Men Wins Needed for 2026 At Large Bid

[ucjoet]

I figured the best way to segue from 18" of snow is to post the yearly "Wins Needed" chart. The start of the season is a little over 2 weeks away. When I post this chart it gives me the sense that spring is right around the corner (even though in actuality, spring seems like a long way away). With the combination of some very good veterans returning and many new faces, I'm looking forward to another exciting and successful season. I believe I say this every year, but I want to thank everyone that posts during the off season. You keep me and the board updated on all things UConn baseball. Also a big shout out to everyone that posts in game updates. I'm certain everyone on the board Greatly appreciates it.

My criteria for receiving an At Large bid will be the same as last year. I know it is not perfect, but I believe it gives us a pretty good idea if we are on track for a bid. The criteria is 40 wins, RPI under 50 and a conference RPI of under 10. Over the last 3 years 80 of 82 teams that met this criteria made the NCAA tourney. That is a .976 success rate. I totally understand that this does not guarantee a bid, and that also we can make the tournament without meeting these goals.

I included the following teams in the Northeast line with the New England teams. They are UNC-Wilmington, OLD Dominion, Rutgers and ETSU. Please look over the chart and let me know if you have any questions, or if you find mistakes. Can't wait for the season to start!!!!

Go Huskies !!!!


The 4 Criteria
(1) Minimum 40 wins
(2) RPI < 50
(3) Top 2 team in Big East
(4) Conf RPI < 10

Current Record.................. Season Goal
0 - 0 / .000% ............ 10 - 7 / .588% National
0 - 0 / .000 ............. 12 - 6 / .667 Northeast
0 - 0 / .000 ............. 16 - 5 / .761 Big East regular season
0 - 0 / .000 ............. 2 - 2 / .500 Big East tourney

Post Season Criteria
(1) 0 - 0 / .000 .......... 40 - 20 / .667%
(2) Team RPI .......... < 50
(3) Conf RPI ........... < 10
(4) Conf standing ......... Top 2 in Big East

 

[businesslawyer]

It feels silly to say this given the snow on the ground, the cold and the forecast. But I can say with certainty that THE FIRST OFFICIAL SIGN OF SPRING IS HERE!!!!

 

[Skiblets]

Thank you Joe Warmer days ahead!

 

[huskymedic]

For grounding…

	Charlottesville, Va.
	1. (13) Virginia^ (ACC)
	2. (19) Oklahoma (SEC)
	3. Connecticut* (Big East)
	4. Wright State* (Horizon)

* Big East projected as a one bid league (Creighton listed in the First Four Out category) *

 

[HookCfan]

the second BE team as first one out. Here we go again.

 

[huskymedic]

For grounding…

	Charlottesville, Va.
	1. (13) Virginia^ (ACC)
	2. (19) Oklahoma (SEC)
	3. Connecticut* (Big East)
	4. Wright State* (Horizon)

* Big East projected as a one bid league (Creighton listed in the First Four Out category) *

CONWAY, S.C.
1 Coastal Carolina* (6)
2 Ole Miss
3 Connecticut*
4 High Point*


LAST FOUR IN
UC Santa Barbara
Southern California
Nebraska
Kansas State

FIRST FOUR OUT
Oklahoma
UTSA
Cincinnati
Creighton

FOUR TO WATCH
Virginia Tech
Xavier
Louisiana Tech
Charlotte

More than a few potential tournament teams on the schedule this year… chances to make noise.

 

[ucjoet]

We are now 2-5 in our last 7 home openers. Which is understandable being a Northeast team.

Go Huskies!!!!

Current Record.................. Season Goal
0 - 1 / .000% ............ 10 - 7 / .588% National
0 - 0 / .000 ............. 12 - 6 / .667 Northeast
0 - 0 / .000 ............. 16 - 5 / .761 Big East regular season
0 - 0 / .000 ............. 2 - 2 / .500 Big East tourney

Post Season Criteria
(1) 0 - 1 / .000 .......... 40 - 20 / .667%
(2) Team RPI .......... < 50
(3) Conf RPI ........... < 10
(4) Conf standing ......... Top 2 in Big East

 

[ucjoet]

We got swept last year in our opening series, and 1-5 after the first two series. Hoping we get a victory tonight and get us going on the right track. There is very little room for error once you start 1-5, like we did last year.

