Questions for Stat Geeks

Discussion in 'Pro Sports (baseball, etc)' started by Waquoit, Aug 23, 2016.

  1. Waquoit

    Waquoit

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    How the hell can Texas be 21 games over .500 yet only have a run differential of +1? What does that say about their postseason chances? Is it fair to call them lucky?
     
  2. mauconnfan

    mauconnfan

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    It tells me if you're playing them be sure it's not a 1 run game. :eek:
     
  3. Deadrody

    Deadrody

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    Without a doubt. Their pythagorean predicted record would be just 63-62. They're 27-5 in one run games, which is almost pure luck. Elias did a study a while back that said there isn't much to explain your record in 1 run games and you're just as likely to go up as down from one year to the next.

    Plus, they've gotten blown out by 5 or more runs a dozen times. Injuries have been a factor and they have a handful of pitchers that have fallen on their sword in relief and been horrid.
     
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