Updated report!
Villanova: 16-14
9-9 since we’ve last played them
2-5 without Whitmore; 14-9 with Whitmore
10-10 without Moore; 6-4 with Moore
6-1 in their last 7 (Ws over DePaul, SH 2x, Butler, Xavier, Creighton)
Kenpom Rating: 56th (53rd last time we’ve played)
Offensive Efficiency: 34th (15th last time we played them)
Big East Rankings: 6th in Efficiency
- 1st in 3PA/FGA (45.3%)
- 1st in 83.2 FT%
- 1st in Time spent per possession (19.5 seconds)
- 3rd in FTA/FGA (30.4%)
- 4th in 53.6 2p%
- 4th in steal prevention
- 10th in offensive rebounding rate
- 10th in block prevention
- 11th in A/FGM (44.2%)
Defensive Efficiency: 95th (123rd last time we played them)
Big East Rankings: 5th in Efficiency
- 2nd in defensive rebounding rate
- 4th in quickest opponent possession rate (17.1 seconds/possession)
- 4th in 32.5 opp. 3p%
- 5th in steal rate
- 6th in FTA/FGA prevention (29.4%)
- 7th in 51.0 opp. 2p%
- 9th in A/FGM prevention (58.7%)
- LAST in
- 78.2 Opp. ft%
- 39.4% 3PA/FGA
- Block rate
Top Performers over the Last 30 Games:
Eric Dixon: 16.0p, 6.5r, 1.2 3PM, 50.7 fg%, 79.3 ft%
Caleb Daniels: 14.9p, 4.4r, 2.5a, 2.3 3PM, 85.3 ft%
Cam Whitmore: 12.6p, 5.1r, 1.4s, 1.4 3PM, 46.9 fg%
Justin Moore: 12.1p, 3.2r, 2.7a, 1.6 3PM
Obviously, the biggest change between this game and last game is Justin Moore’s return and Cam Whitmore in full rhythm after his 23 minutes against UConn last matchup was a career high.
With Moore back, Arcidiacono has been relegated back to mistake-preventing, team-first supporting guard who helps move the ball beautifully around the perimeter (he’s actually ranked the team’s most efficient offensive player, despite modest numbers).
In his junior season, Eric Dixon has been an offensive star, but is analytically (according to Evanmiya.com) the team’s least efficient regular defender while Cam Whitmore and Mark Armstrong are the team’s best defenders.
Similar to the last game, I expect another big game from Hawkins, however, I’d expect Karaban (15 points last matchup) to have a hard assignment against a fully healthy Whitmore. Sanogo’s performance in the last matchup (7 points, 4 personal fouls) feels like a fluke too…if he remains out of foul trouble, he should be able to carve up Sanogo in the post and if he’s doubled, a strong shooter like Karaban and/or Hawkins should be open on kick outs.