UConn - 1.5 v. Nova | The Boneyard

UConn - 1.5 v. Nova

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Interesting to see where this moves, I would guess closer to a pick, but that could be my serious nerves on this one.
 
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And Seton Hall lost by almost 10 to Rutgers at home.
I may have some PTSD from watching Nova lose my parlay earlier in the season to Penn. I already put this line on an NFL parlay. May mess around and play it up to 10 points with Clingan back.
 
I can't see kenpom but torvik has -1.5

Surprising to see it rise that much.
 
Screenshot 2024-01-20 at 7.28.16 AM.jpeg
 
They’ve been tough at home. It’s very hard to win on the road. Let’s get it done.
 
Clearly the oddsmakers are seeing our Creighton performance as a "one off." It might be, but it also might be a true indication of what we can do at full strength -- or when close to it. We'll know more at 10 PM tonight. The game is mainly interesting for that reason -- it has the chance to reveal us as the unstoppable wagon we suspect we might be. Or we come down to earth a bit. If we're truly only 1.5 better than Villanova on a court where we beat them by 12 last year, then the road to a 6th natty becomes a bit rockier.
 
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Clearly the oddsmakers are seeing our Creighton performance as a "one off." It might be, but it also might be a true indication of what we can do at full strength -- or when close to it. We'll know more at 10 PM tonight. The game is mainly interesting for that reason -- it has the chance to reveal us as the unstoppable wagon we suspect we might be. Or we come down to earth a bit. If we're truly only 1.5 better than Villanova on a court where we beat them by 12 last year, then the road to a 6th natty becomes a bit rockier.

Nova is better than last year, plus we're not going to look great every night.
 
Can’t believe it opened that low. Almost as if the oddsmakers still thought clingan was out. Now it’s up to -4. Makes more sense
 
Clearly the oddsmakers are seeing our Creighton performance as a "one off." It might be, but it also might be a true indication of what we can do at full strength -- or when close to it. We'll know more at 10 PM tonight. The game is mainly interesting for that reason -- it has the chance to reveal us as the unstoppable wagon we suspect we might be. Or we come down to earth a bit. If we're truly only 1.5 better than Villanova on a court where we beat them by 12 last year, then the road to a 6th natty becomes a bit rockier.
They're not seeing it as a one off, they're seeing Creighton as a home game and Villanova as a road game. It's really hard to beat good teams on the road in conference play
 
Can’t believe it opened that low. Almost as if the oddsmakers still thought clingan was out. Now it’s up to -4. Makes more sense
I know in fb home field is 3 pts….is there a similar metric for bball?
 
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-2 on the road says we are -5 on a neutral court (all things being equal). Good news is that we have played pretty well on the road minus the first ten minutes at Kansas.

I kind of throw out @ Seton Hall as Clingan was injured and lost during the game. That is worse than not having him at all. It's a monkey wrench in the gears.

I think it will come down to Clingan and Samson versus Dixon. If then can make him work his butt off and limit his effectiveness,that will go a long away toward a god result.
 
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So much hand wringing and what ifs from this crowd.

You’d never know we were the #1 team in the country and just dismantled Creighton a few days ago.

Ride the wave until it bucks you off.
 
Staying clear of this one. Students are back on campus and the crowd will be LOUD against the #1 team (and rival) in the country. Villanova knows their season is on the line as well. I'd be impressed with a UConn victory tonight.
 
This line is more akin to last year's juggernaut team. Sanogo, Jackson and Hawkins aren't eligible. Stay away.
 
Back to the Nova moneyline and 2nd bet UConn -10 strategy for tonight.
 
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