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Pure projection on your part. If he gets the double-double I would be surprised. Let's plan on discussing this 1 year from now and see what the facts show. Whats close? The 2012 Alex was 7 and 5, is that close? I would expect a bump up if he plays in the A10, MAC or CUSA. At Hostra with 30+ minutes yea, he gets 'close' to 10 and 10 or better. Does that get him into the NBA or Hofstra in the Final Four? Should he go B12, ACC, etc. I just don't see 10/10+. WTF do I know, I am not a D1 coach,
Of course it's projection, I'm not sure what else I could do. Random guessing? I didn't say 10/10+, I said close to a double-double, whether someone thinks that means 7 or 8 or 9 rebounds is a matter of opinion. In any case, sure, I'm extrapolating, but it's not like these coaches have some other fancy methods of deciding they want a player beside looking at historical numbers, and how they fit into their system, what lineups they'll be inserted in, other conference foes at that position, etc.
Notice I also said 35+ minutes, the 7/5 you're talking about is in 21.5 minutes of play. Taking his collegiate career stats totaled, you can project 9.9/ 9.35 per 35 minutes. That's pretty darn close, and if you wanna say he regressed last year, fine, but he'll still be close if you give him those minutes I'd wager.