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If we (the Big10) go to 16, I don't think you will be included. I personally think you should be, but I don't get to make those decisions. If it's 16 with Oklahoma as #15, Kansas or Texas would be #16. If it's more than 16, you will be a Big10 member, IMO.
If the B1G can pick-off OU as #15 and goes to 16, then I agree that it will be between Kansas and UConn for #16 assuming Texas has no interest at that time. OU's football value and support from Nebraska & others will outweigh its Academic rank. Kansas likely gets in over UConn as it is AAU (though UConn ranks higher academically), its basketball blueblood status (though UConn has more titles and has the women's team), and as it serves as a landbridge to OU and potentially Texas (B1G should have taken Missouri) which outweighs UConn's stronger market access to the NYC and Boston markets. If the B1G goes to 20, which I believe is the goal, Texas is #17, UConn is #18 and then the question is if ND would be attracted to a conference stretching from NYC to Houston and jump ship as #19. #20 is a question.
As for OK St, I think they have a shot at the SEC based on their deep pocked donor, and decent football and basketball pedigree and as if the ACC stays together, OK State is one of the few viable candidates to get the SEC t0 16 along with whoever is the best of the rest in Texas, maybe TCU?