JoePgh
Cranky pants and wise acre
- Joined
- Aug 30, 2011
- Messages
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Why should anyone be surprised when the Law of Averages works as advertised? If the team is going to have some games like Iowa State and South Carolina when they seemingly can't miss from the 3-point line, then to average out to 40% or anything similar, they have to have other games where they are 2-for-19. The same thing applies to batting averages in baseball, and to rainfall totals in the world of weather.
If you pay attention to the Celtics, who rely on 3-point shooting even more than Geno's team, you will see that they have games where they shoot 10% or so from 3. When they do, they often lose (but they still win over 70% of their games).
If UConn shoots 10% from 3 in an NCAA tournament game, they might lose for just that reason. That applies to any other team in the tournament as well, especially this year when there are no teams whose trademark is dominating the paint. Geno and the rest of the team have to concentrate on what they can control, which is taking good, open 3-point shots, and must expect that to produce results that are somewhere near their long-term average.
If you pay attention to the Celtics, who rely on 3-point shooting even more than Geno's team, you will see that they have games where they shoot 10% or so from 3. When they do, they often lose (but they still win over 70% of their games).
If UConn shoots 10% from 3 in an NCAA tournament game, they might lose for just that reason. That applies to any other team in the tournament as well, especially this year when there are no teams whose trademark is dominating the paint. Geno and the rest of the team have to concentrate on what they can control, which is taking good, open 3-point shots, and must expect that to produce results that are somewhere near their long-term average.
