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Great question. By my calculations we are a 4 to 5 wins behind. I figured this by taking the "projected" winning percentage of each category, and multiply it by the games we have played in that category. Also we would need to to go 32 - 8 the rest of the year to reach our 40 win goal. That means winning 80 percent of our remaining games. Not an easy task.I love that you do this - for more of a casual fan this stuff is pretty hard to follow.
Based on your understanding of who we have played so far - how many games "behind" do you think we are in terms of what you would have expected our record to be by now to be an at large team?
Stating the obvious , we really need to string a bunch of victories together.