Where will UConn be ranked tomorrow? | The Boneyard

Where will UConn be ranked tomorrow?

EricSD

EricSD

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Baylor lost 2 in a row, to unranked teams. This is not the same as UConn losing to NC State and Texas at the time. Stanford lost to Colorado, Texas lost to K State, Va Tech lost to Florida State. IMHO what it should be (not what the "experts" say it will be):
  1. SC
  2. Iowa
  3. Colorado
  4. NC State
  5. USC
  6. UCLA
  7. K State
  8. UConn
  9. Stanford
  10. L'ville
  11. LSU
  12. Texas
  13. Florida State
  14. Va Tech
  15. Baylor
Anyway I'm sure everyone has a thought. Based my guesses on who the teams lost to, MOV, if they were ranked, etc. But I think UConn should be about 8, but maybe 9 if the put Stanford in front of us...
 
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Not a prediction, this is what’s happened in the last week. I’m not showing wins, only losses. If no rank is noted, team is unranked

1. So Carolina
2. UCLA lost to #9 USC
3. Iowa
4. Baylor lost to Iowa State, lost to Kansas
5. Colorado
6. NC State
7. LSU lost to Auburn
8. Stanford lost to #5 Colorado
9. USC
10. Texas lost to #12 KState
11. VA Tech lost to #21 FSU
12. KState
13. UConn
14. Indiana lost to #3 Iowa
15. Louisville

Interestingly, on the men’s side, 9 teams in the top 15 lost, all to unranked teams:
#1, 2, 3, 5, 6,8,9,10,11. The UConn men, currently ranked #4, won both of their games this past week.
 
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I’m going to say UConn 7.

Now let me put on my Red Tinted glasses. NC State a spot behind Colorado, who State beat by 18 on a neutral court already seems wrong.
 
HuskyNan said:
Not a prediction, this is what’s happened in the last week. I’m not showing wins, only losses. If no rank is noted, team is unranked

1. So Carolina
2. UCLA lost to #9 USC
3. Iowa
4. Baylor lost to Iowa State
5. Colorado
6. NC State
7. LSU lost to Auburn
8. Stanford lost to #5 Colorado
9. USC
10. Texas lost to #12 KState
11. VA Tech
12. KState
13. UConn
14. Indiana lost to #3 Iowa
15. Louisville

Interestingly, on the men’s side, 9 teams in the top 15 lost, all to unranked teams:
#1, 2, 3, 5, 6,8,9,10,11. The UConn men, currently ranked #4, won both of their games this past week.
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Baylor lost twice in the past week to unranked Kansas & unranked Iowa St.

VA Tech just lost to #21 FL St today
 
#11 Va Tech lost to Florida St as well. It looks like UConn will be ranked about #5, behind USC & Colorado. UConn is on the way to the final four.
 
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Happydad745 said:
Iowa is not the second best team in NCAA, I'd put them at 10.
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Maybe. not but they do have wins over Kansas St (and a loss), Va Tech, Indiana, and an Iowa St win that now looks a whole lot better.

I would personally put at least UCLA, CO and Nc St above them, but they also haven't lost since Nov. 16th.
 
Cornell Lt said:
I'll say they end up at #10
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Not sure they can pass anybody but VT and Texas perhaps, unless Stanford really gets dumped and you know how they love Stanford, so I'd say #11 but the intermediate range objective is just to position for a #2 seed with a win over ND
 
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hookshot said:
Not sure they can pass anybody but VT and Texas perhaps, unless Stanford really gets dumped and you know how they love Stanford, so I'd say #11 but the intermediate range objective is just to position for a #2 seed with a win over ND
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I think Baylor falls out of the top 10 and behind UConn. I can see LSU even falling behind UConn too. I think Stanford stays around where it is since going 1-1 on a road swing to Utah and CO is pretty decent. TX won't be too penalized for losing on road to Kansas St but could also see them taking a tumble.

The issue last week was everyone in front of UConn in rankings (minus VA Tech who just upset NC st) had either 0 or 1 losses while UConn had three (and no wins over the teams ranked ahead of them). But now that other teams are getting more losses, expect Uconn to steadily climb back up.
 
UCONN at #10. The four Pac12 teams stay in the Top 10, along with Iowa, NC State, Texas, So. Carolina, and Kansas State.
 
While I love our Forum's passion (including @EricLA) for our team, many seem to be ignoring point totals that actual matter. Voters do not start from scratch each week, they look at last weeks ranking and move up or down.

Let's use Stanford for an example who was #8 last week with 637 points (150 more than UConn from the 35 voters). Stanford went 1-1 this week winning at #19 Utah but losing at #5 Colorado. The Voters are not going to penalize Stanford enough to fall below UConn. Add in that #7 LSU went 1-1, Baylor went 0-2 and UCLA lost to #9 USC. My guess is Stanford may actual move up a slot to #7 ahead of LSU and Baylor and right ahead of Kansas State. We will stay behind Kansas State. UConn will break the top 10 but just barely.

Even Baylor who lost to 2 unranked teams will not drop all the way to 15 as the voters have had 16 games this year to evaluate them. My guess is they fall to #11. When we lost to NC State, who was unranked at that time, was severely penalizing because there was no "body of work" to balance the context of the loss. In other words, teams can jump up and down by more slots early in the season but only smaller amounts later.

My guess is this:
#1 SC
#2 Iowa
#3 Colorado
#4 UCLA
#5 NC State
#6 USC
#7 Stanford
#8 Kansas State
#9 UConn
#10 LSU
#11 Baylor
#12 Texas
#13 Virginia Tech
#14 Louisville
#15 Gonzaga
#16 Indiana
#17 Florida State
#18 Ohio State
#19 Notre Dame
#20 Utah
#21 Creighton
#22 Marquette
#23 UNLV
#24 Oregon State
#25 North Carolina
 
DefenseBB said:
While I love our Forum's passion (including @EricLA) for our team, many seem to be ignoring point totals that actual matter. Voters do not start from scratch each week, they look at last weeks ranking and move up or down.

Let's use Stanford for an example who was #8 last week with 637 points (150 more than UConn from the 35 voters). Stanford went 1-1 this week winning at #19 Utah but losing at #5 Colorado. The Voters are not going to penalize Stanford enough to fall below UConn. Add in that #7 LSU went 1-1, Baylor went 0-2 and UCLA lost to #9 USC. My guess is Stanford may actual move up a slot to #7 ahead of LSU and Baylor and right ahead of Kansas State. We will stay behind Kansas State. UConn will break the top 10 but just barely.

Even Baylor who lost to 2 unranked teams will not drop all the way to 15 as the voters have had 16 games this year to evaluate them. My guess is they fall to #11. When we lost to NC State, who was unranked at that time, was severely penalizing because there was no "body of work" to balance the context of the loss. In other words, teams can jump up and down by more slots early in the season but only smaller amounts later.

My guess is this:
#1 SC
#2 Iowa
#3 Colorado
#4 UCLA
#5 NC State
#6 USC
#7 Stanford
#8 Kansas State
#9 UConn
#10 LSU
#11 Baylor
#12 Texas
#13 Virginia Tech
#14 Louisville
#15 Gonzaga
#16 Indiana
#17 Florida State
#18 Ohio State
#19 Notre Dame
#20 Utah
#21 Creighton
#22 Marquette
#23 UNLV
#24 Oregon State
#25 North Carolina
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DefenseBB- - -#4 UCLA lost to #6 USC!
Maybe switch places!
 
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