One thing to note is there is very little separation in the metrics we can see. For example, the difference between 5th and 10th in KenPom is less than a point.
The way I see it is if we win the Big East regular season with no more than 2 losses we’re likely a 1 seed. Committee has shown that they don’t really care about conference tourney results too much but winning that would solidify it too as a tiebreaker of sorts.
Likely yes unless we lose in the BET and the winner is Providence (just saying) who otherwise would be NIT bound grabs a spot and costs us a top seeding.
Bid-stealing would have no impact on our seeding.
I admit defeat - not sure what I was thinking (long night was at game)
Right now the amount of Q1 games left in the regular season:
I know it’s a “down” year for the big east but how the hell is our strength to schedule 62 after the non-conference we played past couple months? Thought it would be at least top 20
If we lose no more than 3 remaining games (which I think is necessary for a #1 seed), we'll get the 5 quad 1 wins we need to reach 10 total.
The good thing is unlike last year, the teams we beat in the non league schedule are having good to great seasons.
Seton Hall NET as 1/12 was 39.. Gotta believe that will improve as season goes on
www.cbssports.com
It still doesn’t make any sense to me.I wasn't concentrating on WAB before mostly because I didn't really understand what it was. It's explained very well in this article. It's used by the NCAA Tournament Selection Committee and since UConn is #1 by a pretty decent margin I'll pay more attention to it going forward.
The NCAA's seeding committee will use Wins Above Bubble (dubbed WAB) for the second year in a row. WAB is all about the resume. What have you done on the court? WAB measures what the average bubble team would have done, and each team is given a boost or a reduction based on the outcome. Missouri can beat Bethune-Cookman by eight or 80; the final score does not matter.
How is this calculated? Simple math. The average bubble team is given a 95% chance of beating Bethune-Cookman at home. WAB is calculated from the gap between the projected win percentage and the actual win number of 1.0. Since Missouri won, it was given 0.05 WAB for that victory. If it had lost, it would have been a -0.95 WAB in the ledger.
Trotter's Trends: Auburn's Keyshawn Hall might be best transfer scorer ever; WAB lessons
Which teams have built the best resumes through two months according to the NCAA's new Wins Above Bubble metric
WAB Watch: WAB Watch
Here’s really all you need to know to understand the majority of the discussions on here on this subject— like the RPI, in the WAB formula it is irrelevant whether you win the games by 1 point in triple OT or by 55 points. The formulae in any pure “resume” program doesn’t care. In Ken Pom or the similar “predictive” resumes, if they are purely predictive, they don’t care whether you win or lose but just about points per possession offensively and defensively. So, to simplify, say our and Duke’s entire seasons consist of a home and home and a neutral game. We beat Duke by 1 at home and in the neutral game and, presumably because the refs cheat, they beat us by 20 in Durham. In a pure resume program, we are ahead of Duke because we won 2 of 3. In a pure predictive program, Duke would probably be ahead of us because computer analysis would say based on those three results, we would expect Duke to win a fourth game at a neutral site.
LOL. A backhanded compliment to be sure, but I’ll take it!!!
