 -10/ .655 % ..... 40-20 / .667 - Overall record

34 .... <61- RPI

14 = NPI


Green = Above expectation
Blue = At expectation
Red = Below expectation
Black = not yet applicable

 

[ucjoet]

As I stated above, the next 10 game portion of our schedule will tell a great deal about this team. So far we are 1- 1 in this 10 game stretch. That first game loss was a tough one, being up 6 - 3 when Cross leaves game in 8th and then losing game. Winning today to win series over USF would be big.

USF (28) loss 0 - 1
USF (28) win 1 - 1
USF (28)
UHart (285)
NE (217)
UCF (44)
UCF (44)
UCF (44)
Farifield (257)
Bryant (138)

 

[ucjoet]

First Happy Easter and Passover to everyone. Was not able to completely follow games this weekend. But I do know we were in good shape in both of our losses and could not hold on to leads. Would have been nice to get 2 of 3, but it feels like we should have swept them. That is why it is so disappointing.

Next 2 Non- conference games are now a must win ( in my opinion). Can not afford to lose either of these 2 games. Hopefully after these 2 wins , we can win series at UCF to get back on track.



USF (28) loss 0 - 1
USF (28) win 1 - 1
USF (28) loss 1 -2
UHart (285)
NE (217)
UCF (44)
UCF (44)
UCF (44)
Farifield (257)
Bryant (138)

 

[ucjoet]

current record.. season goal

3 - 3 / .500 % .... 16 - 8 / .667 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
4- 0 / 1.000% ... 10 - 2 / .846 - New England games
12 -8 / .600 % .... 12 - 8 / .600 - Other games

19 -11/ .633 % ..... 40-20 / .667 - Overall record

37 .... <61- RPI

18 = NPI


Green = Above expectation
Blue = At expectation
Red = Below expectation
Black = not yet applicable

 

[ucjoet]

Needed this 9-1 victory today. Also we need to beat UHart tomorrow. These games don't help that much in regards to RPI if we win, but they are killers if we lose.



USF (28) loss 0 - 1
USF (28) win 1 - 1
USF (28) loss 1 -2
UHart (285)
NE (217) Win ( 2-2)
UCF (44)
UCF (44)
UCF (44)
Farifield (257)
Bryant (138)

 

[ucjoet]

current record.. season goal

3 - 3 / .500 % .... 16 - 8 / .667 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
5- 0 / 1.000% ... 10 - 2 / .846 - New England games
12 -8 / .600 % .... 12 - 8 / .600 - Other games

20 -11/ .645 % ..... 40-20 / .667 - Overall record

38 .... <61- RPI

16 = NPI


Green = Above expectation
Blue = At expectation
Red = Below expectation
Black = not yet applicable

 

[ucjoet]

With loss to UHart today we are currently 2 -3 in the below 10 game stretch. Was shooting for 7 - 3 but that means we would need to sweep next 5 games. Would be satisfied with 2 of 3 from UCF and beating both Fairfield and Bryant.




USF (28) loss 0 - 1
USF (28) win 1 - 1
USF (28) loss 1 -2
UHart (285) loss 2 - 3
NE (217) Win ( 2-2)
UCF (44)
UCF (44)
UCF (44)
Farifield (257)
Bryant (138)

 

[ucjoet]

Even though we are currently on pace to match our projected goal of 10 -2 in New England games, it always bothers me when we lose one of these games. We lost 2 games to USF which in my opinion we should have won ( good leads in each game), then losing to UHart really hurts. Need to get at least 2 at UCF this weekend.




current record.. season goal

3 - 3 / .500 % .... 16 - 8 / .667 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
5- 1 / .833% ... 10 - 2 / .833 - New England games
12 -8 / .600 % .... 12 - 8 / .600 - Other games

20 -12/ .625 % ..... 40-20 / .667 - Overall record

47 .... <61- RPI

24 = NPI


Green = Above expectation
Blue = At expectation
Red = Below expectation
Black = not yet applicable

 

[ucjoet]

Nice start to UCF series.


USF (28) loss 0 - 1
USF (28) win 1 - 1
USF (28) loss 1 -2
UHart (285) loss 2 - 3
NE (217) Win ( 2-2)
UCF (44) win 3 - 3
UCF (44)
UCF (44)
Farifield (257)
Bryant (138)

 

[ucjoet]

current record.. season goal

4 - 3 / .571 % .... 16 - 8 / .667 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
5- 1 / .833% ... 10 - 2 / .833 - New England games
12 -8 / .600 % .... 12 - 8 / .600 - Other games

21 -12/ .636 % ..... 40-20 / .667 - Overall record

38 .... <61- RPI

18 = NPI


Green = Above expectation
Blue = At expectation
Red = Below expectation
Black = not yet applicable

 

[dbmill]

With the Saturday win at UCF, UConn now has a current RPI of 34 according to the Warren Nolan website. That website also has the AAC at No. 4 in Conference RPI. If UConn can keep winning in the AAC and keep its RPI in the 30's, I'd have to think the Huskies are in good shape for getting into the NCAA tournament.

 

[ucjoet]

With the Saturday win at UCF, UConn now has a current RPI of 34 according to the Warren Nolan website. That website also has the AAC at No. 4 in Conference RPI. If UConn can keep winning in the AAC and keep its RPI in the 30's, I'd have to think the Huskies are in good shape for getting into the NCAA tournament.

Just checked our RPI and it is 36. It will probably fluctuate today until all games are complete. We will definitely be an at large team if we continue to win and have an RPI in the 30's. Again from the little research I have done. Every team ( last 4 years) that won 40 or more games and had an RPI of lower than 60 made the tourney. We are pretty much on pace for both those categories.

