Wins needed for 2017 at large bid | Page 2 | The Boneyard

Wins needed for 2017 at large bid

ucjoet said:
I always consider that the New England games are almost must wins. In that it does not help that much to win them, but it really hurts when you lose them. Not sure if that makes sense.
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It makes some sense, even though it is really hard to win all the New England games no matter how good you are. Usually the New England teams are not all that solid with their RPI ratings, and some are sub 200 in the RPI. Losing to one of those teams can do some damage to your own RPI. However, not all New England teams rate poorly. For example, Rhode Island currently has an RPI of 42, and UConn plays them twice.
 
Very early: Projected Field of 64 (April 5) | BaseballAmerica.com

New York
1. St. John’s^*
2. Virginia
3. Connecticut
4. Binghamton*
*-Automatic bid; ^-Regional host

>>St. John’s is projected as a host for now. This could end up being one of the committee’s more difficult decisions later this spring. The Red Storm is No. 18 in RPI, in range for a host, but that number will likely fall because they have just nine games left against teams in the top 150 of RPI and no more top 50 opponents. St. John’s will likely need to dominate the Big East Conference this season to remain a host.<<
 
I jinxed us by stating in my last post how much the New England games hurt us with a loss. Terrible loss to UHart yesterday. Need to win series this weekend. After sweeping ECU, the UHart loss hurts even more.

Confident with our 3 starters, that we should do well this weekend. Less confident about our mid - week games. Need to get better hitting.

Go Huskies


current record.. season goal

3- 0 / 1.000 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
5- 2 / .714% ... 12 - 4 / .750 - New England games
8-8 / .500 .... 10 - 6 / .625 - Other games

Post season Criteria
(1) 16-10 / .615..... 38-22 / .633 - Overall record

(2) 44 .... <51- RPI

(3) 1 st.....Top 4 AAC


CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
ucjoet said:
I jinxed us by stating in my last post how much the New England games hurt us with a loss. Terrible loss to UHart yesterday. Need to win series this weekend. After sweeping ECU, the UHart loss hurts even more.

Confident with our 3 starters, that we should do well this weekend. Less confident about our mid - week games. Need to get better hitting.

Go Huskies


current record.. season goal

3- 0 / 1.000 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
5- 2 / .714% ... 12 - 4 / .750 - New England games
8-8 / .500 .... 10 - 6 / .625 - Other games

Post season Criteria
(1) 16-10 / .615..... 38-22 / .633 - Overall record

(2) 44 .... <51- RPI

(3) 1 st.....Top 4 AAC


CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
Expand ...

Hopefully the hitting will work itself out as the freshmen get more experience (John Toppa is the example from last season). However, I think the biggest priority is to get something approaching quality starts during the midweek games. I expect that UConn will get that and more from the weekend starters. However, it's hard to win with midweek guys only going maybe 3 innings. This team needs a more consistent performance from Rossomando and whoever else starts (Domnarski?) in the midweek, not only to have a better chance to win these games, but to possibly start a game during the AAC tournament at the end of May.
 
Always great to win opening game of a weekend series. As always hoping for at least a split, but a sweep would be awesome. Only if we could have won that UHart game, but it seems like mid-week games may be interesting for us this year.

We are the only undefeated team in AAC play, with Tulane 1 game behind. The rest of AAC teams have a minimum of 2 losses .

Lets get another win today


current record.. season goal

4- 0 / 1.000 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
5- 2 / .714% ... 12 - 4 / .750 - New England games
8-8 / .500 .... 10 - 6 / .625 - Other games

Post season Criteria
(1) 17-10 / .630..... 38-22 / .633 - Overall record

(2) 36 .... <51- RPI

(3) 1 st.....Top 4 AAC


CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
.-.
Nice win today after falling behind 4 - 0 in first inning. Need to get WM thru first inning jinx, seems to pitch well after that. Great job by bullpen. A win and sweep over Memphis tomorrow , would make me forget about our loss to UHart.

We have won 9 of last 11. Only undefeated team in AAC. Back to all green below in our Post Season Goals

current record.. season goal

5- 0 / 1.000 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
5- 2 / .714% ... 12 - 4 / .750 - New England games
8-8 / .500 .... 10 - 6 / .625 - Other games

Post season Criteria
(1) 18-10 / .640..... 38-22 / .633 - Overall record

(2) 27 .... <51- RPI

(3) 1 st.....Top 4 AAC


CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
Would have posted earlier, but was watching The Masters. Usually don't root for a non-American player, but incredibly happy for Sergio.

Swept our second series to start season 6 - 0 in AAC play. Great pitching effort by freshman Feole. This sweep actually makes me forget about loss to UHart ( not really, but it does help). Have now won 10 of 12 and we are 2 games up in AAC.

