Wins needed for 2017 at large bid

[HuskyHawk]

Choke is a rather harsh term to describe a loss in baseball. THe best of baseball teams usually lose close to 40 percent of the time. If we were to get a well pitched game against the best college team in America we would have a good chance to win. No one should say the other team choked.

Fine. I am simply saying that when they need to win these local games late in a season, as they did last year, they seem to lose them. Meanwhile, they can step up and beat better, southern teams. I understand it's baseball, but we need to do better in this area.

 

[huskymedic]

Baseball America - Projected Field of 64 (May 17)
Clemson, SC
1. Clemson^
2. Vanderbilt
3. Connecticut
4. Winthrop*
*-Automatic bid; ^-Regional host

Last four in: Kansas, UCLA, Florida State, North Carolina State
First four out: Louisiana-Lafayette, South Carolina, Coastal Carolina, Utah
Next four out: Dallas Baptist, Loyola Marymount, Washington, St. Mary’s

AAC: UConn (3), UCF (2), Houston (2), USF (2)
Also: Bryant, URI, Yale, Fairfield


D1Baseball.com - Field Of 64 Projection: May 16
Long Beach CA
1 Long Beach State*
4 Binghamton*
3 Connecticut
2 Arizona

AAC: UConn (3), UCF (2), Houston (2), USF (2)
Also: Bryant, URI, Yale

>>There are only two at-large changes this week. South Carolina and Washington are out of the field, while Connecticut and UL Lafayette entered the field of 64<<

 

[uconnbaseball]

We would have a chance to win either of those regionals. Vandy would be a tough 2 seed though.

 

[Baseballguy]

We would have a chance to win either of those regionals. Vandy would be a tough 2 seed though.

D1's is by far the easiest route. Beating Vandy and Clemson is a tough draw, more so than last year.

 

[dbmill]

One thing of interest for UConn in its quest to win the weekend series against East Carolina and possibly solidify an at large bid to the NCAA tourney, and that is ECU's record vs. RPI teams:

ECU
RPI Record
1-50 1-18
51-100 9-7
101-200 10-1
201+ 8-0

UConn of course is currently in the RPI top 50, so ECU's record would seem to favor the Huskies this weekend. Still, I figure it is rare where when a team's win loss record so starkly follows its opponents RPI.

 

[uconnbaseball]

ECU is also apparently conserving their #1 pitcher for the conference tournament - another advantage.

We play miserably as clear favorites so I hope this team remembers what happens last year when ECU came to town.

 

[ucjoet]

If we could have only won some of our mid week games vs some very beatable teams, I think we would have been a virtual lock for an at large bid. We still need to take care of business these last 2 homes games and at least make a run in AAC tourney to get a bid.

If nothing else this team makes things interesting.




current record.. season goal

13- 9 .591% .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
8- 4/ .667% ... 12 - 4 / .750 - New England games
8-8 / .500 .... 10 - 6 / .625 - Other games

Post season Criteria
(1) 30 - 22/ .577..... 38-22 / .633 - Overall record

(2) 38.... <51- RPI

(3) tied 2nd .....Top 4 AAC

CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable

 

[Baseballguy]

If we could have only won some of our mid week games vs some very beatable teams, I think we would have been a virtual lock for an at large bid. We still need to take care of business these last 2 homes games and at least make a run in AAC tourney to get a bid.

If nothing else this team makes things interesting.

I listened to D1 Baseball's at-large bid podcast the other day. They seemed to think UConn was in a fairly solid spot coming into this series for an at-large. One of them was saying if the sweep ECU that they'll punch their ticket. IMO, a sweep and 1 or 2 wins in the AAC tourney and I don't see how the committee can leave us out.

 

[hardcorehusky]

My concern coming into the ECU series was that Tulane could knock us off to 5th if we slip up. One win in two and that won't happen but I really don't want to see Tulane in the first round. If we can win today (I take things 1 game at a time). The game in Hartford was a lot of fun and I am going back up to Storrs today for the 2nd game.

 

[huskypantz]

Just looked at the AAC standings, noting that USF has played 37 home games. We have played 17 (with one to go). That is crazy.

 

[SAMCRO]

RPI improves to 34 after today's win!

 

[huskymedic]

Heading into last day of regular season:

 

[dbmill]

I think UConn pretty much clinches an NCAA tourney bid if they beat East Carolina today. The Huskies would have a share of the AAC regular season title and an RPI of around 30, plus some quality wins. At that point the ACC tourney would only be about seeding for the NCAA tourney.

 

[ucjoet]

current record.. season goal

14- 9 .609% .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
8- 4/ .667% ... 12 - 4 / .750 - New England games
8-8 / .500 .... 10 - 6 / .625 - Other games

Post season Criteria
(1) 31 - 22/ .585..... 38-22 / .633 - Overall record

(2) 34.... <51- RPI

(3) tied 1 st .....Top 4 AAC

CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable

 

[SAMCRO]

UConn's RPI is now 37.

