Men - Wins Needed for a 2024 At Large bid | Page 2 | The Boneyard

Men Wins Needed for a 2024 At Large bid

I love that you do this - for more of a casual fan this stuff is pretty hard to follow.

Based on your understanding of who we have played so far - how many games "behind" do you think we are in terms of what you would have expected our record to be by now to be an at large team?
Great question. By my calculations we are a 4 to 5 wins behind. I figured this by taking the "projected" winning percentage of each category, and multiply it by the games we have played in that category. Also we would need to to go 32 - 8 the rest of the year to reach our 40 win goal. That means winning 80 percent of our remaining games. Not an easy task.

Stating the obvious , we really need to string a bunch of victories together.
 
Great question. By my calculations we are a 4 to 5 wins behind. I figured this by taking the "projected" winning percentage of each category, and multiply it by the games we have played in that category. Also we would need to to go 32 - 8 the rest of the year to reach our 40 win goal. That means winning 80 percent of our remaining games. Not an easy task.

Stating the obvious , we really need to string a bunch of victories together.

Thanks. Really appreciate what you do here.
 
Losing 3 of last 4 really hurts. Thought we were going to make a run once we got back from California trip.

current record........... season goal
7 - 10 / .412% ........ 14 - 8 / .636% - National
1 - 3/ .250 ......... 9 - 3 / .750 - Northeast

0 - 0 / .000 ......... 15 - 6 / .714 - B E season
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - B E tourney
Post season Criteria
(1) 8 - 13/ .381.... 40 - 19 / .693
(2) 51st ...... < 50 Team RPI

(3) 4th. ........ < 12 Conf RPI
(3) N / A. ........ Top 2 Big East
 
Losing 3 of last 4 really hurts. Thought we were going to make a run once we got back from California trip.

current record........... season goal
7 - 10 / .412% ........ 14 - 8 / .636% - National
1 - 3/ .250 ......... 9 - 3 / .750 - Northeast

0 - 0 / .000 ......... 15 - 6 / .714 - B E season
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - B E tourney
Post season Criteria
(1) 8 - 13/ .381.... 40 - 19 / .693
(2) 51st ...... < 50 Team RPI

(3) 4th. ........ < 12 Conf RPI
(3) N / A. ........ Top 2 Big East

Agree with your comment. As the California spring break trip progressed, it seemed to me that the team was starting to turn things around after the poor start to the season. Thought UConn baseball was about to make a nice run of things. Well, so much for that, need to hope that things come around when the Big East games start, otherwise it could be that UConn baseball's streak of 5 consecutive invites to the NCAA tournament might end with this season.
 
I’m historically optimistic about our At Large bid opportunity, but this year we need an incredible turnaround for us to have any possibility.
Our only saving grace at this time is our team and conference RPI. If this keeps up, we may be able to sneak in with less than our 40 win goal.
We obviously need to string Many wins together.

Go Huskies!!!


current record........... season goal
7 - 10 / .412% ........ 14 - 8 / .636% - National
2 - 3/ .400 ......... 9 - 3 / .750 - Northeast

0 - 0 / .000 ......... 15 - 6 / .714 - B E season
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - B E tourney
Post season Criteria
(1) 9 - 13/ .409.... 40 - 19 / .693
(2) 40. ...... < 50 Team RPI
(3) 5th. ........ < 12 Conf RPI

(3) N / A. ........ Top 2 Big East
 
Still with 6 opportunities against quality out of conference teams remaining. Currently top 100 rpi. It’s a long shot at an at-large, but itll keep it interesting.

Easier said then done, but a Big East exit across all sports but hockey, asap, is needed. Unfortunately, a 6th Title will only further Uconn from a P5 affiliation! Sad, but truth in that I believe.
 
.-.
Hate giving up on a possible At Large bid, but with losses piling up we are definitely a very long shot. Looks like our goal for this year, is to make ( and win) the Big East tournament.

Once the Big East season starts, I will make a separate category ( top 4 in BE).

