The Official Bracketology Thread | Page 5 | The Boneyard

The Official Bracketology Thread

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Creme is playing games with the regions and seeding.
 
I've always felt that the committee has to demonstrate to the country a
(seeming) independence from Storrs.

This might involve (this year)...
1. A lower ranking than Olde Dude suggests.
2. Sending us out of Bridgeport (which is essentially a home game (s) for
Southern Ct Fans).

Even if it means a financial hit to the NCAA coffers.

I certainly wouldn't be surprised if that transpires.
 
Surprised that no one has stepped up to provide bracketing similar to Creme. This would be a relatively straightforward way for a past player that wants to get into sports journalism or broadcasting to make a name for themself.
 
Deb Antonelli is probably calling anyone she knows to tell her S Curve rant. She doesn't want to see her Alma Mata NC State in the Bridgeport Region with UCONN. lol
 
I agree that Creme is just trying to stir the pot, but moving UConn out of the Bridgeport regional sort of makes sense, given his current seeds. The problem lies with the Big 12. Creme projects them with three 2-seeds (Baylor, Iowa State, and Texas) and one 3-seed (Oklahoma). Well, Oklahoma can't be sent to the regional that the other three Big 12 teams are in because they try to prevent those intraconference matchups from happening that early in the tournament. So the only choice is to send Oklahoma to Bridgeport (which is geographically far from the Big 12 2-seeds) and to send UConn as the 3-seed to one of the regionals with the Big 12 2-seeds.

In reality, I don't think the Big 12 ends up with four teams in the 12, so it's all a moot point.

HopJim said:
Surprised that no one has stepped up to provide bracketing similar to Creme. This would be a relatively straightforward way for a past player that wants to get into sports journalism or broadcasting to make a name for themself.
Expand ...
Autumn Johnson of ncaa.com does a bracketology but it's not updated as much. 2022 NCAA women's basketball tournament bracket predictions, less than a month away from selections
 
HopJim said:
Surprised that no one has stepped up to provide bracketing similar to Creme. This would be a relatively straightforward way for a past player that wants to get into sports journalism or broadcasting to make a name for themself.
Expand ...
Someone has. The fact that you're not even aware of him is a case in point.
 
oldude said:
I understand that the Big Dance doesn’t usually follow a true S-curve. It’s more of a guiding principle. But it’s my understanding that in order for UConn to truly assure themselves a spot in the Bridgeport Region, the Huskies need to be a #1 or #2 seed. If UConn takes care of business this weekend and next, that should happen.
Expand ...
S-Curve my .

The committee follows the P-5 champs curve in choosing the top 8 seeds

Champs of the 5 conferences.
One non p-5 champ (always UConn) ,
Two P-5 runners up.

So far its:
South Carolina, Stanford, NC State, Louisville

UConn to whatever regional makes sense (Bridgeport)
Big 10 #1
Big 12 #1
A P-5 Number 2
A p-5 Number 2
 
HuskyNan said:
UConn is hurt by having the #16 strength of schedule and its best win remains Tennessee, no matter how many Big East teams they beat up

Massey Ratings - College Basketball Women's : NCAA D1 Ratings

Computer ratings and rankings for CBW (College Basketball Women's), with links to team predictions, scores, and schedules.
masseyratings.com masseyratings.com
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You may be right but, according to Massey, only SC, NCState and Stanford have better current SOSs among the top 8 schools.

So who knows? I can only agree with Azzi that we will be “nasty” cone tournament time.
 
HuskyNan said:
UConn is hurt by having the #16 strength of schedule and its best win remains Tennessee, no matter how many Big East teams they beat up

Massey Ratings - College Basketball Women's : NCAA D1 Ratings

Computer ratings and rankings for CBW (College Basketball Women's), with links to team predictions, scores, and schedules.
masseyratings.com masseyratings.com
Expand ...
All that said and more, will the Committee really want the now healthy UConn meet South Carolina (or Stanford for that matter) in a regional final instead of the FF?
 
Plebe said:
The NET also has North Carolina at #6 and BYU at #8. Does that mean they should be 2 seeds?

Folks ought to quit obsessing over the NET ranking because it doesn't determine seedings.
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Notice the question mark? The selection committee has moved as a source from the RPI to the NET, one source.

www.ncaa.com

Frequently asked questions about the DI women's basketball NET

Here's the information for all DI women's basketball NET questions, including what the NET measures.
www.ncaa.com www.ncaa.com
 
Last edited:
FanFromMaine said:
You may be right but, according to Massey, only SC, NCState and Stanford have better current SOSs among the top 8 schools.

So who knows? I can only agree with Azzi that we will be “nasty” cone tournament time.
Expand ...
UConn SOS is 16...
Louisville, a projected #1 seed has SOS of 28

Based on Massey Ratings today.
 
