It isn't just about the chance to win. It's also about repeating which apparently is even harder (see Duke last year).
I have to disagree with you. Last years' result will have a very little correlation to this years' outcome. The results are independent just like spins at the roulette table.
I agree, the odds of repeating need to factor in the previous attempts. However 2011 UConn was such a surprise vs 2011-12 (UConn should be among favorites) thatI think this is a pretty good setup for a shot at repeating. Two years of expectations can weigh on a team, but these guys will have a fresh look at it and as we see by the odds/reaction to winning (sentiment that they were lucky)/BE polls 2011-12 UConn can play the nobody believes in us or disrespected card for awhile.Mmmmm, I'd guess not, without actually looking long and hard at it. My guess is that a mathematician would describe the situation as a Markov Chain, rather than independent events.
If you can find UConn @ 20/1 that is the best you can find but it most likely is less across the board. As low as 12/1 at some places. Good luck!The only odds that really matter are the odds @ the Vegas Casino Sports books. I was there a month ago and nothing has changed since. You can't find UConn better then 18/1 anywhere or + 1800. Some places it is 15/1 or +1500 and I did see as low as 12/1 0r +1200. The odds were +25/1 or 2500 before Drummond came aboard. Just an FYI on the #'s where it matters most.
Sunset Station? Nice... Did they limit your action? That is the norm even in Vegas. Not familiar with Sunset but assume it is off the Strip somewhere in Henderson? I should have qualified by saying on the strip or a Casino such as Rio ect...ect... Good Luck!That's incorrect. I just placed a bet yesterday at 20:1 at Sunset Station.