Men Wins needed for a 2023 NCAA At - Large bid

[ucjoet]

12 - 5 / .706% ........ 11 - 6 / .647% - National
6 - 1 / .857 ......... 6 - 3 / .667 - Northeast
4 - 2 / .667. ........ 15 - 6 / .714 - Big East
4 - 1 / .800 ......... 8 - 2 / .800 - New England
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - Big East tourney


Post season Criteria
(1) 26 - 9/ .743% ..... 42 - 19 / .688
(2) 15 ....... < 50 RPI
(3) tied 1st ........ Top 2 Big East

 

[dbmill]

12 - 5 / .706% ........ 11 - 6 / .647% - National
6 - 1 / .857 ......... 6 - 3 / .667 - Northeast
4 - 2 / .667. ........ 15 - 6 / .714 - Big East
4 - 1 / .800 ......... 8 - 2 / .800 - New England
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - Big East tourney


Post season Criteria
(1) 26 - 9/ .743% ..... 42 - 19 / .688
(2) 15 ....... < 50 RPI
(3) tied 1st ........ Top 2 Big East

Hoping UConn's Big East record will also be in the green after next weekend's home series against Georgetown. I will note that the Georgetown series may be a little more competitive than what we were initially expecting. Georgetown's RPI had been moving towards the 200 range as the season progressed, but this week they have been improving their record some, with beating Maryland on the road during the midweek, and so far having split a home series against a solid Creighton team this weekend (the previous weekend they had lost a series to Seton Hall club that is now over 200 in the RPI). As usual, we'll see what happens.

 

[dbmill]

Hoping UConn's Big East record will also be in the green after next weekend's home series against Georgetown. I will note that the Georgetown series may be a little more competitive than what we were initially expecting. Georgetown's RPI had been moving towards the 200 range as the season progressed, but this week they have been improving their record some, with beating Maryland on the road during the midweek, and so far having split a home series against a solid Creighton team this weekend (the previous weekend they had lost a series to Seton Hall club that is now over 200 in the RPI). As usual, we'll see what happens.

Georgetown won today, so they took the series against Creighton. Georgetown now has an RPI of 158, which is an improvement from when it was in the 200 range. Creighton now has an RPI of 119.

 

[Viet Vet]

Georgetown won today, so they took the series against Creighton. Georgetown now has an RPI of 158, which is an improvement from when it was in the 200 range. Creighton now has an RPI of 119.

We are (as of 6:00pm) #14 RPI. BC has dropped to #17. Wins Tuesday and Wednesday against NE and BC will enhance our chances to host a regional. It’s a long way off, but these games are crucial.

 

[Viet Vet]

Update, at 6:51pm. Now we are #16. This is just like hockey. RPI changes with each game.

 

[dbmill]

Update, at 6:51pm. Now we are #16. This is just like hockey. RPI changes with each game.

Yup, RPI is always bouncing around as more results from other games from other teams come in. All depends on when you look at it.

 

[businesslawyer]

Yup, RPI is always bouncing around as more results from other games from other teams come in. All depends on when you look at it.

Which is exactly why no one should be obsessing about small differences in the rpi.

 

[huskymedic]

Discussion on hosting:

D1Baseball Weekly Chat: April 17 • D1Baseball

Have questions about the latest rankings and more at D1Baseball? If you have questions, we have answers.

d1baseball.com

-> Greg: With six mid-majors in the top 25 and four in the top 16, how many mid-majors could we see host?
Aaron Fitt: I think Coastal is in the best position to host based on its current spot at No. 9 in the RPI, and the fact that the Sun Belt is strong this year means Coastal should remain in good RPI shape if it can continue to win in the league — this weekend against Southern Miss is huge. If the Golden Eagles win that series, I love their chances to host, and even if they lose two out of three they should remain right in the hunt, considering they’re currently 15th in the RPI. ECU feels like a lock to host, and UConn is also in great shape with a No. 16 RPI, but we’ll see if they can maintain that RPI in the Big East, which figures to be a drag on their SOS as the season continues. I think DBU is a darkhorse here — I like the Patriots to win C-USA, and they’re currently 18th in the RPI and red-hot. Their pitching is real; wouldn’t surprise me to see them leapfrog some of these others. Campbell fell a bunch in the RPI after that Longwood series, showing how hard it can be to build a host resumé in a lesser league. <-

 

[huskymedic]

-> The hosting race is shaping up excitingly and there are a few new hosts in this week’s field. Connecticut, Indiana, Oregon and Southern Miss move up, while Boston College, Campbell, Louisville and Oklahoma State fall out. Louisville and Campbell were just off the host line in this projection. BC and Oklahoma State have scuffled in conference play lately and need to climb back up the standings to host (Oklahoma State also has RPI trouble).

