UConn Tenn thoughts | Page 3 | The Boneyard

UConn Tenn thoughts

Stronga12 said:
Analytics site Torvik defines quality games as Top50 opponents:

Expand ...

Thank you. Very interesting and complex site. Others have cited it, and I'll have to become more familiar with it.

So, according to the Torvik parameters you selected, UConn is ranked 1 in DRB% and 31 in ORB% among the 85 teams who have played at least 5 games against Torvik's top 50 teams.

Playing with the selectable parameters for minimum games and number of teams, the ranks of course all constantly change.

For example, when I changed the minimum game parameter to teams who have played at least 10 games against top 50 teams, UConn's DRB% rank stayed at 1 and the ORB% rank jumped to 8. But only 12 teams, some not really good, met that parameter. When I change the minimum game parameter to 1, UConn's DRB% rank changes to 10 and its ORB% rank changes to 74, among 311 teams.

In any event, I'll accept that your parameter selection in Torvik-world shows UConn to be the top D-boarding team and a very good O-boarding team when looking solely at UConn's games played against top 50 teams. The meaningfulness of these data depend on the accuracy and reliability of Torvik's algorithms, about which I have no knowledge or opinion. (I do know Torvik's rankings have never won Pilight's fun bracket in the NCAAT since 2004.)

This makes me wonder why UConn is a better D-boarding team than an O-boarding team. It's obviously related to the fact that the top percentage shooting team in the country (UConn) will have the fewest available O-boards, and the top defensive team in the country (UConn) will have the most available D-boards.
 
Rebound Margin is a somewhat misleading stat: If Connecticut was an average rebounding team, they would still have a positive rebound margin just from their advantage in field goal percentage. In an average game, defense rebounds about 70% of missed shots, so a team with a high field goal percentage and a low percentage allowed will have more opportunities for defensive rebounds than their opponents. I don't even pay attention to rebounds per game; the only stats that matter are defensive and offensive percentages. I think that's what Torvik is showing. If I understand it correctly, the overall percentage in D1 is 29.9% for offensive rebounds, and Connecticut is rebounding 31.3% (pretty good) and only allowing their opponents 25.1% (best in the country). Hopefully he isn't including team rebounds, which rarelty show anything (except in the occasional instance of boxing out an opponent to allow a missed shot to go out of bounds).
 
Charliebball said:
Every game is an opportunity for opposing teams to take UConn down, and I'm sure Tennessee will be highly motivated...... I'm somewhat more concerned about Blanca's probable absence from the Tennessee game as she is UConn's most athletic big defender and an important interior offensive presence ......UConn is not nearly as strong a team without her......
Expand ...
I'm not too worried about Blanca's availability although I did moderate my prognostication a little. As far as motivation is concerned, who was the poster that said UConn is every other team's super bowl? Tennessee is going to the super bowl. Crazy things can happen in the super bowl.
 
#1Genofan said:
Yes -- one or the other. If you watch the Tennessee coach's postgame presser, she's pissed, and she's going to take it out on her players. Either they roll over, or they play their best game of the year on Sunday.
Expand ...
I agree - the game on Sunday coming on the heels of this disastrous showing could be the make or break part of their season.

It's hard to tell from watching a single game but I wonder if the speculated locker room corrosiveness of Caldwell having to dismiss Ruby Whitehorn at the start of the season is starting to show up, or if this was just a one-off. You might recall that Caldwell said she had to do this to protect her teams in the years to come - possibly an indication that she knew saying goodbye to one of their most popular players wasn't going to go down well, no matter how justified.

I like Caldwell and think she was a great hire for TN. Given how angry she must have been, and justifiably so I might add, I thought she handled the presser incredibly well.
 
Sam had a house in Hartford. I think he was talking about UConn statistics

IMG_4764.jpg
 
.-.
Skeets said:
I'm not too worried about Blanca's availability although I did moderate my prognostication a little. As far as motivation is concerned, who was the poster that said UConn is every other team's super bowl? Tennessee is going to the super bowl. Crazy things can happen in the super bowl.
Expand ...
I think Blanca has become the player Geno has leaned on when the team is out of sorts and for good reason.........without her, who's going to be that difference maker? I'd say Heckel but she's not the dominant player that Blanca is, especially against bigger and more athletic teams like Tennessee......let's hope UConn doesn't need an "intervention" in this game.....
 
BBallF said:
I agree with this caveat- It's not about them being on, it's about them having open shots. that is what Louisville's press did to them. There is a big difference between shooting a 3 when open and with KK, Kayleigh, Ash or Azzi in your face.
Expand ...
While I am predicting a 25+ point UConn win, If you consider a start like UConn made against Xavier with 10 straight missed 3's, with Tenn starting hot, it could be a close game. Unlikely since UConn has such deep talent, but don't want to have to rely on any player making 10 3's.
 
Actually you want low offensive rebounding numbers. I think that's because the object of the game is to make your shots.
 
