Hey guys. Missouri fan here in peace. I definitely was shocked to see the line be as high as it was. Mizzou under Gary Pinkel is known as a "slow starting" team. Part of that is by design. He typically does not like to open up the playbook in non-conference games. Additionally, he never intentionally runs up the score in non-con. Once he has a lead he feels comfortable with, he generally stops airing it out. To add even more on top of that, Mizzou is really struggling on offense right now. Our top 4 running backs are all less than 100%, our WRs are having trouble catching the ball and our OL is having trouble blocking.
However, Mizzou's defense definitely looks salty again. Arkansas St had some success in the first half on Saturday. But once the coaches figured out what they were doing, it was game over. Mizzou only gave up 37 yards in the 2nd half. I fully expect this game to be a defensive struggle. You guys looked great against the triple option on Saturday (better than Mizzou looked in the Texas bowl against Navy in 2009). I think you will have some success against our offensive line and running game. And that will keep things fairly close throughout.
I do not think Mizzou is going to look past you guys, though. Pinkel was POd after the game on Saturday and made a point that it was going to be a tough week in practice. I think they come out focused and ready to play. In the end, I think our defense creates enough turnovers for Mizzou to eek out with a 14-17 point win.
I can't bet against my Tigers, but I would be all over taking the points otherwise. I will, however, be betting the under. Good luck to you guys after Saturday and safe travels to any Husky fans making the trip.