Race for 1 Seed (2/5) | Page 29 | The Boneyard

Race for 1 Seed (2/5)

bendm said:
The freaking BIG man. I was worried about the MSU L because now Purdue has an easy opp for another win. I can’t believe Purdue jumped up a whole seed line by beating Nebraska who was also a 3. We needed MSU as the sole 2 seeded BIG team.
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Can’t wait to see the B1G have five teams on the 1-3 seed line. Followed by only 2 of them in the S16 and none in the FF. Like clockwork.
 
I can't wait until we reach the point where the brackets are announced and everyone here will realize that the only thing that really matters is how well we play in these games.

If we play well enough, we will win it all. If we don't, we'll get picked off by a lesser team. It won't matter what seed number they gave us or which region they put us in.
 
bendm said:
The freaking BIG man. I was worried about the MSU L because now Purdue has an easy opp for another win. I can’t believe Purdue jumped up a whole seed line by beating Nebraska who was also a 3. We needed MSU as the sole 2 seeded BIG team.
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I have seen a lot of other people keep them on the 3 line, since they lost to Michigan St and Iowa St during the year, and have more overall loses.
 
BFieldHusky said:
I have seen a lot of other people keep them on the 3 line, since they lost to Michigan St and Iowa St during the year, and have more overall loses.
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Yeah Lunardi just updated his bracket. Has ISU as a 2 over Purdue/Illinois/Nebraska (all 3s) which is how we need it to stay. But he has ISU in the East and UConn in the Midwest due to the 1v5 prohibition (no other explanation). need Duke to lose or Houston to beat Zona and hopefully jump us on the s-curve.
 
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bendm said:
Yeah Lunardi just updated his bracket. Has ISU as a 2 over Purdue/Illinois/Nebraska (all 3s) which is how we need it to stay. But he has ISU in the East and UConn in the Midwest due to the 1v5 prohibition. need Duke to lose or Houston to beat Zona and hopefully jump us on the s-curve
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It really might come down to where Houston and UConn are on the s-curve. If both teams win tonight, Houston might have a slight edge. They might already have a slight edge as their better ranked in KenPom, the NET, and I believe have a slight edge in WAB.

If Houston is the best 2 seed, they get placed in Houston. Put us in the East with Duke, Iowa State in the Midwest with Michigan. Everyone wins lol.
 
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BFieldHusky said:
It really might come down to where Houston and UConn are on the s-curve. If both teams win tonight, Houston might have a slight edge. They might already have a slight edge as their better ranked in KenPom, the NET, and I believe have a slight edge in WAB.

If Houston is the best 2 seed, they get placed in Houston. Put us in the East with Duke, Iowa State in the Midwest with Michigan. Everyone wins lol.
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Everything is poised to fall into place. Now watch Purdue beat ucla and UM to win the BIG and bump ISU off the 2 line forcing us to the Midwest anyways lol
 
businesslawyer said:
When I woke up Friday morning we were 4th in WAB, marginally ahead of both Florida and Houston. With wins against better competition than Georgetown, they both passed us yesterday.
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We're now tied with Houston for 4th at 9.03. Florida is behind us at 6th with 8.69. If the Huskies can beat St. John's that adds 0.71 for 9.74. If Houston beats Arizona they can add 0.88. If Florida beats Vanderbilt they can add 0.73 but they'd still have 1 more good game on Sunday to add points.

At this point those 3 teams are so close in WAB that other factors will probably determine their placement on the board.

 
BFieldHusky said:
It really might come down to where Houston and UConn are on the s-curve. If both teams win tonight, Houston might have a slight edge. They might already have a slight edge as their better ranked in KenPom, the NET, and I believe have a slight edge in WAB.

If Houston is the best 2 seed, they get placed in Houston. Put us in the East with Duke, Iowa State in the Midwest with Michigan. Everyone wins lol.
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If Houston beats AZ today, that does make a slight case for Houston as the 4th #1 seed and in the South makes the S16/E8 site of Houston palatable. Not saying it will happen, but the NCAA selection committee absolutely can move teams up and down to fit smoothing of say SEC teams not playing each other in the first 2 rounds or to solve the Houston "home" S16/E8 issue if they are a 2 and the 1 seed is far from there.

The rule they can use is:

  • Additionally, when placing teams into the bracket, the committee may move a team up or down one seed line — and in rare cases, two seed lines — from its true seed to ensure all bracketing principles are properly met.
www.ncaa.com

How the field of 68 DI men’s teams is picked for March Madness

The NCAA’s guide to how the 68 teams are chosen, seeded and bracketed for the Division I men's basketball tournament every season.
www.ncaa.com www.ncaa.com

A lot to unpack but ultimately a lot of flexibility and some hard rules.
 
