The Athletic - College Football Playoff 2025 projections | The Boneyard

The Athletic - College Football Playoff 2025 projections

BRS24

BRS24

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Here's a look at the top 12 according to The Athletic, along with the 5 bubble teams, from preseason to week 2. Green/red = up/down, and blue = new to the list.

1757268778274.jpeg
 
If we run the table, hope for 3+ loss chaos everywhere else, we still have a shot!
 
Man, the overreaction to USF's big win on this board has been something. How where you guys acting when Northern Illinois beat #2 Notre Dame last year. Y'all were probably predicting Northern Illinois to the Big 10.
 
Zerostatic said:
Man, the overreaction to USF's big win on this board has been something. How where you guys acting when Northern Illinois beat #2 Notre Dame last year. Y'all were probably predicting Northern Illinois to the Big 10.
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Nope, just happy ND lost.
 
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BRS24 said:
Here's a look at the top 12 according to The Athletic, along with the 5 bubble teams, from preseason to week 2. Green/red = up/down, and blue = new to the list.

View attachment 111500
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Best on my extensive analysis we seem to be missing. I'll check again after week 3.

Btw, USF doesnt even make the bubble list...wow.
 
Updated after yesterday's games - The Athletic, Green/red = up/down, and blue = new/back on the list.

Bye Clemson, Louisville, and Tennessee.

1757849298599.jpeg
 
Updated after yesterday's games - The Athletic, Green/red = up/down, and blue = new/back on the list.

See ya Auburn, Utah, Iowa State.

1758472563423.jpeg
 
BRS24 said:
Updated after yesterday's games - The Athletic, Green/red = up/down, and blue = new/back on the list.

See ya Auburn, Utah, Iowa State.

View attachment 111796
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I'm surprised to see Tulane is still the projected AAC champ and winner of the G5 bid. Thought Memphis would've jumped them after beating Arkansas and Tulane getting stomped by Ole Miss. I guess they expect Memphis to lose to Tulane? Or lose multiple games in the AAC so as to not qualify for the championship game? They do have a pretty loaded conference schedule playing Tulane, Navy and USF this year.
 
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Today's update. Green/red = up/down, and blue = new/back on the list. A whole lotta shakin' going on.

Welcome Navy (hub is pretty psyched after yesterday's game!!!!) and USC. Adieu to Missouri & Michigan.

1760272854474.jpeg
 
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If these are projections, which they seem to be, what exactly did Mizzou do to fall out? They lost by 3 to Bama, which is better than most expected. And if you were expecting them to win, then why was Bama ranked 9th last week?
 
Vowelguy said:
If these are projections, which they seem to be, what exactly did Mizzou do to fall out? They lost by 3 to Bama, which is better than most expected. And if you were expecting them to win, then why was Bama ranked 9th last week?
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In fairness, they were listed twice as a bubble team last week. So, this weeks slight means, on avg, they’re a bubble team.
 
Indiana broke through the bubble in week 5 and is a top 4 contender week 7. Is that justified? Maybe.

Beat ODU, Kennesaw State, Indiana State
Beat Illinois, Iowa, Oregon. Of course the Oregon win was huge and the rest of the schedule is pretty soft for a Big Ten schedule. Indiana could very well run the table if it is that good
Michelle State, UCLA, MD, PSU, Wisc, Purdue
 
gioff2323 said:
In fairness, they were listed twice as a bubble team last week. So, this weeks slight means, on avg, they’re a bubble team.
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Yeah, that was my bad. Not sure who it should have been, as when I went back to the history, the website said something different so who knows.
 
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ShakyTheMohel said:
I don’t think anyone will call you crazy….I think they currently have the some of the better odds of any G5 to make the playoffs.
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Yep, at this point it’ll be either Memphis or USF. Outside chance of Tulane if the other two fall apart
 
Kolumbo said:
Indiana broke through the bubble in week 5 and is a top 4 contender week 7. Is that justified? Maybe.

Beat ODU, Kennesaw State, Indiana State
Beat Illinois, Iowa, Oregon. Of course the Oregon win was huge and the rest of the schedule is pretty soft for a Big Ten schedule. Indiana could very well run the table if it is that good
Michelle State, UCLA, MD, PSU, Wisc, Purdue
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So three of their wins are true FCS Indiana St; slightly FBS Old Dominion and even more slightly FBS Kennesaw St?

I'm a bit less impressed with them than I was before seeing your post.

Yes, the Oregon win holds value but they had better not hit any bumps in the road.

I'm also beginning to think they may have been a bit hasty with Cignetti's new contract
 
FfldCntyFan said:
So three of their wins are true FCS Indiana St; slightly FBS Old Dominion and even more slightly FBS Kennesaw St?

I'm a bit less impressed with them than I was before seeing your post.

Yes, the Oregon win holds value but they had better not hit any bumps in the road.

I'm also beginning to think they may have been a bit hasty with Cignetti's new contract
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They beat ODU week one, week 2 was Kennesaw St 56-9, week 3 was Indiana St 73-0... They didn't just beat the FCS and newest FBS teams, they beat them like a top team is supposed to beat them, which is to say they destroyed them.

Wouldn't be surprised if IU wins out. Their first real challenge should be the B1G championship.
 
CCSUblue said:
Wouldn't be surprised if IU wins out. Their first real challenge should be the B1G championship.
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UCLA is 2-0 with the new coaches and unknown how good they are. Also PennSt s last chance to have anything good happen this year would be a win at home next month. Still a lot of talent on that roster.

Indi will prob be double digit favorites in both but those are the ones to watch.
 
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