PAHuskeyFan said:
AND... can't believe the Committee wants to see a So Carolina vs UCONN match up in the Regionals... but rather at the Final 4...assuming of course that they both get there.
Expand ...
I would think that the committee has learned its lesson last year when they put UConn and Baylor in the same region. Even though UConn does not have the body of work of some of the teams, they should be looking at the reasons for some of our mediocre performances, meaning they should treat us the way we are now, not what we were. I believe SC would agree with that.
 
Nick Pignatello said:
... The selection committee has moved as a source from the RPI to the NET, one source.
Expand ...
All the more reason UConn will end up as a #2 seed. They moved up to 5th in NET thru last night's games:

www.ncaa.com

DI Women's Basketball Rankings - NCAA Women's Basketball NET Rankings | NCAA.com

Get NCAA women's college basketball rankings from the Associated Press, USA Today/WBCA and NCAA committee.
www.ncaa.com www.ncaa.com

P.S.-- I'm sympathetic to Villanova. They lost to Tournament darlings Princeton & Maryland out of the gate & had Maddie Siegrist, one of the Top 25 players in the country IMO, injured for the first part of their season. They beat UConn on the road, snapping our insane conference winning streak, swept Marquette, & split with projected Tournament entry Creighton & bubble team Depaul. Their NCAA bracket omission would be a tough pillow to swallow.
 
PAHuskeyFan said:
UConn SOS is 16...
Louisville, a projected #1 seed has SOS of 28

Based on Massey Ratings today.
Expand ...
Let me rephrase:

Massey ranking
…………Wins…Losses
Top 10…...0……..2
11-25…….2….….1
26-50…….7……..1
51-75…….2……..1
76-100…..3
100+……..6

Two games are left, #115 St. John’s and #146 Providence. UConn does not have a good win/loss record against the better teams and the loss to Villanova hurts

There are a lot of reasons why the team lost some games, and many problems have been fixed or covered up, but there is no way to go back in time and buff up the resume. Still, some unlucky #1 and probably #2 is going to be unhappy to see UConn in their bracket
 
This is from the NCAA site:

Want a slightly deeper dive into how exactly the S-curve works — and looks for the bracket? Here's an example using regions (called Region A, B, C, D for this purpose only):

  • Region A
    • No. 1 overall seed (on the 1-seed line)
    • No. 8 overall seed (on the 2-seed line)
    • No. 9 overall seed (on the 3-seed line)
    • No. 16 overall seed (on the 4-seed line)
  • Region B
    • No. 2 overall seed (on the 1-seed line)
    • No. 7 overall seed (on the 2-seed line)
    • No. 10 overall seed (on the 3-seed line)
    • No. 15 overall seed (on the 4-seed line)
  • Region C
    • No. 3 overall seed (on the 1-seed line)
    • No. 6 overall seed (on the 2-seed line)
    • No. 11 overall seed (on the 3-seed line)
    • No. 14 overall seed (on the 4-seed line)
  • Region D
    • No. 4 overall seed (on the 1-seed line)
    • No. 5 overall seed (on the 2-seed line)
    • No. 12 overall seed (on the 3-seed line)
    • No. 13 overall seed (on the 4-seed line)

It's unclear if this takes geography into consideration
 
From the NCAA

Criteria used by the Division I Women’s Basketball Committee to evaluate a team includes (ALPHABETICALLY):

  • Availability of talent (injured or unavailable players)
  • Bad losses
  • Common opponents
  • Competitive in losses
  • Conference record
  • Early competition versus late competition
  • Head-to-head outcomes
  • NET ranking
  • Non-conference record
  • Overall record
  • Regional Advisory Committee region rankings
  • Significant wins
  • Strength of conference
  • Strength of schedule
 
HopJim said:
Surprised that no one has stepped up to provide bracketing similar to Creme. This would be a relatively straightforward way for a past player that wants to get into sports journalism or broadcasting to make a name for themself.
Expand ...
There have been others but they're generally bad, and more significantly, they're by websites that get little traffic. You would need to be in the long game. To want to build up an audience over a long period of time. ESPN is the place for WCBB because it has most of the games (so built in advertising for Creme) and it has the rights to the tourney.

And filling out a full 64 bracket is not that easy. To understand all the bracketing rules, study past brackets, know all the current teams quality, and fill in everything in logically/correctly takes some work.
 
Vowelguy said:
There have been others but they're generally bad, and more significantly, they're by websites that get little traffic. You would need to be in the long game. To want to build up an audience over a long period of time. ESPN is the place for WCBB because it has most of the games (so built in advertising for Creme) and it has the rights to the tourney.

And filling out a full 64 bracket is not that easy. To understand all the bracketing rules, study past brackets, know all the current teams quality, and fill in everything in logically/correctly takes some work.
Expand ...
You have 68 teams starting this year in the Women's Tournament.
 
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