Go Huskies!!!

current record........... season goal
7 - 10 / .412% ........ 14 - 8 / .636% - National
2 - 4/ .333 ......... 9 - 3 / .750 - Northeast

0 - 0 / .000 ......... 15 - 6 / .714 - B E season
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - B E tourney
Post season Criteria
(1) 9 - 14/ .391.... 40 - 19 / .693
(2) 50 ...... < 50 Team RPI

(3) 7. ........ < 12 Conf RPI
(3) N / A. ........ Top 2 Big Eas
 
Unfortunately as each loss adds up, our At Large bid becomes less likely. I hate to say this so early in the season, but looks like the only way we are getting a bid is to win BE tournament.

Hopefully we can get going once BE play starts.

Go Huskies!!!

current record........... season goal
7 - 10 / .412% ........ 14 - 8 / .636% - National
2 - 5/ .286 ......... 9 - 3 / .750 - Northeast

0 - 0 / .000 ......... 15 - 6 / .714 - B E season
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - B E tourney
Post season Criteria
(1) 9 - 15/ .375.... 40 - 19 / .693
(2) 53 ...... < 50 Team RPI

(3) 7. ........ < 12 Conf RPI
(3) N / A. ........ Top 2 Big East
 
Was at game yesterday. Went with my friend Sean Moore ( Ryan Moore’s dad). We were able to speak with Coach Penders before the game. Always a pleasure speaking to him and a classy man.
He hooked us up with a tour of the facilities, with our guide being Ryan Daniels. Three of the four of us graduated from St. Paul, so it was nice that a fellow St Paul graduate gave us the tour.
Facilities are amazing. Ryan was a very impressive young man. Represents the university and baseball team extremely well. It was a pleasure meeting him.
The day was topped off with a win, hopefully this gets the team going in right direction.

Go Huskies!!!

current record........... season goal
7 - 10 / .412% ........ 14 - 8 / .636% - National
3 - 5/ .375 ......... 9 - 3 / .750 - Northeast

0 - 0 / .000 ......... 15 - 6 / .714 - B E season
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - B E tourney
Post season Criteria
(1) 10 - 15/ .375.... 40 - 19 / .693
(2) 70 ...... < 50 Team RPI

(3) 7. ........ < 12 Conf RPI
(3) N / A. ........ Top 2 Big East
 
Much needed win. Let’s get a series win tomorrow. Getting ready for hoops game.

Go Huskies!!!

current record........... season goal
7 - 10 / .412% ........ 14 - 8 / .636% - National
3 - 5/ .375 ......... 9 - 3 / .750 - Northeast
1 - 1 / .500 ......... 15 - 6 / .714 - B E season

0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - B E tourney
Post season Criteria
(1) 11 - 16/ .407.... 40 - 19 / .693
(2) 77 ...... < 50 Team RPI

(3) 7. ........ < 12 Conf RPI
(3) tied 2 ........ Top 2 Big East
 
Hard to call the 3rd game of Big East season a must game, but it was a huge win. Even though I’m not officially given up on At Large bid possibility, it obviously is almost certain we need to win conference tourney.

So now our main goal is to get into conference tournament. Big series at home vs St.John’s this weekend, after 2 out of conference games.

Go Huskies!!!


current record........... season goal
7 - 10 / .412% ........ 14 - 8 / .636% - National
3 - 5/ .375 ......... 9 - 3 / .750 - Northeast
2 - 1 / .667 ......... 15 - 6 / .714 - B E season

0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - B E tourney
Post season Criteria
(1) 12 - 16/ .429.... 40 - 19 / .693
(2) 80 ...... < 50 Team RPI

(3) 7. ........ < 12 Conf RPI
(3) tied 3rd ........ Top 2 Big East
 
.-.
record........... season goal
7 - 10 / .412% ........ 14 - 8 / .636% - National
4 - 5/ .444 ......... 9 - 3 / .750 - Northeast
2 - 1 / .667 ......... 15 - 6 / .714 - B E season

0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - B E tourney
Post season Criteria
(1) 13 - 16/ .448.... 40 - 19 / .693
(2) 76 ...... < 50 Team RPI

(3) 7. ........ < 12 Conf RPI
(3) tied 3rd ........ Top 2 Big East
 
Right now the Big East is rated No. 6 in conference RPI. Over the last several seasons the Big East has usually been around No. 13 in conference RPI. Right now only 1 team (Villanova is below 200 in the RPI, and 5 teams are in the top 100. Not bad for the conference.
 
record........... season goal
7 - 10 / .412% ........ 14 - 8 / .636% - National
5 - 5/ .500 ......... 9 - 3 / .750 - Northeast
2 - 1 / .667 ......... 15 - 6 / .714 - B E season

0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - B E tourney
Post season Criteria
(1) 14 - 16/ .467.... 40 - 19 / .693
(2) 81 ...... < 50 Team RPI

(3) 6. ........ < 12 Conf RPI
(4) tied 3rd ........ Top 2 Big East
 
At Large berth is gone. Win the automatic BE tourney bid or summer commences early.
Realistically I agree. But I wanted to wait through next weekends Georgetown series, before I officially stopped updating the chart.
 
