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Pairwise

UConn up to 7th, which is not good news.

That would likely send them to Toledo against 3-seed OhioSt and 1-seed MichSt ... basically two road games.
 
Vowelguy said:
UConn up to 7th, which is not good news.

That would likely send them to Toledo against 3-seed OhioSt and 1-seed MichSt ... basically two road games.
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Need to win the HE tournament.
 
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So few games this time of year nothing much will shift. Lowell had it's chances this year but dropped a few key games. This weekend against the kittens, vermont,... stonehill.... big difference

As for you guys. Stop watching the seeding. You'll play where you'll play. Even if maine craps the bed Saturday at home (please, please, please, please) you'll still need to likely win all 3 to get that 1 seed
 
huskymedic said:
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Seems like if UConn takes care of business on Friday we are out of that 8 seed in Manchester. I think that result is what we're looking for.
 
HuskyHawk said:
Seems like if UConn takes care of business on Friday we are out of that 8 seed in Manchester. I think that result is what we're looking for.
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Is that really worse than facing OhioSt and MichSt in Toledo?
 
huskymedic said:
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Come Austin Powers GIF
 
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-> Let’s start with the known. Twelve teams have clinched their NCAA bids:
  • Boston College
  • Michigan State
  • Maine
  • Minnesota
  • Western Michigan
  • Boston University
  • Connecticut
  • Providence
  • Ohio State
  • Denver
  • Massachusetts
  • Minnesota State*
* The CCHA champion will be either Minnesota State or St. Thomas, but St. Thomas isn’t eligible for the tournament. Thus, Minnesota State has clinched the CCHA autobid <-
 
huskymedic said:
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Could someone with more experience than I with Pairwise and NCAA placement confirm that, as I read this, if we win the tournament today and tomorrow we'd be the highest seed in Allentown, a drivable location for those who want to go?
 
businesslawyer said:
Could someone with more experience than I with Pairwise and NCAA placement confirm that, as I read this, if we win the tournament today and tomorrow we'd be the highest seed in Allentown, a drivable location for those who want to go?
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I would read that, yes. I'd still wait until Sunday to buy tickets.

I'd say if that happened 99% it would be Allentown. I might do that regional coming from dc but I'm still a lowell main (yeah I know we are out) and want to spend hotels and stuff on a wisconsin trip to coincide with broomball nationals. I'd have to look at the dates that one.
 
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Full breaks apology. I would not assume those regionals on the basis that you don't know how the other schools will flop the rpi/pairwise
 
If we win tonight, there is an actual possibility of this being our Regional:

1. UConn
2. Minnesota
3. Denver
4. Penn St

Could you imagine if that actually happens? Being in a Regional against all three of our elite Transfer Portal deserters? Matthew Wood (Minnesota), Samu Salminen (Denver), and Arsenii Sergeev (Penn St). Not that our guys need it, but I think there would be a little extra motivation after how last year went down inside the team. I would think a first round matchup against Sergeev would make for a very interesting clash--I'd think that would be an advantage for our guys being very familiar with Arsenii's vulnerabilities.
 
I'll sketch through the possibilities after these games and I'm going to pray the AHA title game doesn't matter because I don't want to work out 16 scenarios
 
my current prediction:

Manchr: BC || Prov || Denv || HCross/Bentley
Toledo: MichSt || BU || OhioSt || Cornell/Clrksn/Dart
Allen: Maine || UConn || PennSt || Quinn
Fargo: Minn || WMU || UMass || MinnSt
 
I'm running through most of the possibilities...

the first 5 are UConn versus Penn State in Allentown... though I'm more convinced the committee will send Maine out to Fargo and WMU to Allentown but that's my bias

the real issue is straight seeding is almost always UConn versus UMass and that needs to be swapped out
 
This is my not so worked out scenarios... yes I'm sending Maine to Fargo a lot, that doesn't affect UConn's seeding... UMass does.

Code: 
Scenario #1 CRN/HC/MSU/WMU

Initial
Manch  1BC -8PC-9DU-23HC
Allen  4WMU-5UMN-12QU-13PSU
Toledo 2MSU-7BU-10OSU-17CRN
Fargo  3UME-6UCN-11UMA-14MNK

Swap
Manch  1BC -8PC-9DU-23HC
Allen  4WMU-6UCN-12QU-13PSU
Toledo 2MSU-7BU-10OSU-17CRN
Fargo  3UME-5UMN-11UMA-14MNK
Reason: 3 HEA teams in Fargo, moves MN to Fargo (attendance)

Scenario #2 CLK/HC/MSU/WMU

Initial
Manch  1BC -8PC-9DU-23HC
Allen  4WMU-5UMN-13PSU-12QU
Toledo 2MSU-7BU-10OSU-17CRN
Fargo  3UME-6UCN-11UMA-14MNK

Swap
Manch  1BC -8PC-9DU-23HC
Allen  4WMU-6UCN-12QU-13PSU
Toledo 2MSU-7BU-10OSU-17CRN
Fargo  3UME-5UMN-11UMA-14MNK
Reason: 3 HEA teams in Fargo, moves MN to Fargo (attendance)
        H2H Big10 Match

