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Lunardi has us as a five in the east as of today, with a potential path to Dallas going through Harvard, North Carolina, Villanova, and Michigan. Anyway, this close to Selection Sunday, I tend to root against teams that are in our vicinity on the s-curve. As of today, that list includes (from highest to lowest):
Iowa State - against Kansas tonight, unlikely a loss will drop them behind us unless we beat Cincy and Louisville, and even then it's iffy
San Diego State - they play Roscoe's UNLV team tonight, but I think they probably stay ahead of us regardless.
North Carolina - they'll play Pitt on ESPN in about a half hour. They're very close to UConn resume wise, so I'll have to bite the bullet and root for Pitt here.
Cincinnati - if we beat them tonight to win the season series, there is a legitimate case to be made for us to pass them.
Michigan State - against Northwestern later tonight, if they lose that game no doubt we pass them regardless of what UConn does.
Oklahoma - Lost to Baylor last night, I think there is a good chance we pass them even if we lose tonight.
Ohio State - they play Nebraska starting in a few minutes, their resume is pretty similar to ours but if we both lose or both win I think we get a slight edge based on Cincy being better than Nebraska.
Texas - They have a very strong resume, but their RPI is only 33. They play Baylor tonight.
UCLA - Against Stanford tonight, very similar profile to us.
VCU - Very strong resume, but only four top 50 wins. They play Richmond tonight.
Saint Louis - Just recently lost to Saint Bonaventure, so no chance they pass us.
Kentucky - only if they win their conference tournament, and even then probably not depending on what we do.
I agree with the poster yesterday who said match-ups are more important than seeding, but I would love to get a four or five seed in the east, especially if a team like Villanova is the one.
Iowa State - against Kansas tonight, unlikely a loss will drop them behind us unless we beat Cincy and Louisville, and even then it's iffy
San Diego State - they play Roscoe's UNLV team tonight, but I think they probably stay ahead of us regardless.
North Carolina - they'll play Pitt on ESPN in about a half hour. They're very close to UConn resume wise, so I'll have to bite the bullet and root for Pitt here.
Cincinnati - if we beat them tonight to win the season series, there is a legitimate case to be made for us to pass them.
Michigan State - against Northwestern later tonight, if they lose that game no doubt we pass them regardless of what UConn does.
Oklahoma - Lost to Baylor last night, I think there is a good chance we pass them even if we lose tonight.
Ohio State - they play Nebraska starting in a few minutes, their resume is pretty similar to ours but if we both lose or both win I think we get a slight edge based on Cincy being better than Nebraska.
Texas - They have a very strong resume, but their RPI is only 33. They play Baylor tonight.
UCLA - Against Stanford tonight, very similar profile to us.
VCU - Very strong resume, but only four top 50 wins. They play Richmond tonight.
Saint Louis - Just recently lost to Saint Bonaventure, so no chance they pass us.
Kentucky - only if they win their conference tournament, and even then probably not depending on what we do.
I agree with the poster yesterday who said match-ups are more important than seeding, but I would love to get a four or five seed in the east, especially if a team like Villanova is the one.