UConn Metrics (1/14)

[BFieldHusky]

NET: 8
KenPom: 10
BPI: 10
Torvik: 4
WAB: 1

Road/Neutral: 8-0

SOS: 62

Q1: 5-1
Q2: 5-0
Q3: 3-0
Q4: 4-0

 

[UConnTrumbull]

Just keep winning and the rest will fall into place

 

[Tenspro2002]

The key question at this point is whether we should be concerned that predictive metrics keep sliding the wrong way with a series of unimpressive wins, or whether we should be encouraged that the team keeps finding a way to win (and building that #1 seed resume) despite mediocre play.

 

[BFieldHusky]

The key question at this point is whether we should be concerned that predictive metrics keep sliding the wrong way with a series of unimpressive wins, or whether we should be encouraged that the team keeps finding a way to win (and building that #1 seed resume) despite mediocre play.

One thing to note is there is very little separation in the metrics we can see. For example, the difference between 5th and 10th in KenPom is less than a point.

 

[UConnTrumbull]

The key question at this point is whether we should be concerned that predictive metrics keep sliding the wrong way with a series of unimpressive wins, or whether we should be encouraged that the team keeps finding a way to win (and building that #1 seed resume) despite mediocre play.

The way I see it is if we win the Big East regular season with no more than 2 losses we’re likely a 1 seed. Committee has shown that they don’t really care about conference tourney results too much but winning that would solidify it too as a tiebreaker of sorts.

 

[Lafayette]

The way I see it is if we win the Big East regular season with no more than 2 losses we’re likely a 1 seed. Committee has shown that they don’t really care about conference tourney results too much but winning that would solidify it too as a tiebreaker of sorts.

Likely yes unless we lose in the BET and the winner is Providence (just saying) who otherwise would be NIT bound grabs a spot and costs us a top seeding.

 

[Tenspro2002]

Likely yes unless we lose in the BET and the winner is Providence (just saying) who otherwise would be NIT bound grabs a spot and costs us a top seeding.

Bid-stealing would have no impact on our seeding.

I think the poster above is correct that we can't lose more than 2 Big East regular season games and definitely retain a #1 seed. 18-2 and losing in the BET would be borderline.

The conference is really bad this year. Seton Hall away might be our toughest game and there's a chance that not a single Big East home game will be Quad 1.

 

[UCFan1513]

For the first year in a few, I’m not worried about KenPom. We don’t step on other team’s throats in garbage time, hence our metrics suffer - I am confident they’ll clean that up, and others will start to fall here in conference play when there are less cupcakes to stat pad against (Iowa State, Michigan)

We’ve beaten a lot of very excellent teams, and the eye test says our experience and toughness wills us to wins. I’d rather be 10th in KenPom and where we are than 3rd holding three close losses and a bunch of blowout wins

Use the eye test: is this the 10th best team in the country? I don’t think so

 

[Lafayette]

Bid-stealing would have no impact on our seeding.

I think the poster above is correct that we can't lose more than 2 Big East regular season games and definitely retain a #1 seed. 18-2 and losing in the BET would be borderline.

The conference is really bad this year. Seton Hall away might be our toughest game and there's a chance that not a single Big East home game will be Quad 1.

I admit defeat - not sure what I was thinking (long night was at game)

 

[BFieldHusky]

Bid-stealing would have no impact on our seeding.

I think the poster above is correct that we can't lose more than 2 Big East regular season games and definitely retain a #1 seed. 18-2 and losing in the BET would be borderline.

The conference is really bad this year. Seton Hall away might be our toughest game and there's a chance that not a single Big East home game will be Quad 1.

Right now the amount of Q1 games left in the regular season:

St Johns x2
Villanova x2
@Creighton
@Butler

6 games left. Note that St. Johns and Nova are right on the cut line for a home Q1 opportunity.

 

[JB75]

NET: 8
KenPom: 10
BPI: 10
Torvik: 4
WAB: 1

Road/Neutral: 8-0

SOS: 62

Q1: 5-1
Q2: 5-0
Q3: 3-0
Q4: 4-0

I know it’s a “down” year for the big east but how the hell is our strength to schedule 62 after the non-conference we played past couple months? Thought it would be at least top 20

 

[UConNick]

Duke I think had 9 or 10 Quad 1 wins on Selection Sunday last year. We’ll probably need a similar number at least (and a similarly gaudy record) to get on the top line like them, considering other teams in that convo will likely have 12-14 Q1 wins.