Need to beat Bryant this week, and then take care of business at Tulane.

All are season goals are in green, really starting to like this team.

current record.. season goal

6- 0 / 1.000 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
5- 2 / .714% ... 12 - 4 / .750 - New England games
8-8 / .500 .... 10 - 6 / .625 - Other games

Post season Criteria
(1) 19-10 / .655..... 38-22 / .633 - Overall record

(2) 26 .... <51- RPI

(3) 1 st.....Top 4 AAC

CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
How common is it for a team to have such a drop off in pitching from their weekend starters to the pitchers that are used for weekday games? We seem to struggle finding reliable arms to throw during the week, should we have tried harder to keep Riley from transferring?
 
6thBoroBro said:
How common is it for a team to have such a drop off in pitching from their weekend starters to the pitchers that are used for weekday games? We seem to struggle finding reliable arms to throw during the week, should we have tried harder to keep Riley from transferring?
Expand ...
Not to negate your question, but yesterday was a disaster from the bullpen Rossomondo didn't lose that game 5 inn (1 earn).
 
6thBoroBro said:
How common is it for a team to have such a drop off in pitching from their weekend starters to the pitchers that are used for weekday games? We seem to struggle finding reliable arms to throw during the week, should we have tried harder to keep Riley from transferring?
Expand ...
As a New England program it's not often that you have three weekend starters that will almost certainly be drafted in the upper half, if not upper quarter, of the MLB draft, in their respective years. So our drop off is more dramatic than most teams
 
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huskymedic said:
Very early: Projected Field of 64 (April 5) | BaseballAmerica.com

New York
1. St. John’s^*
2. Virginia
3. Connecticut
4. Binghamton*
*-Automatic bid; ^-Regional host

>>St. John’s is projected as a host for now. This could end up being one of the committee’s more difficult decisions later this spring. The Red Storm is No. 18 in RPI, in range for a host, but that number will likely fall because they have just nine games left against teams in the top 150 of RPI and no more top 50 opponents. St. John’s will likely need to dominate the Big East Conference this season to remain a host.<<
Expand ...

Projected Field of 64 (April 12) | BaseballAmerica.com

Chapel Hill, NC
1. (2) North Carolina^*
2. Connecticut*
3. Minnesota
4. Navy*4.
*-Automatic bid; ^-Regional host

>>The American Athletic Conference, as it has since its inception, remains tightly packed and could move in a multitude of directions. Connecticut, which joined the Top 25 this week, projects as the AAC champion, but the Huskies have South Florida, Houston, Central Florida and a suddenly red-hot Tulane team on their heels.<<
 
.-.
6thBoroBro said:
How common is it for a team to have such a drop off in pitching from their weekend starters to the pitchers that are used for weekday games? We seem to struggle finding reliable arms to throw during the week, should we have tried harder to keep Riley from transferring?
Expand ...

4in16 said:
Not to negate your question, but yesterday was a disaster from the bullpen Rossomondo didn't lose that game 5 inn (1 earn).
Expand ...

Baseballguy said:
As a New England program it's not often that you have three weekend starters that will almost certainly be drafted in the upper half, if not upper quarter, of the MLB draft, in their respective years. So our drop off is more dramatic than most teams
Expand ...

Not bad responses at all. I like both of them. However, I thought I might drop a few words about Ronnie Rossomando, UConn's current midweek starter. I hope people don't underrate that he does have talent and a good arm, even though he has yet to totally harness his abilities. Remember, he was taken in the MLB draft coming out of high school.

I think he is partly a victim of his own bad timing. Last season after struggling early as a weekend starter, I thought he was just starting to come into his own after a midweek start in the middle of April against Fairfield where he pitched 7 terrific innings. I was really looking forward to his next midweek start to see what he could do. However, Rossomando never got to follow that start up, as he came down with an injury prior to his next start. The injury robbed Rossomando of several midweek starts where he could have had the opportunity to build off that performance and to build confidence.

Over the summer, Rossomando was terrific out of the bullpen in the Cape Cod League. Seeing this, I thought this would be a great role to feature his blazing fastball. Evidently, so did Penders, so he was cast as a late inning guy out of the pen. Well, that blew up on everyone (and John Russell seized the closer role), but Penders had to find a way to rebuild his confidence outside of important AAC weekend games. That led to the midweek starting role, where he could get regular work. Only problem was that Rossomando's arm was not built up from the beginning of the season to be a starter, so bad timing again. Rossomando is now playing catch up in building up his arm strength for that role. So up to now we've seen him pitch 3 to 5 innings of varying quality in each start. Rossomando did have his highest pitch count in this last start. Based on this and on the quality of his last start, I'm hoping that he can start going 6 innings a start from here on in. Hopefully he can develop and become more effective in a similar fashion that Montgomerie did last April. If he does, Rossomando has the arm to still become a weekend starter next season.
 
