UConn -7.5

[imno1]

UConn is a 7.5 favorite today. You buying or selling?
A couple of other games of interest
Cincinnati +2 against Xavier
Rhode Island - 3.5 over Providence

 

[upstater]

I don't bet, but I expect a Monmouth win outright.
I believe the handicappers must be unaware of the injuries.

 

[djct1999]

Give me Monmouth and the points. Also would take Cincy and URI.

 

[huskiesnyc]

I like Arkansas -4 at Houston

 

[pj]

I'd take Monmouth, Cincy, Providence

 

[whaler11]

=
I believe the handicappers must be unaware of the injuries.

LOL

So unaware the line is up to 8.

 

[borninansonia]

My gut, and Neandertal's have intuitive guts, says UConn in a blow-out. Jalen has a great game, and TL looks like the offensive machine many expected here.

 

[Jerry1714]

LOL

So unaware the line is up to 8.

Yup, these guys are just throwing numbers at a wall with no research or models.

 

[Jerry1714]

UConn wins and covers

 

[whaler11]

Yup, these guys are just throwing numbers at a wall with no research or models.

And if they got one wrong it would get hammered in the opposite direction.

Based on comments about point spreads on the Boneyard some should have a garage full of golden rocket cars.

 

[upstater]

And if they got one wrong it would get hammered in the opposite direction.

Based on comments about point spreads on the Boneyard some should have a garage full of golden rocket cars.

You guys are so deranged by gambling you can't even see the comment for what it is. I don't care about gambling. I'm saying the idea that UConn wins by 7 or 8 with these injuries is optimistic at best.

 

[whaler11]

You guys are so deranged by gambling you can't even see the comment for what it is. I don't care about gambling. I'm saying the idea that UConn wins by 7 or 8 with these injuries is optimistic at best.

It’s just something else you don’t understand so you’d be better off not commenting.

 

[Jerry1714]

You guys are so deranged by gambling you can't even see the comment for what it is. I don't care about gambling. I'm saying the idea that UConn wins by 7 or 8 with these injuries is optimistic at best.

Reread your post and tell me with a straight face you didn’t say the handicappers must be unaware of the injuries.

 

[UConnDan97]

Amazing. Once again, for an optimistic view and for future hope, I find myself looking to.....@whaler11 ?!?

 

[8893]

Based on comments about point spreads on the Boneyard some should have a garage full of golden rocket cars.

Mine are on order from Tesla.

 

[Sphinx]

With a starting lineup of Adams, Anderson, Onuorah, Polley and Larrier, UConn is going to have to come from ten points behind before it even starts covering the spread.

 

[UConnDan97]

They're gonna leave with the taste of UConn in their Monmouth tonight...

Yes, I was waiting a long time to use that.
No, it wasn't as funny as I thought would be.

 

[UConnDad]

Looking for the XL crowd to propel the ailing dogs to cover!

 

[upstater]

It’s just something else you don’t understand so you’d be better off not commenting.

I don't understand it and I don't want to either. It's totally uninteresting. You guys who worship at the altar of gambling can't even enlarge your brains to get outside it.

 

[upstater]

Reread your post and tell me with a straight face you didn’t say the handicappers must be unaware of the injuries.

You guys take it so seriously that a comment about an optimistic line has your knees jerking so hard to defend the handicappers. It is pathetic and hilarious that an offhand comment about the line would have you reverting to that.

 

[whaler11]

I don't understand it and I don't want to either. It's totally uninteresting. You guys who worship at the altar of gambling can't even enlarge your brains to get outside it.

We aren’t worshipping at the altar of gambling.

It’s pretty simple: If the market spits out UConn -8 just picture a bell curve with UConn -8 the most likely result and the tails moving away from UConn -8.

You don’t know better than the market. If you did you’d be able to become quite wealthy with just that simple knowledge.

Monmouth is +345 on the money line. A pretty simple estimate of their chance to win is 100/(ml+100).

In this case thats 100/445=~22%.

To do it for a favorite it’s money line/money line + 100.

UConn is -410.

410/(410+100)=~80%.

You can drill down more precisely if you take the time to remove the vig but it doesn’t change the answers much.

Or just keep arrogantly posting dumb things. Your call.

 

[imno1]

Sheesh I just posted the lines for a point of reference of who’s favored in the game but now we are degenerate gamblers?

 

[August_West]

We aren’t worshipping at the altar of gambling.

It’s pretty simple: If the market spits out UConn -8 just picture a bell curve with UConn -8 the most likely result and the tails moving away from UConn -8.

You don’t know better than the market. If you did you’d be able to become quite wealthy with just that simple knowledge.

Monmouth is +345 on the money line. A pretty simple estimate of their chance to win is 100/(ml+100).

In this case thats 100/445=~22%.

To do it for a favorite it’s money line/money line + 100.

UConn is -410.

410/(410+100)=~80%.

You can drill down more precisely if you take the time to remove the vig but it doesn’t change the answers much.

Or just keep arrogantly posting dumb things. Your call.

Lol math geek alert.

You going today mr. spreadsheet statistician?

I’ll buy you a beer for that post.

 

[whaler11]

Lol math geek alert.

You going today mr. spreadsheet statistician?

I’ll buy you a beer for that post.

Wife is in India. I’ve got daughter. She HATES going. So I’m going to try and trick her by taking her bowling in Plainville and then just stopping in Hartford on way home.

I do have to monitor the ECU game for the good people at boneyardbanter too.

 

[8893]

Wife is in India. I’ve got daughter. She HATES going. So I’m going to try and trick her by taking her bowling in Plainville and then just stopping in Hartford on way home.

Leave her at the bowling alley--let's face it she'd prefer that--and I will take her seat at the XL.