HopJim said:
While I am predicting a 25+ point UConn win, If you consider a start like UConn made against Xavier with 10 straight missed 3's, with Tenn starting hot, it could be a close game. Unlikely since UConn has such deep talent, but don't want to have to rely on any player making 10 3's.
Expand ...
The Huskies didn’t need Allie’s threes
 
CONNCAN said:
Either UCONN will end up beating Tennessee by 20+ Points on Sunday "OR" beware of a recently wounded angry bear.
Expand ...
Actually it is a Hound Dog. Originally most resembling a Blue Tick Hound. Today I learned that. Darn strange it took so long.
 
.-.
Charliebball said:
I think Blanca has become the player Geno has leaned on when the team is out of sorts and for good reason.........without her, who's going to be that difference maker? I'd say Heckel but she's not the dominant player that Blanca is, especially against bigger and more athletic teams like Tennessee......let's hope UConn doesn't need an "intervention" in this game.....
Expand ...
Offensively, I think Heckel's strength is getting the shooters good lucks that aren't naturally occurring in the normal flow of the offense. So her contribution is dependent on the other player knocking down the shots.

Whereas Blanca thrives offensively on the chaos she helps cause on defense and then creating her own shots. So yes, a more direct relationship and perhaps more reliable.

Heckel's approach has its advantages, though. Heckel helping to get Allie started in the last game carried over when Ash and Azzi starter finding an open Allie. The same works with Ash and Azzi making their shots as they also seem more proficient after they make an initial shot -- so it can "right" the whole team a bit and continue to pay dividends when KK re-enters the game.
 
Tonyc said:
So tonite Miss St @ Tenn on SEC + if you want to get a look. UConn is favored by 24+. I dont think we have a problem. Tenn hasnt seen a defense like UConn and imo wont be prepared for it. No team can prepare for it. I am very confident UConn wins this game and wins it big barring any key foul trouble and injuries. I expect Serah and Blanca to be back as I believe Geno kept them out of the Xavier game for precautionary reasons. I dont see Tenn scoring 60 pts in this game and I dont see Tenn keeping UConn from scoring under 70pts in this game. If Tenn is sloppy, making TOs and UConn stealing the ball this game will be over in the first half. I expect everybody to step up in this game.

UConn needs to get healthy. This is a game on why the top players come to UConn. UConn will be focused and their execution on both sides of the ball will shine. UConn plays like the ultimate team.
Expand ...
I just arrived in Hartford for tomorrow's game. Are you going? Are any other BYers?
 
.-.
ec33 said:
Offensively, I think Heckel's strength is getting the shooters good lucks that aren't naturally occurring in the normal flow of the offense. So her contribution is dependent on the other player knocking down the shots.

Whereas Blanca thrives offensively on the chaos she helps cause on defense and then creating her own shots. So yes, a more direct relationship and perhaps more reliable.

Heckel's approach has its advantages, though. Heckel helping to get Allie started in the last game carried over when Ash and Azzi starter finding an open Allie. The same works with Ash and Azzi making their shots as they also seem more proficient after they make an initial shot -- so it can "right" the whole team a bit and continue to pay dividends when KK re-enters the game.
Expand ...
All true, I love Heckel's game, but I assume this will be a very physical battle where turnovers and control of the boards may make the difference and under those circumstances, I think Blanca's absence will be a major loss.....
 
BBallF said:
I just arrived in Hartford for tomorrow's game. Are you going? Are any other BYers?
Expand ...
I will be there. I'd be happy to but a central NJ fan a diet coke, or a more mature refreshment if you prefer. 😊
 
Skeets said:
I will be there. I'd be happy to but a central NJ fan a diet coke, or a more mature refreshment if you prefer. 😊
Expand ...
Wow they have Diet Coke in central NJ? Let's meet with any other BYers who want to at some spot at halftime.
 
BBallF said:
Wow they have Diet Coke in central NJ? Let's meet with any other BYers who want to at some spot at halftime.
Expand ...
I believe I'm in section 215, 1 row above the walkway. The offer still stands. Hope to get there before the shirts run out. Bottoms up, Jersey.
 
BBallF said:
This is an Azzi game.
Expand ...
Name me a game that isn't. But I know what you mean. Just hope she's back on her whole game. Curious to see what Allie does after her explosion.
 
Charliebball said:
All true, I love Heckel's game, but I assume this will be a very physical battle where turnovers and control of the boards may make the difference and under those circumstances, I think Blanca's absence will be a major loss.....
Expand ...
Agreed. After the Notre Dame game, I am thinking that KK is saving her best efforts for the "big games." Plus Ash seems to be finding herself a bit more of late (with Geno pushing the buttons). So it is likely a game for them.

It would nice to see both K9 an Allie use their momentum from Xavier and carry it over to a game against a superior opponent though. I think it would be a big step for both of them (especially Allie).
 
.-.
It’s Ramadan so I hope Jana stores some fuel for this game smack in the middle of the day.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Forum statistics

Threads
166,955
Messages
4,500,164
Members
10,373
Latest member
Linda


Top Bottom