Love winning on Friday nights. Cooke and Dalena with outstanding performances. One step at a time, but a win gets us to .500.

Go Huskies!!!

record........... season goal
7 - 10 / .412% ........ 14 - 8 / .636% - National
5 - 5/ .500 ......... 9 - 3 / .750 - Northeast

3 - 1 / .750 ......... 15 - 6 / .714 - B E season
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - B E tourney
Post season Criteria
(1) 15 - 16/ .484.... 40 - 19 / .693
(2) 64 ...... < 50 Team RPI

(3) 6. ........ < 12 Conf RPI
(4) tied 2nd ........ Top 2 Big Eas
t
 
.-.
record........... season goal
7 - 10 / .412% ........ 14 - 8 / .636% - National
5 - 5/ .500 ......... 9 - 3 / .750 - Northeast
3 - 2 / .600......... 15 - 6 / .714 - B E season

0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - B E tourney
Post season Criteria
(1) 15 - 17/ .467.... 40 - 19 / .693
(2) 67...... < 50 Team RPI

(3) 6. ........ < 12 Conf RPI
(4) tied 3rd........ Top 2 Big East
 
Two Big East series, and two series won. Our hitting is coming around, and it will be needed over a tough 5 game stretch. Let’s keep it going.

record........... season goal
7 - 10 / .412% ........ 14 - 8 / .636% - National
5 - 5/ .500 ......... 9 - 3 / .750 - Northeast
4 - 2 / .667........ 15 - 6 / .714 - B E season

0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - B E tourney
Post season Criteria
(1) 16- 17/ .485.... 40 - 19 / .693
(2) 57...... < 50 Team RPI

(3) 7 ........ < 12 Conf RPI
(4) tied 2nd........ Top 2 Big East
 
Two Big East series, and two series won. Our hitting is coming around, and it will be needed over a tough 5 game stretch. Let’s keep it going.

record........... season goal
7 - 10 / .412% ........ 14 - 8 / .636% - National
5 - 5/ .500 ......... 9 - 3 / .750 - Northeast
4 - 2 / .667........ 15 - 6 / .714 - B E season

0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - B E tourney
Post season Criteria
(1) 16- 17/ .485.... 40 - 19 / .693
(2) 57...... < 50 Team RPI

(3) 7 ........ < 12 Conf RPI
(4) tied 2nd........ Top 2 Big East
 
Finally back to .500. Playing much better baseball, and we are 8-2 in the last 10 games. Hopefully get a victory at BC tomorrow. Then off to DC to play Georgetown, which is in first place with an 8-1 Big East.

Go Huskies!!!

record........... season goal
8 - 10 / .444% ........ 14 - 8 / .636% - National
5 - 5/ .500 ......... 9 - 3 / .750 - Northeast
4 - 2 / .667........ 15 - 6 / .714 - B E season

0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - B E tourney
Post season Criteria
(1) 17- 17/ .500.... 40 - 19 / .693
(2) 56 ..... < 50 Team RPI

(3) 7 ........ < 12 Conf RPI
(4) tied 2nd........ Top 2 Big East
 
Sorry about last post. Obviously a mistake. Nice comeback victory tonight. Let’s win this Gtown series. Most green we have seen in chart in a while.

Go Huskies!!!

record........... season goal
8 - 10 / .444% ........ 14 - 8 / .636% - National
5 - 6/ .454 ......... 9 - 3 / .750 - Northeast

5 - 2 / .667........ 15 - 6 / .714 - BE season
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - BE tourney
Post season Criteria
(1) 18- 18/ .500.... 40 - 19 / .693
(2) 45 ..... < 50 Team RPI
(3) 7 ........ < 12 Conf RPI
(4) tied 2nd........ Top 2 Big East
 
.-.
Sorry about last post. Obviously a mistake. Nice comeback victory tonight. Let’s win this Gtown series. Most green we have seen in chart in a while.