UConn and Southern Miss are in the top 20 in RPI and at or near the top of their conferences. UConn may be at an RPI peak because after Wednesday it won’t face a top-100 RPI team the rest of the regular season. Southern Miss, meanwhile, must keep up its pace in the more difficult Sun Belt conference. But if both teams can stay in this range, they’ll be in strong spots to host. <-

Storrs, Conn
1. (16) Connecticut^*
2. Boston College
3. Northeastern
4. Columbia*

 

[dbmill]

-> The hosting race is shaping up excitingly and there are a few new hosts in this week’s field. Connecticut, Indiana, Oregon and Southern Miss move up, while Boston College, Campbell, Louisville and Oklahoma State fall out. Louisville and Campbell were just off the host line in this projection. BC and Oklahoma State have scuffled in conference play lately and need to climb back up the standings to host (Oklahoma State also has RPI trouble).

UConn and Southern Miss are in the top 20 in RPI and at or near the top of their conferences. UConn may be at an RPI peak because after Wednesday it won’t face a top-100 RPI team the rest of the regular season. Southern Miss, meanwhile, must keep up its pace in the more difficult Sun Belt conference. But if both teams can stay in this range, they’ll be in strong spots to host. <-

UConn faces Rhode Island in a midweek game, and Creighton at the end of the season. They both currently a bit over 100 in the RPI, I suppose there is a slight possibility that both of those teams could make the top 100 in RPI before UConn faces them. Still, most of the teams UConn will face after Georgetown (152 RPI) this weekend have RPI's near or over 200.

 

[ucjoet]

12 - 5 / .706% ........ 11 - 6 / .647% - National
6 - 1 / .857 ......... 6 - 3 / .667 - Northeast
4 - 2 / .667. ........ 15 - 6 / .714 - Big East
4 - 2 / .667 ......... 8 - 2 / .800 - New England
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - Big East tourney


Post season Criteria
(1) 26 - 10/ .722% ..... 42 - 19 / .688
(2) 16....... < 50 RPI
(3) tied 1st ........ Top 2 Big East

 

[huskymedic]

D1Baseball Field Of 64 Projections: Week 10 • D1Baseball

Our latest Field of 64 Projections are out, and there are two new top eight national seeds, along with three new host sites. Come check out the numerous changes.

d1baseball.com

	STORRS
	1 Connecticut* (15)
	4 Central Connecticut State*
	2 Boston College
	3 Northeastern

-> As for the rest of the Top 16 hosts, Boston College and Oklahoma State dropped completely out of the mix for those as well, while three teams entered as hosts this week: Coastal Carolina, Connecticut and Indiana. Coastal currently leads a top-five RPI league in the Sun Belt, and has an RPI of 11 to go with an 11-8 mark vs. RPI Top 100. UConn is an impressive 13-6 on the road, is 10-7 vs. RPI Top 100 and has an RPI of 16, and Indiana has surged to 14 in the RPI with a 26-11 overall mark and 9-3 Big Ten record. For those wondering, BC is still in the mix for a host as of now with an RPI of 17, while Oklahoma State is all the way down to 32 in the RPI after scuffling as of late. Other teams considered for hosts include Southern Miss, NC State, Dallas Baptist, Louisville, UCLA, Campbell and Indiana State. <-

 

[huskymedic]

 

[kingdobbs]

Update, at 6:51pm. Now we are #16. This is just like hockey. RPI changes with each game.

Yes, that’s the way RPI works. It is purely results driven, meaning that each new data point (ie a game result) added changes some portion of it.

However, today’s RPI doesn’t matter for anything or anyone. In some ways, today’s RPI doesn’t exist. Because the formula is known, people can compile it based on the results we know, but the actual RPI that will be used for tournament selection basically isn’t run until the final results have been entered.

The only day it actually matters is when the committee makes their selections.

This is the same for any NCAA RPI calculation in any sport.

 

[ucjoet]

12 - 5 / .706% ........ 11 - 6 / .647% - National
6 - 1 / .857 ......... 6 - 3 / .667 - Northeast
4 - 2 / .667. ........ 15 - 6 / .714 - Big East
5 - 2 / .667 ......... 8 - 2 / .800 - New England
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - Big East tourney


Post season Criteria
(1) 27 - 10/ .730% ..... 42 - 19 / .688
(2) 13...... < 50 RPI
(3) tied 1st ........ Top 2 Big East

 

[ucjoet]

12 - 5 / .706% ........ 11 - 6 / .647% - National
6 - 1 / .857 ......... 6 - 3 / .667 - Northeast
5 - 2 / .714 ........ 15 - 6 / .714 - Big East
5 - 2 / .714 ......... 8 - 2 / .800 - New England
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - Big East tourney

