UConn +2 at KU

[dvegas]

This game as they said is all about fouls on Clingan. We have 10 fouls and in Kansas that may not be enough.

I just hope Hurley can keep his sh## together when Cling Kong get whistled for two BS fouls within the first 3 minutes tonight

 

[CardiacAndre7]

I just hope Hurley can keep his together when Cling Kong get whistled for two BS fouls within the first 3 minutes tonight

I don’t think Samson is a bad matchup tbh. He’s obviously got quickness and athleticism, but Dickinson is more crafty than bulldozing, just need Samson and DC to stay on their feet for fakes.

 

[Deepster]

I am 4-0 ATS on the season and this is an easy one to pass over. Except that’s not what you do when you have a set of testiculos like I do.

I don’t need the 2.5. Give me the Huskies moneyline.

Championship DNA. Exposure to environments like MSG already this season. And Newton will be a mismatch problem that leads us to the dub. Book it.

 

[HuskyHawk]

This smells like a defensive battle to me - My guess is option D.

Same. I think it’s going to be a tough defensive game. Obviously if somebody just goes off, on either team, that could change. But both teams have defensive counters to what the other team does well.

 

[UConnSwag11]

The line moved to Kansas -3

 

[HooperScooper]

I think it will be Donavon or Sampson who hit the big FTs. Maybe Can

What about Spenser? I know he Can.

 

[Dove]

If Tristen, Donovan, Alex and Slammy bring the wood tonight, Huskies win.

 

[Stinger92860]

Even if KU gets some calls the refs will be better than the usual BE suspects

Will the refs be from the big east or B12?

 

[Deepster]

If Tristen, Donovan, Alex and Slammy bring the wood tonight, Huskies win.

Way to play both sides of the fence. Go back to picking Duke for pizzas.

The Yard never forgets.

 

[CL82]

I am 4-0 ATS on the season and this is an easy one to pass over. Except that’s not what you do when you have a set of testiculos like I do.

I don’t need the 2.5. Give me the Huskies moneyline.

Championship DNA. Exposure to environments like MSG already this season. And Newton will be a mismatch problem that leads us to the dub. Book it.

But we're still doomed.

 

[millertime7774]

50% profit boost for $25 on DraftKings - Moneyline all day, all night. +213

 

[Tenspro2002]

50% profit boost for $25 on DraftKings - Moneyline all day, all night. +213

Only $10 max for me

 

[Hamms30]

Let Dickenson chase Samson up and down the court. Wear him down. Marquette's pace overwhelmed them last week. Let's get out and run.

 

[Umami Zen]

Get out to an early lead-Tough D/50-50 balls/Boards and take crowd out of it. Clingan/Samson combo gonna have Hunter's head spinning

 

[SamIamCassell]

Get out to an early lead-Tough D/50-50 balls/Boards and take crowd out of it. Clingan/Samson combo gonna have Hunter's head spinning

I think you are spot on here. Hunter won’t be able to keep up with the change of pace that clingan/Samson represent. Just need them to stay outta foul trouble.

 

[Dove]

Way to play both sides of the fence. Go back to picking Duke for pizzas.

The Yard never forgets.

I have no idea what this means.

 

[seeya27]

Keith Kimble, Ray Natili, James Breeding are officiating the game.

 

[bendm]

Will the refs be from the big east or B12?

Either big12 or neither conference

 

[HuskyFich]

Keith Kimble, Ray Natili, James Breeding are officiating the game.

Hammer the over and maybe a prop bet on tech fouls issued. This is going to get ugly.

 

[Deepster]

I have no idea what this means.

It means that in a wagering thread you didn’t really make a pick. You said they “could” win if a few players “bring the wood”. Is that your advice? You hedged it. Are they going to win outright, cover with the 2.5 or lose?

 

[uconngb]

I appreciate the offer, but no thank you.

Considering the real line on that is prolly +350 that’s pretty wise

 

[Tenspro2002]

Considering the real line on that is prolly +350 that’s pretty wise

lol UConn -5 is already +230 and that's as far as DK goes

 

[millertime7774]

lol UConn -5 is already +230 and that's as far as DK goes

Went searching for -10, blows that it's not an option.

 

[Tenspro2002]

The more I think about it, I don't know what to think regarding the total. I could see any of:

A) We get going early and hold on to win in a shootout (83-75 W, Over)
B) We struggle to shoot and get a horrible whistle at both ends all game, they win keeping us at arm's length (75-64 L, Under)
C) We fall behind early, frantically try to catch up but can't get enough stops, lots of fouling at the end in vain (85-78 L, Over)
D) Both teams struggle to shoot and the game remains tight throughout, pace slows way down (68-65 W or L, Under)

Note that Kansas has played 3 neutral-site games against top 10 teams and: 1) completed a huge comeback to beat Kentucky in a shootout that could have gone the other way, 2) lost badly to Marquette where they couldn't score, 3) beat Tennessee in a low-scoring game. So they can win or lose in high-scoring or low-scoring games.

I think I slightly prefer taking us and the points at +2.5 or so, where we cover in a 1-possession game either way. I wouldn't be able to stomach picking KU -2.5 and then having us lose by a bucket.

That said, if teased lines are available, I would think about picking UConn -6.5 or so (probably in the +200 or +300 range, just guessing since I don't have a great feel for this). If we are going to win, it's more likely to be by a margin based on them having to foul us at the end than eking one out at the buzzer.

Good luck picking this one.

Well, it started as C but then ended up as D, with some B elements mixed in.

 

[Deleted at users request]

Cashed the under on a DK boost.