If I'm a UCONN fan...I'd go with:
2 seed:
Want: South Carolina, a team that has never been able to keep it competitive against Connecticut and just doesn't match up well being somewhat of a one trick pony and they lack of perimeter scoring.
Avoid: Baylor they are by far the most imposing 2 seed with their near perfect record and quality play inside and out. Their freshmen guards almost scare me more than when they had Wallace because they're very quick and keep turnovers low.
Impartial: Oregon, I don't see them leaving Spokane but I wouldn't be too concerned about them. They have good talent but are young and I don't think they do anything particularly unique that could shake UCONN.
Texas, because despite having great guards and the first game, Holmes has really struggled in the front court and I think Geno comes up with a better game plan than Aston in round 2.
3 seeds:
Want: Ohio State, a team that has been throttled by UCONN in recent years and they just don't play defense. UCONN will have a field day against them.
Want: Tennessee, this is a team that should be on every UCONN fans wish list. The Vols have been struggling big time as the season's worn on, the freshmen seem to have hit a wall and Holly of course has no clue how to manage this. I think Tennessee is more of a 5-6 seed based on the eye test (and if you discredit their wins over SC), so I'm not sure they escape the 2nd round. Even if they do, I think they'll have a hard time playing Texas or Baylor or Oregon in the Sweet 16.
Avoid: Florida State, an interesting team who is capable of pulling off upsets (Louisville), but they also can coast and not be very good. The wild card factor combined with streaky scorers would scare me more than Ohio State or Tennessee. Plus Semrau is an underrated coach.
Avoid: UCLA, I'm not sure they can keep it close in a rematch with the Huskies, but they have good pieces in Canada and Billings who could make things interesting for the Huskies. Not a team I'd be particularly nervous about, but they'll be a tougher matchup than Tennessee or Ohio State.