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Week 1 gambling

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nelsonmuntz

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UCF -21.5 against akron is a gimme IMO. Also like temple +30 and took Rutgers +11. I like Wyoming +28 at Nebraska and the over in that game.

Northwestern is a really good team and I have them -5 at Cal. The late kickoff might mess with them a little but they're a good team and I like them to cover that.


Nice work!!!!
 

whaler11

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Northwestern got two tipped passed for pick 6's. I don't feel quite so bad thinking that was a dangerous spot.
 
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Had a pretty good Saturday for the first week. Ended up 7-3 on the day.

Def got lucky with the NW cover, but I'll certainly take it. Maryland was too easy, FIU has their version of Coach P with Ron Turner. They are a team to fade all season.

I like Ohio today as well.
 

whaler11

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I'm going to take Louisville -21 as the AAC looks so bad that they know they need style points. Nothing like a change of heart 45 minutes prior.
 
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I'm going to take Louisville -21 as the AAC looks so bad that they know they need style points. Nothing like a change of heart 45 minutes prior.


Best of luck. With Bridgewater back, and no major losses from last season's roster (that I can recall anyway), I think it is a good play (though, I haven't dived into analysis for lines this season yet, so I don't have a good feel). The expectations are high for UL this season, and a coach like Charlie Strong motivates players to excel in these spots. Think the number is a little high because Ohio isn't a complete dreck (9-4 last season with a win at Penn State, still impressive even with the turmoil in Happy Valley), and the first game of the season can be a crap shoot. Think Louisville covers, but I'd guess it's close.
 

whaler11

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Best of luck. With Bridgewater back, and no major losses from last season's roster (that I can recall anyway), I think it is a good play (though, I haven't dived into analysis for lines this season yet, so I don't have a good feel). The expectations are high for UL this season, and a coach like Charlie Strong motivates players to excel in these spots. Think the number is a little high because Ohio isn't a complete dreck (9-4 last season with a win at Penn State, still impressive even with the turmoil in Happy Valley), and the first game of the season can be a crap shoot. Think Louisville covers, but I'd guess it's close.

I only bet it because it's the only game on. :)

It's a pretty safe assumption that every spread is going to be close - those lines were pretty tight for week 1.
 

whaler11

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The week 2 opening lines are interesting.

Georgia -5 over South Carolina. Texas -3.5 over BYU. Florida -3 over Miami. Michigan and Notre Dame... Pick. If you are hung up on names Auburn -4 Arky State.

Evidence Vegas doesn't overreact. Nebraska is -30 over Southern Miss.

Two teams we discuss a lot. Northwestern laying 9.5 to Cuse and Cinci laying 16 to Illinois.

Some pretty strong opinions from the Wynn there.
 

whaler11

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Usf catching 22.5 I like at first blush. Same with Duke laying 5.5 at Memphis.
 

whaler11

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I don't like getting on the wrong side of the movement but I did take FSU -12. Smells like a 20 point blowout.
 

whaler11

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If I were in Vegas I'd drop a hundy on FSU for title. This kid is ridiculous.
 
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