 

[ucjoet]

Was hoping for 2 of 3 in this series. But now that we won the first 2 , getting greedy an want a sweep. A sweep would really help us forget about that UHart loss.

USF (28) loss 0 - 1
USF (28) win 1 - 1
USF (28) loss 1 -2
UHart (285) loss 2 - 3
NE (217) Win ( 2-2)
UCF (44) win 3 - 3
UCF (44) win 4 - 3
UCF (44)
Farifield (257)
Bryant (138)

 

[ucjoet]

current record.. season goal

5 - 3 / .625 % .... 16 - 8 / .667 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
5- 1 / .833% ... 10 - 2 / .833 - New England games
12 -8 / .600 % .... 12 - 8 / .600 - Other games

22 -12/ .647 % ..... 40-20 / .667 - Overall record

36 .... <61- RPI

14 = NPI


Green = Above expectation
Blue = At expectation
Red = Below expectation
Black = not yet applicable

 

[ucjoet]

Was looking to win 2 of 3 in the UCF series, but by winning first 2 games getting greedy and want a sweep. This would help us forget the UHart loss.



USF (28) loss 0 - 1
USF (28) win 1 - 1
USF (28) loss 1 -2
UHart (285) loss 2 - 3
NE (217) Win ( 2-2)
UCF (44) win 3 - 3
UCF (44) win 4 - 3
UCF (44)
Farifield (257)
Bryant (138)

 

[ucjoet]

Taken 2 of 3 vs a ranked UCF team has to be considered a good weekend. But once we won first 2, was looking for a sweep. These next 2 NE games are must wins. They would really hurt our RPI with losses. Was looking to go 7 - 3 over below stretch , but if we win next 2 we get to 6 - 4 which is satisfactory.



USF (28) loss 0 - 1
USF (28) win 1 - 1
USF (28) loss 1 -2
UHart (285) loss 2 - 3
NE (217) Win ( 2-2)
UCF (44) win 3 - 3
UCF (44) win 4 - 3
UCF (44) loss 4 - 4
Farifield (257)
Bryant (138)

 

[ucjoet]

Winning 2 of 3 from UCF has lowered our RPI from 47 to 32. Really important to win next 2 games vs NE foes. This would keep us very close to on pace for the 40 wins, and it would also not damage our RPI.


current record.. season goal

5 - 4 / .555 % .... 16 - 8 / .667 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
5- 1 / .833% ... 10 - 2 / .833 - New England games
12 -8 / .600 % .... 12 - 8 / .600 - Other games

22 -13/ .629 % ..... 40-20 / .667 - Overall record

32 .... <61- RPI

17 = NPI


Green = Above expectation
Blue = At expectation
Red = Below expectation
Black = not yet applicable

 

[johnhuskies95]

Getting to 16-8 in the AAC will be tough, need to sweep teams like Cincy.

 

[ucjoet]

Getting to 16-8 in the AAC will be tough, need to sweep teams like Cincy.

No doubt it will not be easy to do, but I think it is a definite possibility. We lost two games to USF , in which we had significant leads. If we had only held on to 1 of those leads we would be 6-3 in league play. Which would be on pace for a 16-8 record. Also we have 9 games left vs the lowest ranked AAC teams (RPI wise). We have 6 with East Carolina and 3 with Cinci. Need to take advantage of this.

The AAC is a tough baseball league, but as of now we have shown we will be a player in this league.

 

[ucjoet]

Beat Fairfield 7 - 0 today. The highlights for me was the solid pitching from Zapata, Nepiarsky and Brown. In total only gave up 5 hits with 1 walk and 8 K's. Great job. Also nice to see Hill get a start at short. Went 3 - 4 with 2 doubles. Has to help his confidence and in turn help our depth. Need to win vs Bryant tomorrow.

USF (28) loss 0 - 1
USF (28) win 1 - 1
USF (28) loss 1 -2
UHart (285) loss 2 - 3
NE (217) Win ( 2-2)
UCF (44) win 3 - 3
UCF (44) win 4 - 3
UCF (44) loss 4 - 4
Farifield (257) 5 - 4
Bryant (138)

 

[ucjoet]

As I have said before these NE games are very important to win. They don't really help the RPI with a win , but really hurt if we lose. So far we have been taking care of business pretty well in this category. As you will notice our RPI dropped from 32 to 35 with the win. But that is not a problem, just as long as we get wins from these games.



current record.. season goal

5 - 4 / .555 % .... 16 - 8 / .667 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
6- 1 / .857% ... 10 - 2 / .833 - New England games
12 -8 / .600 % .... 12 - 8 / .600 - Other games

23 -13/ .639 % ..... 40-20 / .667 - Overall record

35 .... <61- RPI

13 = NPI


Green = Above expectation
Blue = At expectation
Red = Below expectation
Black = not yet applicable

 

[ucjoet]

Beat Fairfield 7 - 0 today. Great pitching from Zapata, Nepiarsky and Brown. Gave up a total of only 5 hits and 1 walk, with 8 K's. Also nice to see Hill get a start at short. Went 3 - 4 with 2 doubles. That should be good for his confidence and in turn help our depth.



USF (28) loss 0 - 1
USF (28) win 1 - 1
USF (28) loss 1 -2
UHart (285) loss 2 - 3
NE (217) Win ( 2-2)
UCF (44) win 3 - 3
UCF (44) win 4 - 3
UCF (44) loss 4 - 4
Farifield (257) 5 - 4
Bryant (138)