Hypo: if Duke loses to UVA, Zona loses to Houston, and UM loses to either Whiskey or Purdue, then who gets #1 overall? Still Duke?
 
If Florida loses today and we wipe the floor with St. John’s, I’m not sure how you could put FL ahead of us. I think that would result in a 1 seed for UConn. We beat them head-to-head. Yes, we have2 not so great losses, but a handful of better wins than FL has
 
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Lafayette said:
If Houston beats AZ today, that does make a slight case for Houston as the 4th #1 seed and in the South makes the S16/E8 site of Houston palatable. Not saying it will happen, but the NCAA selection committee absolutely can move teams up and down to fit smoothing of say SEC teams not playing each other in the first 2 rounds or to solve the Houston "home" S16/E8 issue if they are a 2 and the 1 seed is far from there.

The rule they can use is:

  • Additionally, when placing teams into the bracket, the committee may move a team up or down one seed line — and in rare cases, two seed lines — from its true seed to ensure all bracketing principles are properly met.
www.ncaa.com

How the field of 68 DI men’s teams is picked for March Madness

The NCAA’s guide to how the 68 teams are chosen, seeded and bracketed for the Division I men's basketball tournament every season.
www.ncaa.com www.ncaa.com

A lot to unpack but ultimately a lot of flexibility and some hard rules.
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And the rest of that section reads:
  • Teams should remain as close to their home region as possible, based on mileage.
  • A team cannot play at a venue where it has played more than three games that season (excluding exhibitions and conference tournaments).
  • Host institutions cannot play at the site they are hosting, though they may play on the same days.
These provisions all allow for Houston to be placed as the 2 in the South. For the committee to rely on the provision you cited they would have to determine a specific bracketing provision is not being “properly met.” So which provision is not being properly met by putting Houston in the South?
 
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IndyLives said:
Florida losing now in the Semis. With a UCONN win tonight we claim a 1-seed.
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This game explosing Florida's weakness - guard play. Vandy guards picking the bigs, scoring off it, shooting lights out. Not sure it will last, but a very healthy 13 pt lead at the half. 20-4 advantage off turnovers.
 
Agree. Xavian Lee is not that good. You can attack him on offense, and he still can't shoot. Florida has such formidable front line, but their backcourt is a liability and may be their undoing in the tournament.
 
sdglast said:
Agree. Xavian Lee is not that good. You can attack him on offense, and he still can't shoot. Florida has such formidable front line, but their backcourt is a liability and may be their undoing in the tournament.
Screenshot 2026-03-14 at 2.08.46 PM.png
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Not sure they're liabilities, but they def aren't top flight. Not sure how indicative these metrics are, but those are way better numbers than our guard other than Silas, especially on defense.
 
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RuffRuff said:
Not sure they're liabilities, but they def aren't top flight. Not sure how indicative these metrics are, but those are way better numbers than our guard other than Silas, especially on defense.
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Xaivian Lee is really not that good. Eye test tells you that. He gets overmatched by bigger guards who are physical due to his slight build. I don't think their bench is really any good. That team is Haugh and throw it up on the backboard and go get it. Don't get me wrong, they are good, but they have a noticeable deficiency in the backcourt.
 
Johnson on UM is listed same height as Lux at 6'9" but looks significantly bigger.

With UF - given they aren't going to killshot back with threes, just can't let them blitz you on the offensive glass.

Pace on this one is feverish. They may not place as much defense in the SEC, but it is fun to watch.
 
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sdglast said:
Xavian Lee is really not that good. Eye test tells you that. He gets overmatched by bigger guards.
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Their three guards last year looked like they could have been on a football team - this year's guards need creatine.
 
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bendm said:
And the rest of that section reads:
  • Teams should remain as close to their home region as possible, based on mileage.
  • A team cannot play at a venue where it has played more than three games that season (excluding exhibitions and conference tournaments).
  • Host institutions cannot play at the site they are hosting, though they may play on the same days.
These provisions all allow for Houston to be placed as the 2 in the South. For the committee to rely on the provision you cited they would have to determine a specific bracketing provision is not being “properly met.” So which provision is not being properly met by putting Houston in the South?
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This year, with Houston not playing at Toyota, they made it so they 'could' play the regional there.

It would be unprecedented to put Houston in the South Region (if not a 1 seed) over a team like UConn or Iowa State, etc. The closest ever I think was 2003 with Kansas playing in Oklahoma City, but that isn't 3 miles from campus, just a strong Kansas backed city. So while possible imagine the you know what storm they would face for doing that.
 
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