Go Huskies!!!!

Current Record.................. Season Goal
0 - 2 / .000% ............ 10 - 7 / .588% National
0 - 0 / .000 ............. 12 - 6 / .667 Northeast
0 - 0 / .000 ............. 16 - 5 / .761 Big East regular season
0 - 0 / .000 ............. 2 - 2 / .500 Big East tourney

Post Season Criteria
(1) 0 - 2 / .000 .......... 40 - 20 / .667%
(2) Team RPI .......... < 50
(3) Conf RPI ........... < 10
(4) Conf standing ......... Top 2 in Big East

 

[Jax Husky]

Would be really nice to manage 2 wins in the remaining games in AZ. Other than the California trip, Northeastern will be the only other decent RPI teams played.

 

[ucjoet]

Current Record.................. Season Goal
0 - 3 / .000% ............ 10 - 7 / .588% National
0 - 0 / .000 ............. 12 - 6 / .667 Northeast
0 - 0 / .000 ............. 16 - 5 / .761 Big East regular season
0 - 0 / .000 ............. 2 - 2 / .500 Big East tourney

Post Season Criteria
(1) 0 - 3 / .000 .......... 40 - 20 / .667%
(2) Team RPI .......... < 50
(3) Conf RPI ........... < 10
(4) Conf standing ......... Top 2 in Big East

 

[Price0809]

We got swept last year in our opening series, and 1-5 after the first two series. Hoping we get a victory tonight and get us going on the right track. There is very little room for error once you start 1-5, like we did last year.

Go Huskies!!!!

Current Record.................. Season Goal
0 - 2 / .000% ............ 10 - 7 / .588% National
0 - 0 / .000 ............. 12 - 6 / .667 Northeast
0 - 0 / .000 ............. 16 - 5 / .761 Big East regular season
0 - 0 / .000 ............. 2 - 2 / .500 Big East tourney

Post Season Criteria
(1) 0 - 2 / .000 .......... 40 - 20 / .667%
(2) Team RPI .......... < 50
(3) Conf RPI ........... < 10
(4) Conf standing ......... Top 2 in Big East

Was hoping it would not be a similar start to last year, but here we are. Even turning it on in Big East play did not guarantee them anything last year.

 

[ucjoet]

Wow. Incredibly disappointing way to start the season. I’m by nature an optimist, but this is frustrating. Offense hasn’t been good, and our pitching has been terrible. Let’s hope we turn this around quickly or we will only be seeing Red in the chart below.

Go Huskies!!!


Current Record.................. Season Goal
0 - 4/ .000% ............ 10 - 7 / .588% National
0 - 0 / .000 ............. 12 - 6 / .667 Northeast
0 - 0 / .000 ............. 16 - 5 / .761 Big East regular season
0 - 0 / .000 ............. 2 - 2 / .500 Big East tourney

Post Season Criteria
(1) 0 - 4/ .000 .......... 40 - 20 / .667%
(2) Team RPI .......... < 50
(3) Conf RPI ........... < 10
(4) Conf standing ......... Top 2 in Big East

 

[Palatine]

There are bad starts but the last couple of years we have seem wholly unprepared. The holes we are digging are almost impossible to escape. Need to turn it around fast.

 

[Jax Husky]

There are bad starts but the last couple of years we have seem wholly unprepared. The holes we are digging are almost impossible to escape. Need to turn it around fast.

I get trying to play some high RPI teams and challenge your team, but why not mix in a series where you can win some games a little easier? I just don't totally get it. I know the BE does not provide much RPI help, but neither does going 0-8 to open the season (theoretically, not claiming we are going to lose all).

 

[ucjoet]

Nice gutty win that we needed so badly. Incredible pitching performance by the staff. Our offense overall needs to start getting our bats on the ball. Let’s gut out another win or two, then hopefully get Tyler back.

