OT: Kentucky Derby Pod

[Fishy]

Basically, unless TIz the Law is a little worn from an already long campaign or Manny Franco finds a way into disaster (possible - watch a replay of the Holy Bull Stakes), he’s the fastest horse in the race by a few lengths. Also, not terribly crazy about the fact that he isn’t exactly seamless when switching leads in the stretch - he tends to serpentine down the stretch.

On his game, this group doesn’t see him. If he isn’t....anyone other than Honor AP would be a surprise. The Baffert horses look to have distance issues, Ny Traffic is going to get some play because of his last race, but he wasn’t going quickly at the end as much as Authentic was just staggering. Money Moves might be worth a play - only three races, but finish second against older horses last time.

 

[Deepster]

Tri Boxes
10/16/17 like this one the best
2/17/18
8/16/17 hoping Gafflione pulls out the miracle
10/17/18

 

[Deepster]

Tri Boxes
10/16/17 like this one the best
2/17/18
8/16/17 hoping Gafflione pulls out the miracle
10/17/18

Never a good omen when your horse does a backflip onto pavement.

 

[Sphinx]

You can't beat the races, but you can beat a race.

With 5 minutes until post, Tiz The Law was paying more to show ($4.00) than to win ($3.60). This is figuring the Show price with the top 3 favorites finishing 1-2-3. I knew the smart money would land on this in the closing minutes, but it still looked like a unusually rich SHOW value. Landed on it myself and even convinced the wife to dip into the milk money. As it tuned out Tiz The Law, a $3.60 WIN favorite, paid $3.40 to PLACE and $3.20 to SHOW. You gotta feel for the folks who bet several million on him to win -- and were still betting on him to win in the final minute with the totes staring them in the face.

Pardon the crowing. Don't often get the chance..

 

[HitDog]

My lament. My brother loves Johnny V. So about 10 minutes before post I see he’s in the race and I had $25 in my account so I without thinking I bet #18 $15 to win and $5 to place and show. Then I screwed up buy calling him if wanted to split. Of course he said yes. Cost me $70.

 

[jleves]

I know Baffert's brother pretty well so I always pull for his horses. Was pleased with the outcome.

 

[Deepster]

No excuses for Tiz. Horse and jockey got beat.

 

[Fishy]

No excuses for Tiz. Horse and jockey got beat.

The ride was fine.

Basically, he regressed off the Travers and Authentic was brave as hell.

 

[Waquoit]

Johnny V. left his decades long jockey agent Angel Cordero earlier this year. In horse racing nobody says nothing but some scuttlebutt said JV was resentful Cordero got the Tiz ride for his newer client, Franco. And today he rode like a guy who wanted to win the Kentucky Derby. He was decisive and confident.