Always have a tough time updating chart after a loss. Especially hurts when it is a mid week game to a team we should beat. Had a doctor appt on Tuesday. Went into appt with us up 3 -1 , came out of appt down 9 - 3.

With that being said, it would not surprise me if we end up sweeping Tulane. But these mid week losses do hurt. All are Post Season goals are still in green. I guess I would trade mid week losses for sweeps of AAC games.

Go Huskies



current record.. season goal

6- 0 / 1.000 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
5- 3 / .625% ... 12 - 4 / .750 - New England games
8-8 / .500 .... 10 - 6 / .625 - Other games

Post season Criteria
(1) 19-11 / .633..... 38-22 / .633 - Overall record

(2) 26 .... <51- RPI

(3) 1 st.....Top 4 AAC

CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
Sorry have not posted in a bit. Unfortunately many things going on in my life right now. Hopefully we have a successful weekend vs UCF. We need to win this series to get back on track.




current record.. season goal

6- 3 .667% .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
7- 4/ .636% ... 12 - 4 / .750 - New England games
8-8 / .500 .... 10 - 6 / .625 - Other games

Post season Criteria
(1) 22 - 14 / .611..... 38-22 / .633 - Overall record

(2) 53.... <51- RPI

(3) 2nd.....Top 4 AAC

CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
huskymedic said:
Projected Field of 64 (April 12) | BaseballAmerica.com

Chapel Hill, NC
1. (2) North Carolina^*
2. Connecticut*
3. Minnesota
4. Navy*4.
*-Automatic bid; ^-Regional host

>>The American Athletic Conference, as it has since its inception, remains tightly packed and could move in a multitude of directions. Connecticut, which joined the Top 25 this week, projects as the AAC champion, but the Huskies have South Florida, Houston, Central Florida and a suddenly red-hot Tulane team on their heels.<<
Expand ...

Projected Field of 64 (April 19) | BaseballAmerica.com

Chapel Hill, NC
1. (2) North Carolina^*
2. Maryland
3. Connecticut
4. Navy*
*-Automatic bid; ^-Regional host

Last four in: Florida Atlantic, Southeastern Louisiana, Connecticut, Nebraska

>>The American Athletic Conference’s automatic bid remains a revolving door. Seven of the conference’s eight teams are within four games of each other in the standings, and there’s little clarity as to who will emerge at the top. Houston, with its No. 18 RPI, projects as the conference winner despite being one game back of first-place Tulane. The Cougars, Connecticut and South Florida are the three regional teams from the American at the moment, but that could change quickly. The Huskies are playing an important series against Central Florida (No. 22 RPI) this weekend, which could shake up the standings and the field. And the suddenly hot Green Wave could potentially enter the at-large picture. As of now, Tulane’s 18-19 overall record and No. 96 RPI isn’t enough, but if Tulane were to pad its conference lead and continue its recent winning ways, the Green Wave could join the field, as well.<<
 
huskymedic said:
2017 Midseason Field Of 64 Projections | D1Baseball.com

FULLERTON
1 Cal State Fullerton
4 Canisius*
3 UCLA
2 Connecticut
Projected automatic bids indicated by *
Expand ...

Latest from D1Baseball: Postseason Field Of 64: April 19 | D1Baseball.com

>>Connecticut, Old Dominion, Nebraska and Indiana were the first four teams out of our field, while teams on the bubble until the very end, but making it in, include South Florida, NC State, Florida Atlantic, UCLA, Ole Miss and UL Lafayette.<<
 
Needed that win bad yesterday. Thought for a while we were going to blow it, after being up 5 - 0. A win today vs a very good UCF team away would be huge. Hopefully Feole continues his great freshman pitching season



current record.. season goal

7- 4 .636% .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
7- 3/ .700% ... 12 - 4 / .750 - New England games
8-8 / .500 .... 10 - 6 / .625 - Other games

Post season Criteria
(1) 22 - 15/ .596..... 38-22 / .633 - Overall record

(2) 40.... <51- RPI

(3) 2nd.....Top 4 AAC

CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
.-.
ucjoet said:
Needed that win bad yesterday. Thought for a while we were going to blow it, after being up 5 - 0. A win today vs a very good UCF team away would be huge. Hopefully Feole continues his great freshman pitching season



current record.. season goal

7- 4 .636% .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
7- 3/ .700% ... 12 - 4 / .750 - New England games
8-8 / .500 .... 10 - 6 / .625 - Other games

Post season Criteria
(1) 22 - 15/ .596..... 38-22 / .633 - Overall record

(2) 40.... <51- RPI

(3) 2nd.....Top 4 AAC

CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
Expand ...