Go Huskies!!!

Current Record.................. Season Goal
1 - 4/ .200% ............ 10 - 7 / .588% National
0 - 0 / .000 ............. 12 - 6 / .667 Northeast
0 - 0 / .000 ............. 16 - 5 / .761 Big East regular season
0 - 0 / .000 ............. 2 - 2 / .500 Big East tourney

Post Season Criteria
(1) 1 - 4/ .200 .......... 40 - 20 / .667%
(2) Team RPI .......... < 50
(3) Conf RPI ........... < 10
(4) Conf standing ......... Top 2 in Big East

 

[Palatine]

Nice to get a win!!!

 

[ucjoet]

Amazing what 2 wins will do for the enthusiasm towards the season. Great pitching performance yesterday, but bats still abysmal. Said this yesterday, but let’s gut out another win today and hopefully our bats start getting hot. Need Tyler back big time. Does anyone know the extent of injury, besides reports he was missing this series?

Go Huskies!!!


Current Record.................. Season Goal
2 - 4/ .333% ............ 10 - 7 / .588% National
0 - 0 / .000 ............. 12 - 6 / .667 Northeast
0 - 0 / .000 ............. 16 - 5 / .761 Big East regular season
0 - 0 / .000 ............. 2 - 2 / .500 Big East tourney

Post Season Criteria
(1) 2 - 4/ .333.......... 40 - 20 / .667%
(2) Team RPI .......... < 50
(3) Conf RPI ........... < 10
(4) Conf standing ......... Top 2 in Big East

 

[businesslawyer]

Biggest worry at this point is whether we’re good enough to compete for a tournament bid. But second, and based on admittedly early results, the national teams we’re playing out of conference are overwhelmingly underperforming and ranked really low in computers at this point. And as we’ve relied on these games for our SOS to be good enough, it’s troublesome. Admittedly it’s way too early to read too much into computer rankings, but something to keep on eye on in the next few weeks.

Anyway, let’s keep getting good pitching and see if we can squeak out another W waiting for Minnick to be back in the lineup and Lane and Rispoli to start hitting like they did last year. If we can at least have a good lineup 1-6, that gets you a chance to win with good pitching (notwithstanding that we’re used to lineups that hit 8 or 9 deep).

 

[ucjoet]

Current Record.................. Season Goal
2 - 5 / .286% ............ 10 - 7 / .588% National
0 - 0 / .000 ............. 12 - 6 / .667 Northeast
0 - 0 / .000 ............. 16 - 5 / .761 Big East regular season
0 - 0 / .000 ............. 2 - 2 / .500 Big East tourney

Post Season Criteria
(1) 2 - 5/ .286.......... 40 - 20 / .667%
(2) Team RPI .......... < 50
(3) Conf RPI ........... < 10
(4) Conf standing ......... Top 2 in Big East

 

[ucjoet]

Well after our first weekend results, I’m extremely happy to be 3-5 at this point. Pitching performance much improved vs Arizona, and some signs of life in our bats. Definitely much to clean up.

Going to wait at least 2-3 weekends before I start posting RPI rankings. Meaningless to do that now.

Let’s keep it going next weekend and stay safe in the Blizzard!!!

Go Huskies!!!


Current Record.................. Season Goal
3 - 5 / 375% ............ 10 - 7 / .588% National
0 - 0 / .000 ............. 12 - 6 / .667 Northeast
0 - 0 / .000 ............. 16 - 5 / .761 Big East regular season
0 - 0 / .000 ............. 2 - 2 / .500 Big East tourney

Post Season Criteria
(1) 3 - 5/ .375.......... 40 - 20 / .667%
(2) Team RPI .......... < 50
(3) Conf RPI ........... < 10
(4) Conf standing ......... Top 2 in Big East

 

[Fairfield_1st]

Based on our 0-4 start, I was avoiding this thread like the plague. Now that we're 3-5, I felt it was time. Still all red, but a nicer shade than before.