Scenario #3 CRN/HC/OSU/WMU

Manch   1BC-8PC-9OSU-22HC
Toledo 2MSU-7BU-10DU-19CKN
Fargo  3UME-6UCN-11UMA-14MNK
Allen  4WMU-5UMN-12QU-13PSU


Swap
Manch  1BC -8PC-9OSU-23HC
Toledo 2MSU-7BU-10DU-17CRN
Fargo  3UME-5UMN-11UMA-14MNK
Allen  4WMU-6UCN-12QU-13PSU

Reason: 3 HEA teams in Fargo, moves MN to Fargo (attendance)

Scenario #4 CKN/HC/OSU/WMU

Manch   1BC-8PC-9OSU-22HC
Toledo 2MSU-7BU-10DU-19CKN
Fargo  3UME-6UCN-11UMA-14MNK
Allen  4WMU-5UMN-12PSU-13QU


Swap
Manch  1BC -8PC-9OSU-23HC
Toledo 2MSU-7BU-10DU-17CRN
Fargo  3UME-5UMN-11UMA-14MNK
Allen  4WMU-6UCN-12PSU-13QU

Reason: 3 HEA teams in Fargo, moves MN to Fargo (attendance)
        H2H Big10 Match


Scenario #5 CRN/HC/MSU/DU

Manch   1BC-8DU-9PC-23HC
Toledo 2MSU-7BU-10OSU-17CRN
Fargo  3UME-6UCN-11UMA-14MNK
Allen  4UMN-5WMU-12PSU-13QU

Swap
Manch   1BC-8DU-9PC-23HC
Toledo 2MSU-7BU-10OSU-17CRN
Fargo  4UMN-5WMU-11UMA-14MNK
Allen  3UME-6UCN-12PSU-13QU

Scenario #6 CKN/HC/MSU/DU

Manch   1BC-8DU-9PC-23HC
Toledo 2MSU-7BU-10OSU-19CKN
Fargo  3UME-6UCN-11UMA-14MNK
Allen  4UMN-5WMU-12PSU-13QU

Swap
Manch   1BC-8DU-9PC-23HC
Toledo 2MSU-7BU-10OSU-19CKN
Fargo  4UMN-5WMU-11UMA-14MNK
Allen  3UME-6UCN-12PSU-13QU

Scenario #7 CRN/HC/OSU/DU

Manch   1BC-8DU-9PC-23HC
Toledo 2MSU-7BU-10OSU-17CRN
Fargo  3UME-6UCN-11UMA-14MNK
Allen  4WMU-5UMN-12QU-13PSU

Swap
Manch   1BC-8DU-9PC-23HC
Toledo 2MSU-7BU-10OSU-17CRN
Fargo  3UME-5UMN-11UMA-14MNK
Allen  4WMU-6UCN-12QU-13PSU

Scenario #8 CKN/HC/OSU/DU

Manch   1BC-8DU-9PC-23HC
Toledo 2MSU-7BU-10OSU-18CKN
Fargo  3UME-6UCN-11UMA-14MNK
Allen  4WMU-5UMN-12PSU-13QU

Swap
Manch   1BC-8DU-9PC-23HC
Toledo 2MSU-7BU-10OSU-17CRN
Fargo  3UME-5UMN-11UMA-14MNK
Allen  4WMU-6UCN-12PSU-13QU

Most of the scenarios are UConn versus Penn State OR UConn versus Quinnipiac in Allentown. The RPI between QU and PSU is down to a hair. EVERY natural scenario has UConn versus UMass as the 6 vs 11 but since they're HEA opponents and since this can be resolved it will be.
 
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The NCAA field is set (seeding is tbd):

BC
Michigan State
Maine
Western Michigan
Minnesota
UConn
BU
Providence
Denver
Ohio State
UMass
Penn State
Quinnipiac
Minnesota State
ECAC tournament winner (Cornell or Clarkson)
Atlantic tournament winner (Holy Cross or Bentley)
 
From what I can come up with the Clarkson-Cornell game will determine which program UConn plays

Cornell win: UConn v Quinnipiac

Clarkson win: UConn v Penn State
 
Under no circumstance will Maine get sent to Fargo. The procedure they follow is first placing 1 seeds in the closest regions, before filling in the next 12 spots. BC to Manchester, MSU to Toledo, Maine to PA, WMU/MN to Fargo. They won't flip Maine anywhere since there's no intraconference matchup risk and ticket sales in Fargo and Allentown will be fine regardless.

Both them and UConn are locked into playing in Allentown absent the committee doing something completely unprecedented.
 
brasssbonanzaa said:
Under no circumstance will Maine get sent to Fargo. The procedure they follow is first placing 1 seeds in the closest regions, before filling in the next 12 spots. BC to Manchester, MSU to Toledo, Maine to PA, WMU/MN to Fargo. They won't flip Maine anywhere since there's no intraconference matchup risk and ticket sales in Fargo and Allentown will be fine regardless.

Both them and UConn are locked into playing in Allentown absent the committee doing something completely unprecedented.
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I figured at that point flight rules might apply and WMU is still closeish. That was my figuring... so it goes.
 
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