Another win today over UCF would give UConn another badly needed win over a top 50 RPI team, something that would look good on the NCAA tournament resume. This would also lift UConn firmly off the NCAA tourney bubble at least for the time being. With four more AAC weekend series to go, there is still plenty of time to bounce around in the RPI ratings.
 
After this weekend:

IMG_2436.PNG
 
huskymedic said:
After this weekend:

View attachment 21877
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I get the feeling that UConn is going to land squarely on the bubble this season, either just barely in or just barely out. Huskies play Cincinnati at home next weekend. Considering they have two very tough series against Houston and South Florida the following two weekends, UConn needs to win at least 2 out of 3 against the Bearcats, if not outright sweep them. Wins are going to be at a premium in this tough, tough league.
 
Agree with dbmill above. Looks like we are going to be on that bubble unless we go on a little streak. Our next 5 games are at home. Have Holy Cross, a good URI , and 3 vs Cinci. We need to get 4 of 5 , because back-end of schedule is pretty tough.





current record.. season goal

7- 5 .583% .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
7- 3/ .700% ... 12 - 4 / .750 - New England games
8-8 / .500 .... 10 - 6 / .625 - Other games

Post season Criteria
(1) 22 - 16/ .596..... 38-22 / .633 - Overall record

(2) 42.... <51- RPI

(3) 3rd.....Top 4 AAC

CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
UConn is half way thru the conference schedule, and has 5 New England games left (doesn't appear they will be making up the home game v. BC that was postponed in March, at least according to the current schedule). They are right on pace with ucjoet's "seasonal goals". The good news is 9 of the 12 remaining AAC games are at home, and 4 of the 5 NE games are home too.

HC & URI at home
3H v Cinci
3A v Houston
SH at home
3H v USF
NE at home, @URI
3H v ECU

The 5 game stretch of USF, NE @ URI could be a tough spell as UConn will play Friday thru Tuesday consecutively. NE game is a make up from early April, so had to slot it on a Monday when both teams were available.
 
.-.
After this weekend:

baseball.PNG


@ Houston next, then host USF the following weekend and end season w/ ECU @J.O.C.
 
current record.. season goal

9- 6 .600% .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
7- 4/ .636% ... 12 - 4 / .750 - New England games
8-8 / .500 .... 10 - 6 / .625 - Other games

Post season Criteria
(1) 24 - 18/ .596..... 38-22 / .633 - Overall record

(2) 47.... <51- RPI

(3) tied 1st.....Top 4 AAC

CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
huskymedic said:
Projected Field of 64 (May 3) | BaseballAmerica.com

Lexington, KY
1. (3) Kentucky^*
2. Indiana
3. Connecticut
4. Northeastern*
*-Automatic bid; ^-Regional host

Last Four In: Southeastern Louisiana, UCLA, Charlotte, Washington
First Four Out: Oklahoma State, Louisiana-Lafayette, Florida Atlantic, San Diego
Next Four Out: Louisiana Tech, North Carolina State, Brigham Young, Kansas

Field Of 64 Projection: May 3 | D1Baseball.com
No UConn in field
Expand ...

So what do we have left and what do we have to do to make it? Any summary of that?
 
HuskyHawk said:
So what do we have left and what do we have to do to make it? Any summary of that?
Expand ...

@ Houston next, then host USF the following weekend and end season w/ ECU @J.O.C. Taking 2 of the three series (and not going o-3 in the other) and a strong showing in AAC Tourney would probably do it. There are 3 single mid week non-conference games in the middle of the conference series (Scred heart, Northeastern and URI). It sure would help to sweep them as well).

Win the AAC Tournament is the easiest answer... AAC probaly gets 4 teams in NCAA Tourney.
 
huskymedic said:
@ Houston next, then host USF the following weekend and end season w/ ECU @J.O.C. Taking 2 of the three series (and not going o-3 in the other) and a strong showing in AAC Tourney would probably do it. There are 3 single mid week non-conference games in the middle of the conference series (Scred heart, Northeastern and URI). It sure would help to sweep them as well).

Win the AAC Tournament is the easiest answer... AAC probaly gets 4 teams in NCAA Tourney.
Expand ...

That sounds about right. Right now UConn is against teams in the RPI top 50, the Huskies could really use wins against these teams. Right now Houston, South Florida, and Rhode Island (48) all fit that bill. I kind of think UConn needs to go at least 3-3 against Houston and South Florida, pick up the win against Rhode Island, and win the final series against East Carolina. That would give UConn plenty of quality wins, but it also isn't going to be easy.
 
.-.
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