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Not trying to too much of a Richard Head, but at this point what makes you think KO has the HOF as his ceiling? He caught lightening in a bottle one year as the team made a really improbable run during playoff and tourney time. Other than that he has been all Tom Crean all the time. In fact that rating may be generous unless he makes tourney next year.
How many coaches could have caught that particular lightning in that particular bottle? I'll bet not one in a hundred D1 coaches, which means 3 at most. Add in 13 years in the NBA mastering all the small things that NBA teams want, and a sterling personal character. Those are things that will serve him in good stead for the rest of his coaching career.
KO proved then he has some special strengths as a coach that few other head coaches can match. Now he just has to build on that foundation, fix his weaknesses or find a team of assistants that can complement him and be strong where he is weak, and he'll be all set.
Every new head coach needs time to master the coaching trade. Tom Crean has reached his ceiling. KO has not. Because of that 2014 championship and the 13 years in the NBA, we can be confident KO's ceiling is far higher than Tom Crean's.