Results in other conference tournaments UConn fans should be hoping for, to help our at-large chances:
Big East - St. John's to win
Big West - LBSU to win, Fullerton getting knocked off early might help too
CUSA - S. Miss or La Tech to win, ODU to get knocked off early would help too
Missouri Valley - Missouri St to win
Southland - SE Louisiana to win, McNeese St to get upset early would help
Sun Belt - S. Alabama to win
.... and no big time under dogs to make a run and win any of the major conference tournaments, knocking teams off the bubble.

 

[ucjoet]

A win yesterday would have made me less anxious going into AAC tourney. Even thou there seems to be a school of taught they we may already have an At Large bid, I just don't fell comfortable . I still think we need to win at least to games to solidify a bid.

Go Huskies




current record.. season goal

14- 10 .583% .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
8- 4/ .667% ... 12 - 4 / .750 - New England games
8-8 / .500 .... 10 - 6 / .625 - Other games

Post season Criteria
(1) 31 - 23/ .574..... 38-22 / .633 - Overall record

(2) 40.... <51- RPI

(3) tied 3rd .....Top 4 AAC

CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable

 

[dbmill]

A win yesterday would have made me less anxious going into AAC tourney. Even thou there seems to be a school of taught they we may already have an At Large bid, I just don't fell comfortable . I still think we need to win at least to games to solidify a bid.

Go Huskies


current record.. season goal

14- 10 .583% .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
8- 4/ .667% ... 12 - 4 / .750 - New England games
8-8 / .500 .... 10 - 6 / .625 - Other games

Post season Criteria
(1) 31 - 23/ .574..... 38-22 / .633 - Overall record

(2) 40.... <51- RPI

(3) tied 3rd .....Top 4 AAC

CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable

I'm not feeling all that comfortable either. I'm thinking UConn needs two wins to get to the semi finals next Saturday to solidify an NCAA bid. I don't have the stats in front of me, but UConn has been getting to the Saturday conference semi finals for about the last 10 years, a record that I find rather remarkable. I suspect they need to do this again this time around.

 

[hardcorehusky]

I was concerned that Penders had the starters go deep because the tournament started on Tuesday- giving Cate only 4days rest. But starting Wednesday gives him and Wills 5 days in between starts. Hopefully we go deep enough to need Ronnie Rossomondo to start one of the games.

B-T-W - Is Feldstein hurt? Did not play Friday, pinch hit Saturday and did not go out in the field.

 

[huskymedic]

I was concerned that Penders had the starters go deep because the tournament started on Tuesday- giving Cate only 4days rest. But starting Wednesday gives him and Wills 5 days in between starts. Hopefully we go deep enough to need Ronnie Rossomondo to start one of the games.

B-T-W - Is Feldstein hurt? Did not play Friday, pinch hit Saturday and did not go out in the field.

Sore knee... should be fine (precautionary).

 

[huskymedic]

UConn's RPI is now 37.

Results in other conference tournaments UConn fans should be hoping for, to help our at-large chances:
Big East - St. John's to win
Big West - LBSU to win, Fullerton getting knocked off early might help too
CUSA - S. Miss or La Tech to win, ODU to get knocked off early would help too
Missouri Valley - Missouri St to win
Southland - SE Louisiana to win, McNeese St to get upset early would help
Sun Belt - S. Alabama to win
.... and no big time under dogs to make a run and win any of the major conference tournaments, knocking teams off the bubble.

Dirtbags win the auto-bid.

 

[huskymedic]

 

[huskymedic]

Baseball America‏ @BaseballAmerica 1m 1 minute ago
Top 25 Chat: @mlananna and @tedcahill answered your college baseball questions this week, powered by @sluggernation
College Baseball Rankings Chat (May 22) | BaseballAmerica.com

>Mike (Connecticut): Is the American a safe 4 bid league this year regardless of what transpires in the conference tournament? Can you see any 2 of the 4 making the second weekend?<
>Teddy Cahill: I think UConn has probably done enough at this point to be in. The top three teams are definitely in. They’re probably all capable of winning a regional because they all pitch very well. None of them have had a ton of success away from home, which could make things more difficult in regionals, but once you get in, you never know which teams will rise to the occasion.<

 

[Baseballguy]

Teddy Cahill: I think UConn has probably done enough at this point to be in. The top three teams are definitely in.<

This seems to be the common consensus

 

[dbmill]

If UConn baseball does indeed get an NCAA at large bid, it will be the first one it has gotten since the 2011 season. The Huskies also got an at large bid in 2010. In 2013 and 2016 the team got hot at the right time of the season and won the conference championships to get their NCAA bids.

 

[huskymedic]

D1Baseball.com - Field Of 64 Projection: May 23

Clemson SC:
1 Clemson
4 Mercer*
3 Connecticut
2 Vanderbilt

Also: UCF (2), USF (2), Houston (2)