Post season Criteria
(1) 28 - 10/ .737% ..... 42 - 19 / .688
(2) 12...... < 50 RPI
(3) 1st ........ Top 2 Big East

 

[Rdkid]

Forget pitching. I think this team is going to bash their way to hosting a regional. D is excellent, so is baserunning. Bench will be deep for situational matchups. The schedule the rest of the way is very friendly. I think pitching can settle down to give up 3-5 runs per game the rest of the way. That equals a lot of wins. 45+

 

[ucjoet]

12 - 5 / .706% ........ 11 - 6 / .647% - National
6 - 1 / .857 ......... 6 - 3 / .667 - Northeast
6 - 3/ .667........ 15 - 6 / .714 - Big East
5 - 2 / .714 ......... 8 - 2 / .800 - New England
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 2 - 2 / .500 - Big East tourney

Post season Criteria
(1) 29 -11/ .725% ..... 42 - 19 / .688
(2) 14 ..... < 50 RPI
(3) 2nd ........ Top 2 Big East

 

[businesslawyer]

Forget pitching. I think this team is going to bash their way to hosting a regional. D is excellent, so is baserunning. Bench will be deep for situational matchups. The schedule the rest of the way is very friendly. I think pitching can settle down to give up 3-5 runs per game the rest of the way. That equals a lot of wins. 45+

The schedule is the opposite of friendly. We could win out and it’s likely that our RPI will fall substantially. It will take the Committee ignoring RPIs for us to have a shot.

 

[Rdkid]

The schedule is the opposite of friendly. We could win out and it’s likely that our RPI will fall substantially. It will take the Committee ignoring RPIs for us to have a shot.

Not if we win 17 of 20. We are more than capable. A schedule that gets us to 46 regular season wins is friendly and makes us a borderline host - and only if we win BE tourney. Now if the Rhino is out, that may impact getting 17 more wins. The sample for RPI is beginning to be more protective than you think.

 

[huskymedic]

The schedule is the opposite of friendly. We could win out and it’s likely that our RPI will fall substantially. It will take the Committee ignoring RPIs for us to have a shot.

Warren-Nolan Predicated RPI Sheet for UConn:

Predicted RPI Team Sheet for Connecticut Huskies Baseball | WarrenNolan.com

A Prediction of the 2023 NCAA Baseball Tournament Selection Committee Team Sheet for Connecticut Huskies with Predicted RPI, Strength of Schedule, Records, and Game Results Ordered by RPI

www.warrennolan.com

 

[businesslawyer]

Warren-Nolan Predicated RPI Sheet for UConn:

Predicted RPI Team Sheet for Connecticut Huskies Baseball | WarrenNolan.com

A Prediction of the 2023 NCAA Baseball Tournament Selection Committee Team Sheet for Connecticut Huskies with Predicted RPI, Strength of Schedule, Records, and Game Results Ordered by RPI

www.warrennolan.com

My point exactly. I wasn’t giving an opinion — I was providing a fact. I know it’s 2023 but ….

 

[Rdkid]

All right, that was goofy on my part. I look at Warren Nolan & was confused for a bit. 17 games left - say we go 15-2 with a bad loss and 2/3 at Creighton. Puts us in the 30s. Win BE tourney - that has to get us in the 20s with a gaudy record - knocking on door of 50 wins. 16-14 in league ACC team (BC?) with a higher RPI would have to take our chair. Your post is 100%

 

[Rdkid]

All right, that was goofy on my part. I look at Warren Nolan & was confused for a bit. 17 games left - say we go 15-2 with a bad loss and 2/3 at Creighton. Puts us in the 30s. Win BE tourney - that has to get us in the 20s with a gaudy record - knocking on door of 50 wins. 16-14 in league ACC team (BC?) with a higher RPI would have to take our chair. Your post is 100

My point exactly. I wasn’t giving an opinion — I was providing a fact. I know it’s 2023 but ….

Although if we win out as you say and win BE tourney we would get there according to a surface reading of that data. We won’t win them all, so your RPI point stands.

 

[HookC22]

From the D1 Baseball chat just now -

Power Major
12:11
The preseason saw just 2 Power Majors represented in the Top 25 (ECU, Southern Miss), but we are now looking at 6 with 3 inside the top 10. Are you ready to stamp Coastal, Campbell, UConn, & ECU as hosts, and is DBU more likely than a 2nd Pac school?

Kendall Rogers
12:11
Power -- I feel pretty good about UCONN and Coastal Carolina as hosts right now. I have concerns about ECU staying within range with its American record suffering and that league being awful from an RPI standpoint. ECU's margin for error is zero moving forward. Same goes for Campbell and margin for error. DBU is the intriguing one to me. With Texas, Texas A&M and Oklahoma State all not host-worthy at the moment, DBU would be a natural host at this point. Not only is the RPI in range, but it would help geographically as well.