Go Huskies!!!

record........... season goal
8 - 10 / .444% ........ 14 - 8 / .636% - National
5 - 6/ .454 ......... 9 - 3 / .750 - Northeast

5 - 2 / .667........ 15 - 6 / .714 - BE season
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - BE tourney
Post season Criteria
(1) 18- 18/ .500.... 40 - 19 / .693
(2) 45 ..... < 50 Team RPI
(3) 7 ........ < 12 Conf RPI
(4) tied 2nd........ Top 2 Big East
This weekend is really critical, as after this we're limited in our number of Quad 1 and Quad 2 wins. But having said that, it is no longer impossible to foresee the possibility that we could play ourselves into an RPI in, say, the low 30s, where on a RPI basis we will be in line for an at large bid but our win loss record would be well below what we wanted and 1hard to overlook.

Would the Committee look at our record not as one belonging to a Big East team, but one equivalent to an SEC or ACC team with a similar SOS, RPI and record? Who knows. But we have a lot of winning to do before that debate becomes a possibility, and they manner in which we're winning still doesn't inspire in me any confidence that we'll get there.
 
This weekend is really critical, as after this we're limited in our number of Quad 1 and Quad 2 wins. But having said that, it is no longer impossible to foresee the possibility that we could play ourselves into an RPI in, say, the low 30s, where on a RPI basis we will be in line for an at large bid but our win loss record would be well below what we wanted and 1hard to overlook.

Would the Committee look at our record not as one belonging to a Big East team, but one equivalent to an SEC or ACC team with a similar SOS, RPI and record? Who knows. But we have a lot of winning to do before that debate becomes a possibility, and they manner in which we're winning still doesn't inspire in me any confidence that we'll get there.
I would like to think being on a tear over our last dozen plus games would be a positive.
 
record........... season goal
8 - 10 / .444% ........ 14 - 8 / .636% - National
5 - 6/ .454 ......... 9 - 3 / .750 - Northeast

6 - 2 / .750....... 15 - 6 / .714 - BE season
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - BE tourney
Post season Criteria
(1) 19 - 18/ .514.... 40 - 19 / .693
(2) 36 ..... < 50 Team RPI
(3) 6 ........ < 12 Conf RPI

(4) tied 2nd........ Top 2 Big East
 
Series won yesterday. Now need to get greedy and sweep today. I know our record is below what is usually needed for an At Large Bid. But conference and team RPI is very good.

All we can do is keep winning. Today would be a huge win. Not only for qualifying for Big East tournament, but keeping our long shot At Large Bid alive.

Go Huskies!!!

record........... season goal
8 - 10 / .444% ........ 14 - 8 / .636% - National
5 - 6/ .454 ......... 9 - 3 / .750 - Northeast

6 - 2 / .750....... 15 - 6 / .714 - BE season
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - BE tourney
Post season Criteria
(1) 19 - 18/ .514.... 40 - 19 / .693
(2) 36 ..... < 50 Team RPI
(3) 6 ........ < 12 Conf RPI
(4) tied 2nd........ Top 2 Big East
 
Series won yesterday. Now need to get greedy and sweep today. I know our record is below what is usually needed for an At Large Bid. But conference and team RPI is very good.
All we can do is keep winning. Today would be a huge win. Not only for qualifying for Big East tournament, but keeping our long shot At Large Bid alive.

Go Huskies!!!



record........... season goal
8 - 10 / .444% ........ 14 - 8 / .636% - National
5 - 6/ .454 ......... 9 - 3 / .750 - Northeast

6 - 2 / .750....... 15 - 6 / .714 - BE season
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - BE tourney
Post season Criteria
(1) 19 - 18/ .514.... 40 - 19 / .693
(2) 36 ..... < 50 Team RPI
(3) 6 ........ < 12 Conf RPI
(4) tied 2nd........ Top 2 Big East
Lock In Just Win Baby GIF
 
.-.

Forum statistics

Threads
168,160
Messages
4,555,255
Members
10,438
Latest member
UConnheart


Top Bottom