UConn (-12.5) | Page 2 | The Boneyard
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UConn (-12.5)

Hromp said:
Miller knows Hurley very well and hangover from Tuesday night. 2 point game.
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I could see a hangover game against a 300 level cupcake, but not Texas. I feel like this could be an early season high point for this team.
 
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RuffRuff said:
We’ve become a team that grinds down an opponent like death from a 1000 paper cuts. This is not high octane, it’s a precision based team this year. We defend well but don’t turn over and don’t push, at all. Think about how few breaks we’ve run this year.
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That is true to this point. But we haven't had Solo and Mullins together much. Same with Reibe and Reed. Megatron is close to being fully formed.
 
Mr. French said:
Was just gonna say FD has it up to 15.5, I don’t like betting against the boys so I’ll prob do an alt line within a parlay, 15.5 on the road seems dangerous.
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My apologies we’re at home this game. 15.5 still seems high.
 
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Not gonna lie, I put a little on Texas +14.5.

I think we win comfortably, but even a game like that is more likely to end up in the 9-12 point margin range than 15+.
 
I just hope there isn’t a hangover from getting home early Wednesday morning. I think B Mullins has a big game tonight.
 
Mr. French said:
Was just gonna say FD has it up to 15.5, I don’t like betting against the boys so I’ll prob do an alt line within a parlay, 15.5 on the road seems dangerous.
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They’re playing in Hartford.
 
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Tenspro2002 said:
Not gonna lie, I put a little on Texas +14.5.
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So what do you do if UConn is up 16 at the 4 minute mark. Start rooting for your team to miss and throw the ball away?
 
Back down to -13.5. So it started at -12.5, then went all the way up to -16.5, and then back down to -13.5 now. I'm not a gambler but do lines usually move this much?
 
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Waquoit said:
So what do you do if UConn is up 16 at the 4 minute mark. Start rooting for your team to miss and throw the ball away?
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The only UConn game I ever bet on was vs BCU in 1997. I took BCU getting 9 points. Up 8 with about 20 seconds to go Ricky Moore goes to the line and I am rooting for him to miss. I still haven’t forgiven myself and never bet again
 
Leebo said:
Kinda crazy how much it moved
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George Costanza Flirt GIF
 
Waquoit said:
So what do you do if UConn is up 16 at the 4 minute mark. Start rooting for your team to miss and throw the ball away?
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At that kind of margin and time left, with no chance of actually losing the game, you bet.
 
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HooperScooper said:
Back down to -13.5. So it started at -12.5, then went all the way up to -16.5, and then back down to -13.5 now. I'm not a gambler but do lines usually move this much?
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Sometimes. There's usually a lot of movement when lines first come out, and then a good amount in the late afternoon before a game. If you think the line will move higher and you like the favorite, you have to bet at open, which then pushes the line higher in a self fulfilling prophecy. When the line begins to move, anyone who wants the other side will wait until it stops moving to get the best possible line in the other direction. And then once it starts moving back, the people on the underdog side need to rush to get in before the number gets worse, once again becoming a self fulfilling prophecy of pressure downwards. And at some point, if there was enough movement, some people that got early lines on the first side may try to middle/gain arbitrage by betting the other side also, locking in a no-lose other than vig with upside to win both.
 
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